The best methods to bet the NBA

Michael Redd is far from a star player.

I think what 165 means is a player like LeBron, Kobe, Wade.  These players all have a reputation that they carry their team.  Example... Without the presence of Wade in the lineup, the Heat can't possibly compete against the Lakers tonight.  That kind of thing.

I think the same theory can apply to when a star player also comes back from an injury.  People automatically assume that because a team like Indiana has Granger back, that they'll be a better team.  Just look back to earlier in the week.  Granger makes his return against the lowly Timberwolves and the lowly Timberwolves win.

Star player out:

Michael Redd not expected to play Monday against the Suns. (Injured left knee.)

Milwaukee +9 -104 ?

Michael Redd is far from a star player.

I think what 165 means is a player like LeBron, Kobe, Wade.  These players all have a reputation that they carry their team.  Example... Without the presence of Wade in the lineup, the Heat can't possibly compete against the Lakers tonight.  That kind of thing.

I think the same theory can apply to when a star player also comes back from an injury.  People automatically assume that because a team like Indiana has Granger back, that they'll be a better team.  Just look back to earlier in the week.  Granger makes his return against the lowly Timberwolves and the lowly Timberwolves win.

Star player out angle

Works quite often.  You just have to have the balls to take them, which most bettors don't.  Over the last few years I've been getting more brave with this

 -120 or -115- I never bet these on principle alone.  This is a sucker bet the book puts out on halftime lines.  You will often notice the 2nd half line opens at this number.  They know most will be on the -120 so they penalize you and feel the better play is the +100.  Now why do you think they put the -120 out there?  OK well if it opens at -110 and moves to -120 they feel the squares are on the -120 and majority of bets.  If it opens at -120 and moves to -110 than throw this out the window and the other side will win most of the time.  Loser gamblers think they have some sort of mystical edge when they see -120 or -115.  This lets the square bettor know who to bet.  I gaurantee the -1 is out there to let the squares know who to bet on the game line.  The -1 in any sport will lose a little over 60% of the time but that's not for this discussion.

If my message actually prevented somebody from taking the Bucks last night, then i'm glad.  I don't care if the Bucks covered.

You're missing the point man.  Michael Redd is the most injury prone player in the NBA.  Nobody talks about him anymore, nobody really cares about him anymore.  Injuries have killed his career and image.  The man has averaged 11.2PPG this season.  Hell i'd be surpised if people even knew he was still on the Bucks anymore. 

Superstar?  Please!

Furthermore, the first player most people think of on the Bucks these days is Brandon Jennings.  If he went down with an injury, then I might have been more inclined to take the Bucks in this spot.  That's assuming of course that I was playing this whole 'star player out' angle.