All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

NBA Totals - Saturday 3-10-12

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 3228
Posts: 27
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1926
Posted: #1

YTD (Overall): 46-31 / 59.7% (+26.7)

4 Unit Bets: (3-0)

3 Unit Bets: (2-2)

2 Unit Bets: (15-8)

1 Unit Bets: (26-21)

Yesterday's Thread: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101291892

Today's Lines / Mine (Actual):

Washington vs. Portland - 193.1 (200.5)

Detroit vs. Toronto - 187.5 (185.5)

Miami vs. Indiana - 189.0 (196.0)

Chicago vs. Utah - 186.4 (193.0)

Minnesota vs. New Orleans - 190.5 (189.0)

New Jersey vs. Houston - 198.3 (191.0)

Oklahoma City vs. Charlotte - 196.2 (197.0)

Phoenix vs. Memphis - 186.9 (192.5)

Golden State vs. Dallas - 189.9 (192.0)

I REALLY wanted to play the over in the NJN/HOU game, but I'm showing Deron Williams is listed as doubtful for tonight, which makes a big difference. That probably explains why the total opened at 194.0 and is now down three points. There are a couple of under plays in the cards above; I will wait and see what the lines do before making any final decisions.



 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 599
Posted: #2
What do you think about chicago-Utah-    --UNDER--?

I suck at over/unders but this number really stood out to me...your system has it going under by 6.6 points?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 17
Posted: #3
Chi has let off the reigns a little defensively since the allstar break...tread carefully with that one
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 26
Posted: #4
Wow, there's a big difference in a lot of your lines today!
Miami-Indy under looks good. I have to go to work soon so I won't be able to catch late line movement. At the moment upwards of 80% on the over and the line moved down a half point on that game.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1926
Posted: #5
FINAL PLAYS:

Miami vs. Indiana UNDER 196.0 (2 units)

emiwark - thanks for the info.

lakersboy - great point and I agree; I'm going to lay off this one.

radio - see lakersboy's comments above.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 128
Posted: #6
Any reason for not going with Blazers Wizards under?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1926
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by mmeiselman731:

Any reason for not going with Blazers Wizards under?


Nope, not on it or off it yet... just want to see what the line does.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 423
Posted: #8
rlawson;

do u play any 4* play today!!!!. Recently, U lost ur confident when you play.
emiwark: how do u know the public go over 80%,and the line moved down a half point on that game.
please explain
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1926
Posted: #9
timmy - I don't think it's got anything to do w/ confidence, I have just been calculating pretty tight lines. I normally base my units on how large the variance is between my lines and the actual. For example, tonight's play is a two unit because it's a seven point variance, just one more point than my minimum.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 423
Posted: #10
rlawson;

thank you for your answer. Good Luck tonight.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 699
Posted: #11
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 423
Posted: #12
rlawson;

go down to 195. is it consider it's play
thx
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 748
Posted: #13

i tail u this one,and bought more 2 points (under 197)

Thanks and GL

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1926
Posted: #14
FINAL PLAYS:

Miami vs. Indiana UNDER 196.0 (2 units)

Washington vs. Portland UNDER 200.5 (1 unit)

To answer questions about line movement and whether games are considered plays or not - I look for a 6.0 variance between my line and the games. For the Miami game, I have 189.0 (that you can see above) and at 195.0, you've got exactly 6.0 points, so yes, according to my logic (for better or worse), it's a play.

Redbull & Vicky -
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 58
Posted: #15
goodluck!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2006
Posts: 801
Posted: #16
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 87
Posted: #17

rlawson, washington under 201 is kinda scary and I think it will go over.  I think mia also game will go over . o well, gl my friend

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 436
Posted: #18
We'll be watching 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 87
Posted: #19
rlawson, MIA under is doing good so far. I should have follow you . last time, I followed your pick and I lost. That's why, I didnt follow you for this games.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 748
Posted: #20
miami under looking good so far,rlawson
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 4484
Posted: #21

was out all day and missed your post today.

if i had seen it i would of not played the over on this game. fml.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 87
Posted: #22
o shiit, OT for MIA , GL, Rlawson
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 579
Posted: #23
OT , still looking good for UNDER
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 748
Posted: #24
fucking OT,dont tell me OT #2
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 748
Posted: #25
FINALLY!!
All Forums | NBA Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.