Fish's Slippery Player Picks - 11/11 (YTD: 25-11)

A nice day yesterday, with three easy collects to get us moving back in the right direction after stagnating a little in the days prior. Nothing I loved in the early games but a couple for this late one.

Nuggets @ Kings - Precious Achiuwa over 4.5 rebounds

With starting line-ups not yet released there might be a little uncertainty here, but Achiuwa moved into the starting five last game and picked up a solid 12 points and 10 boards in 29 minutes, so I'm banking on the Kings keeping him in there. That was just Achiuwa's third game for the Kings, but they appear to have decided that they need someone aside from Domantas Sabonis on the floor who isn't a ball-hungry guard, and Achiuwa responded with a solid game for them. He's never really been on the receiving end of big minutes in his career but has still averaged around 6 or so boards per game for years now, and that's while only playing roughly 20 minutes per game most years. Even if that was how much time we expected him to have on the floor in this one this line of 4.5 would be low, but given he's a good chance of playing 25+, this one is hard to ignore. I've also had a dabble on him to double-double at a ridiculous $16.

Nuggets @ Kings - Nique Clifford over 2.5 rebounds

I'm putting a lot of faith in the Kings here, perhaps risky given their penchant for doing inexplicable things, but Nique Clifford is one of the few young players they're actually giving minutes to and he's increasingly looking somewhat at home on the NBA floor. In the five games in a row he's played, Clifford has had anywhere from 16-33 minutes, but that's been trending upwards, and in those games he's had 3 rebounds four times. This is obviously dependant on how much time he gets on the floor, so hopefully he can contribute offensively too, but his worst case scenario is around 15 minutes and his best probably close to 30, and even on the lower end of the spectrum I think he's a good chance of surpassing this. Clifford is actually a good rebounder - he averaged over 9 per game in 35 minutes in college last year and 7.6 in 30 minutes the season before that, so even if he averages around 20 minutes or so this season it wouldn't surprise me if he's picking up 4-5 boards a night. 2.5 is too low and probably won't stay at this number for many games more, so I'm taking it while it does, even if there is some risk involved with the uncertainty surrounding his minutes.

@Fish22

 Hope everything is well..haven't seen u post much lately. I really enjoy your detailed write ups and reasoning with player props