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Posted: #26

Plays for today, Aug 5th.

Phi/Fla over 7.5: 1 to win .84

Tex/Sea over 6.5: 1 to win .909

Only 2 games I like today on a light schedule.  I really like the Tex/Sea over.  Texas is probably the team that Hernandez pitches worst against.  8-11, 4.16 ERA in 155.2 IP.  That is big sample size, gives me a clear picture of how it's going to go, gotta like it!  GLA

 
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Posted: #27

Adding one more play for today (Aug. 5)

Col/Pit over 8.5: 1 to win. 943

GLA

 
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Posted: #28
Like those plays kamahsutra, but the Texas one worries me...usually when you see a line set that low it's for a good reason and most of the time they get it right.  BOL today buddy 
 
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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by b_hook:

Like those plays kamahsutra, but the Texas one worries me...usually when you see a line set that low it's for a good reason and most of the time they get it right.  BOL today buddy 

Thanks b_hook!

I agree with you the about the dangers of low totals.  However, in this case, looking at Hernandez's numbers vs Texas, I just can't resist.  Looking at that line up's career OBA, I see Texas scoring 4 or more on him.  What scares me more is how well Hunter has been pitching this year.  With all that said, I'll have to go with my numbers on this one.  Hopefully, there will be 7 runs scored in this one.

 
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Posted: #30
Like Pitt over. GL
 
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Posted: #31
Today's results: 1-2, -1.16 units

YTD: 16-13-1, +1.889 units

What can I say about Seattle... 2 Ks on 7 pitches bottom of the 9th.. LMFAO is how bad they are.
 
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Posted: #32

Plays for today, Aug 6th.

Col/Pit over 7.5: 1 to win .885

StL/Fla over 6.5: 1 to win .952

Hou/Mil over 8: 1 to win .935

LAA/Det over 7: 1 to win .909

Bos/NYY over 9: 1 to win 1.1

GLA

 
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Posted: #33

Today's results: 3-1-1, +1.772 units

YTD: 19-14-2, +3.661 units

 

 
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Posted: #34
Plays for today, Aug 7th.

NYM/Phi over 7: 1 to win .926

Hou/Mil over 7.5 1 to win .917

Min/Clev over 8: 1 to win .862

LAA/Det over 9: 1 to win .893

GLA
 
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Posted: #35

Today's results: 2-2, -.245 units.

YTD: 21-16-2, +3.416 units.

 
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Posted: #36

Plays for today, Aug 8th.

KC/Sea over 7.5: 1 to win .952

Bos/NYY over 9: 1 to win .952

Col/Pit over 8.5: 1 to win .813

SF/Atl over 7.5: 1 to win .943

LAA/Det over 9.5: 1 to win .855

Min/Clev over 9.5: 1 to win .962

GLA

 
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Posted: #37
 
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Posted: #38

Today's results: 3-2-1, +.611 units.

YTD: 24-18-3, +4.027 units.

The Bos/NYY will be cancelled, as I'm with Pinny and Beckett/Burnett must start.

The Minny/Clev over got , as they had 9 runs after 5 and couldn't get any more after.  Also, I will not take any more Seattle overs, most of my losses are from Seattle, their offense sucks ass.

 
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Posted: #39

Plays for today, Aug 9th.

Ari/Mil over 9: 1 to win .935

Bos/NYY over 8.5: 1 to win .885

ChiSox/Bal over 9: 1 to win .909

KC/LAA over 8.5: 1 to win .935

GLA

 
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Posted: #40
On what stats you pick over?
 
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Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by Hudini:

On what stats you pick over?

Look at my first post in this thread.  There are several factors that I look at.  The most important one to me is the pitcher's career ERA vs opp team, especially if they've pitched over 50 innings against that team.

 
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Posted: #42
kam, did this factor into your play today in NY:

wind:  SW 12  out to left

I know nothing about the new park and if a 12 mph wind to left will help enough to be a factor.  if this were Wrigley, the total would be dd's.

thanks, pie
 
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Posted: #43
Yankees/Sox OVER
 
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Posted: #44

Quote Originally Posted by mudpie:

kam, did this factor into your play today in NY:

wind:  SW 12  out to left

I know nothing about the new park and if a 12 mph wind to left will help enough to be a factor.  if this were Wrigley, the total would be dd's.

thanks, pie

No, I didn't get a chance to look at the weather forecasts for Yankee Stadium.  I feel confident enough on this play with the numbers I'm looking at.  If the wind is blowing out to left, all the better.  BOL

 
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Posted: #45

Today's results: 2-2, -.13 units.

YTD: 26-20-3, +3.897 units.

 
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Posted: #46

Today's plays, Aug 10th.

StL/Cin over 8: 1 to win .885

ChiCubs/SF over 6.5: 1 to win .935

Bos/Tor over 8: 1 to win 1

LAD/Phi over 8.5: 1 to win .862

Col/NYM over 7.5: 1 to win .952

Bal/Clev over 9: 1 to win .901

Min/ChiSox over 9: 1 to win .909

This has been the largest number of plays in one day so far, the previous was 6.  GLA

 
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Posted: #47
Today's results: 6-1, +4.492 units.

YTD: 32-21-3, +8.389 units.

Today is the kind of that makes winning enjoyable, you didn't really have to sweat it out.  The Col/NYM game was pretty certain it wouldn't have any chance of going over.  However, the rest of the games were equally clear in favour of the over; all of the games went over by the end of the 5th inning, with the exception of StL/Cin, which went over by the end of the 6th.  Winning stress-free is the best way to go.
 
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Posted: #48
 
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Posted: #49
 
 
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Posted: #50

Today's plays, Aug 11th.

StL/Cin over 7: 1 to win .787

Col/NYM over 7.5: 1 to win .909

NYY/Tex over 8: 1 to win .87

Min/ChiSox over 9: 1 to win .971

Fla/Wash over 9: 1 to win .99

The Oak/Sea game looks tempting, all of the numbers point to the over, but I'm staying away from Seattle games as much as possible because they suck.  They may just let Braden throw another no-no against them... I am, however, playing it on a small parlay.

GLA

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