https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101568922
If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
5.24.2013, 3-1, +15.6 Units, +104% ROI
YTD – 107-111-19, +29.83 Units, +2.77% ROI
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Orioles F5 (+137) FG (+139) (Garcia / Dickey)
Prior to the season we probably would have made Dickey well more than -200 versus Freddy Garcia at home. Today he should not be -149. His own performance and that of his offense versus righties just doesn’t justify that.
Cubs F5 (+155) FG (+160) (Wood / Bailey)
Yeah, I know, hold your nose. The Reds are rolling, no doubt about that, but they are doing so much better versus righty than lefty. Just 5-7-3 with an offensive era of 2.9 per nine versus the last 15 they have faced does not justify a -170 line. Wood is in as good a form as we have ever seen him and the Flubbies are 8-6-1 last 15 versus righty with an offensive era of 4.8. Long story, short version, the Reds are over valued here.
RLeith35: If you are going to copy and then paste at Statfox don’t forget to give credit where credit is due!
BOL
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