Posted:
#26
Quote Originally Posted by Madd_Capper:
Sorry bro, don't like this side at all. Neither team is hitting the ball well. Reds are 23rd in the league scoring runs on the road (and hitting only .250), 21st hitting righty's (hitting .264).
However the D'Backs aren't any better hitting 29th in the majors vs righty's (dismal .237), and again 29th in scoring at home (hitting only .249) but they have started hitting as of late.
Garland's stuff has been pretty pedestrian for sure but he has found a way to pitch deep into games, and has found a way to win. Arroyo on the other hand was awful in his last start, and historically has been much worse on the road. I will trust Garland at home, over Arroyo on the road in this spot, but it's not the biggest factor in my decision.
I believe the biggest factor here will be travel. 
Cincy played an extra innings game, which they lost in a heart-breaker, then had to travel two time zones, to play a D'Backs squad that started their homestand with a series loss to the lowly Nats. The bats awoke today putting up a 10 spot, garnering a much needed W.
Cincy played an extra innings game, which they lost in a heart-breaker, then had to travel two time zones, to play a D'Backs squad that started their homestand with a series loss to the lowly Nats. The bats awoke today putting up a 10 spot, garnering a much needed W. I honestly see a D'Backs win in this spot, with travel as a key component. One team lost an extra innings game, got on the bus, went to the airport, flew across the country, to play a team coming off a much needed win at home. I suspect the D'Backs players went out after today's game, had a nice home cooked dinner, and had plenty of time to rest and relax. One team will be much more excited to get to the ballpark tomorrow, and the other is well...The Reds
But hey, that's just one man's opinion. 
Take a hard look at the Giants tomorrow as well. Did I really just say to back the Giants as a favourite? 
This is more of a fade of the Nats, more so a fade of Daniel Cabrera, then anything else. Randy throws well at home. SF is 10-4 
at home, while the Nats are a sparkling 
5-12 on the road. This is not too big a price in this spot, and if I had anymore faith in the Giants bats, I'd take a shot with the RL as well for the value. Simply put Cabrera is bad...real bad.
This is more of a fade of the Nats, more so a fade of Daniel Cabrera, then anything else. Randy throws well at home. SF is 10-4 at home, while the Nats are a sparkling 5-12 on the road. This is not too big a price in this spot, and if I had anymore faith in the Giants bats, I'd take a shot with the RL as well for the value. Simply put Cabrera is bad...real bad.Good luck with MOST of your Monday plays 
Let me know your feelings on the Mets/Braves ump, as this one has 2-1, 3-2 written all over it. Just wondered if the ump has any serious trends in this one. Thanks for all your hard work AJ. Hope my insight helps 
Great breakdown Mad. This is why I come to Covers.
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You have had 1 week with a losing record that you went 6W - 8L in week 3! GREAT JOB
reds 
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