Just a reminder about Texas, I too noticed the +120 and my eyes lit up, but if we remember Texas was not nearly the dominant hitting team they were last year hitting against lefty's.
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Just a reminder about Texas, I too noticed the +120 and my eyes lit up, but if we remember Texas was not nearly the dominant hitting team they were last year hitting against lefty's.
Is there a chance they will decide tomorrow to play the games if the weather ends up okay? Or is it officially postponed and no chance of it being played? Sorry, Im new to baseball in general, thanks...
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Quote Originally Posted by jim844:
cold weather apparently
Is there a chance they will decide tomorrow to play the games if the weather ends up okay? Or is it officially postponed and no chance of it being played? Sorry, Im new to baseball in general, thanks...
Not trying to be a dick, GH, I know you're very respected around here.
Just a heads up that Willy Taveras is OUT for the opener with an illness. Darnell McDonald is playing instead and will hit 2nd with Hairston, Jr. leading off. Not sure if that affects your play...it wouldn't for me, but just FYI.
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Not trying to be a dick, GH, I know you're very respected around here.
Just a heads up that Willy Taveras is OUT for the opener with an illness. Darnell McDonald is playing instead and will hit 2nd with Hairston, Jr. leading off. Not sure if that affects your play...it wouldn't for me, but just FYI.
Not trying to be a dick, GH, I know you're very respected around here.
Just a heads up that Willy Taveras is OUT for the opener with an illness. Darnell McDonald is playing instead and will hit 2nd with Hairston, Jr. leading off. Not sure if that affects your play...it wouldn't for me, but just FYI.
Andy, not only are you not being a di%$, but I applaud information and opposing views are always welcome. As the great Bud Fox said in the movie "Wall Street", "information is key." You raise an interesting point and provide excellent information. I will probably still be on the play, because the key to my play is Santana's history of average opening starts, Great American Ballpark possibly being the kryptonite to his pitching style and the fact that Aaron Harang is a legitimate top tier start who has been absolutely dominant in all but one opening start. I like that Santana was battered in his one start in this park and that Encarnacion has already tagged him for two long balls in 5 at-bats and the fact that I think Brandon Phillips, Ramon Hernandez and others can generate a few runs off him. I think Harang can keep them in this game and the juice is nice against a Met team that was just one game over .500 on the road last year. I certainly am not happy about the Taveras information and very much appreciate you providing such information. Good luck.
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Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:
Not trying to be a dick, GH, I know you're very respected around here.
Just a heads up that Willy Taveras is OUT for the opener with an illness. Darnell McDonald is playing instead and will hit 2nd with Hairston, Jr. leading off. Not sure if that affects your play...it wouldn't for me, but just FYI.
Andy, not only are you not being a di%$, but I applaud information and opposing views are always welcome. As the great Bud Fox said in the movie "Wall Street", "information is key." You raise an interesting point and provide excellent information. I will probably still be on the play, because the key to my play is Santana's history of average opening starts, Great American Ballpark possibly being the kryptonite to his pitching style and the fact that Aaron Harang is a legitimate top tier start who has been absolutely dominant in all but one opening start. I like that Santana was battered in his one start in this park and that Encarnacion has already tagged him for two long balls in 5 at-bats and the fact that I think Brandon Phillips, Ramon Hernandez and others can generate a few runs off him. I think Harang can keep them in this game and the juice is nice against a Met team that was just one game over .500 on the road last year. I certainly am not happy about the Taveras information and very much appreciate you providing such information. Good luck.
Hey Game, good luck on the year. I'm still working on my team-by-team statistical indicators that I use so I'm not sure that I will be betting in full force until I complete that later on this week.
Anyhow, a few things to note in this Cincy game: I have it pegged at -138 Mets. Therein lies some value on the Reds, but a few things concern me that were not 100% factored into my formula.
Aaron Harang is clearly not the same pitcher he was going into last year. IMO, the innings ate him up as did Dusty and I'm not sure if he'll recover. He was not very good in the spring and supposedly has lost quite a bit of velocity from when he was on top of his game. He has historically been bad in his home park as he will throw more flyballs in this game than Johan will most likely.
Johan looked outstanding in the spring.
Johan will face 3 of the same handedness batters (left-handers bruce, votto, and dickerson).
Harang will only face one of the same handedness batters (Wright)
Advantage: Johan
I'm not sure what to make of this Reds lineup. Despite playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark, they were 23rd in the league in both Runs and OPS and they no longer have the services of their power hitter Adam Dunn. They are also very lousy on the basepaths as well as fielding and the Mets are quite good at both aspects.
Also, I find it somewhat absurd that such a good bettor like yourself who clearly does a good job in finding value refuses to look at teams that are priced at -140. I am positive that this is not the way to go about profesionally handicapping baseball. There are plenty of spots where the heavy favorites are discounted by at least 10-15 cents. Obviously, you know what you're doing as your record indicates. I think you could tack on an additional 20-25 units though if you give yourself more opportunities to make money. Good luck game, hope we both have a profitable year.
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Hey Game, good luck on the year. I'm still working on my team-by-team statistical indicators that I use so I'm not sure that I will be betting in full force until I complete that later on this week.
Anyhow, a few things to note in this Cincy game: I have it pegged at -138 Mets. Therein lies some value on the Reds, but a few things concern me that were not 100% factored into my formula.
Aaron Harang is clearly not the same pitcher he was going into last year. IMO, the innings ate him up as did Dusty and I'm not sure if he'll recover. He was not very good in the spring and supposedly has lost quite a bit of velocity from when he was on top of his game. He has historically been bad in his home park as he will throw more flyballs in this game than Johan will most likely.
Johan looked outstanding in the spring.
Johan will face 3 of the same handedness batters (left-handers bruce, votto, and dickerson).
Harang will only face one of the same handedness batters (Wright)
Advantage: Johan
I'm not sure what to make of this Reds lineup. Despite playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark, they were 23rd in the league in both Runs and OPS and they no longer have the services of their power hitter Adam Dunn. They are also very lousy on the basepaths as well as fielding and the Mets are quite good at both aspects.
Also, I find it somewhat absurd that such a good bettor like yourself who clearly does a good job in finding value refuses to look at teams that are priced at -140. I am positive that this is not the way to go about profesionally handicapping baseball. There are plenty of spots where the heavy favorites are discounted by at least 10-15 cents. Obviously, you know what you're doing as your record indicates. I think you could tack on an additional 20-25 units though if you give yourself more opportunities to make money. Good luck game, hope we both have a profitable year.
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Can I get a autograph 
lol ...gotta feed the action junkie!
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