You say but this time---. Tomorrow will you bet against them? Why is this actually a reasonable price based on a long term view?
SEASON: 38-41, +8.5725 Stargells
YESTERDAY: 3-4, +0.680 units
PITTSBURGH -115 (1.25 units)
COLORADO +124 (1.25 units)
ST. LOUIS -1.5 RUNS (+102) (1.5 units)
PHILADELPHIA -1.5 RUNS (-118) (1.5 units)
SAN DIEGO +100 (1.5 units)
DODGERS -1.5 RUNS (+140) (1 unit)
TEXAS +190 (1 unit)
ANGELS -112 (1.25 units)
BALTIMORE +146 (1.25 units)
Hey game, what makes you think there is more profitability in big run lines over ML's. I'd guess there is more money to be made in taking the big ML's just b/c more people are scared to take them and instead take the RL, I have no mathematical basis to back this up however. I am going to look into this in the future.
SEASON: 38-41, +8.5725 Stargells
YESTERDAY: 3-4, +0.680 units
PITTSBURGH -115 (1.25 units)
COLORADO +124 (1.25 units)
ST. LOUIS -1.5 RUNS (+102) (1.5 units)
PHILADELPHIA -1.5 RUNS (-118) (1.5 units)
SAN DIEGO +100 (1.5 units)
DODGERS -1.5 RUNS (+140) (1 unit)
TEXAS +190 (1 unit)
ANGELS -112 (1.25 units)
BALTIMORE +146 (1.25 units)
Hey game, what makes you think there is more profitability in big run lines over ML's. I'd guess there is more money to be made in taking the big ML's just b/c more people are scared to take them and instead take the RL, I have no mathematical basis to back this up however. I am going to look into this in the future.
I have Tejada marked down as -4 (costing them 4 runs more than average 3b over course of year). Why do you think he is well above average? Just like to pick your brain a bit, no qualms or anything.
I have Tejada marked down as -4 (costing them 4 runs more than average 3b over course of year). Why do you think he is well above average? Just like to pick your brain a bit, no qualms or anything.
Such is the fate of the underdog bettor. I'm sure if you could track this kind of stuff, you'd probably be on the short end of the bullpen stick more often than not b/c these smaller market crappier teams that tend to get the attractive prices never seem to have more than 1 or maybe 2 quality relievers.
RLs are looking pretty sweet though, hope STL doesn't do the old give up 2 runs in the 9th screwing RL bettors, but still winning outright.
Such is the fate of the underdog bettor. I'm sure if you could track this kind of stuff, you'd probably be on the short end of the bullpen stick more often than not b/c these smaller market crappier teams that tend to get the attractive prices never seem to have more than 1 or maybe 2 quality relievers.
RLs are looking pretty sweet though, hope STL doesn't do the old give up 2 runs in the 9th screwing RL bettors, but still winning outright.
Such is the fate of the underdog bettor. I'm sure if you could track this kind of stuff, you'd probably be on the short end of the bullpen stick more often than not b/c these smaller market crappier teams that tend to get the attractive prices never seem to have more than 1 or maybe 2 quality relievers.
RLs are looking pretty sweet though, hope STL doesn't do the old give up 2 runs in the 9th screwing RL bettors, but still winning outright.
Such is the fate of the underdog bettor. I'm sure if you could track this kind of stuff, you'd probably be on the short end of the bullpen stick more often than not b/c these smaller market crappier teams that tend to get the attractive prices never seem to have more than 1 or maybe 2 quality relievers.
RLs are looking pretty sweet though, hope STL doesn't do the old give up 2 runs in the 9th screwing RL bettors, but still winning outright.

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