Fri (6/21) "The Good, the Bad, the Ugly"

CIN (-130) 1^st 5 Innings

Cueto is one of the most reliable pitchers in the league with a 4-0 record and 2.08 ERA.  After 7 starts, he is still yet to allow more than 3 runs this year.  Miley has a 1-2 record in 4 HOME starts with a 6.86 ERA. 

Bad:  Fading Kazmir (CLE), Dickey (TOR)

MIN (+115) 1^st 5 Innings

MIN is rolling offensively, coming off a sweep of CWS where they scored at least 7 runs in each of those games.  Now they will face a pitcher who has surrendered at least 4+ runs in his last 3 starts.  Deduno has not allowed more than 2 ER’s in his last 4 starts.

BAL (+124) 1^st 5 Innings

Hammel is 4-1 vs. TOR in 8 career starts and is 6-1 in 8 AWAY starts this season with a decent 3.97 ERA.  Dickey is 2-4 vs. BAL in 6 career starts and has a 5.61 ERA at HOME.  Dickey has allowed 6+ runs in 3 of his last 5 starts – one of those games was vs. BAL.  Well, BAL is coming back to town after taking the last 2 games @ DET.  Both teams are hot, but I think TOR’s streak ends with the Dickey.

Ugly:  Fading CWS AWAY, Lester (BOS)

KC (-140)

Guthrie is 5-1 in 6 HOME starts with a 2.79 ERA and .212 BAA.  CWS can’t hit the broad side of a barn.  CWS pitching has given up 4+ runs in 8 of their last 10 road games, leading to a 2-10 AWAY record in June.  Guthrie threw in a complete game shutout vs. CWS in his last match-up in this series.

DET (-140)

Lester has given up 4+ runs in 5 of his last 6 starts and is 0-2 in 5 starts vs. DET with a 4.78 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, .290 BAA.  BOS’s bullpen just gave up a 9^th inning lead yesterday, so they are already rattled.  

“Trouble with the Curve” (O/U): 

COL/WAS U6.5

COL is not the same on the road without Fowler & Tulowitzki in the line-up.  They are still yet to score more than 3 runs on this road trip, and now they have to face a Strasburg who has not allowed more than 1 ER in his last 6 starts.  Chatwood is not too shabby either – he has not allowed more than 2 ER’s in his last 6 starts.  I foresee a similar result as yesterday.

TEX/STL O8.5

Adding (O/U): 

CWS/KC U8.5

The total has been UNDER in 9 of the last 10 in the series.