The set # isnt the # u need to bet it at. It merely brings attn to the line. Esp with the public on the Ravens ATS and the spread is dropping. Im sure Newfie with explain tmrw how he is playing it
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The set # isnt the # u need to bet it at. It merely brings attn to the line. Esp with the public on the Ravens ATS and the spread is dropping. Im sure Newfie with explain tmrw how he is playing it
The set # isnt the # u need to bet it at. It merely brings attn to the line. Esp with the public on the Ravens ATS and the spread is dropping. Im sure Newfie with explain tmrw how he is playing it
Just screams bet +13 if you still have it plus other information on the game you might have/trends etc
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Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
The set # isnt the # u need to bet it at. It merely brings attn to the line. Esp with the public on the Ravens ATS and the spread is dropping. Im sure Newfie with explain tmrw how he is playing it
Just screams bet +13 if you still have it plus other information on the game you might have/trends etc
Nice Newfie. What I love about it is the opening line is fixed by oddsmakers with .5 so there is only winner & losers and with the line not able to move they know what # appeals more to players by history. Then we watch some line mvmts and pick our spots. Solid
Exactly Shady, it's the appeal that sinks them in. How could they be so confident (more like cocky) about posting the number on Wednesday with little regard for where the line is gonna land on Sunday? Also I don't get lines on every game in NCAAF on Saturday, they only post "certain" ones. They already know where the sheep are gonna stray. I'm into numbers and formulas, I'll stick with that.
I updated my trendz over at the other place and this was the reply, dude is good guy so not slamming him at all just to prove my way of seeing things, but this is indicative how the public will view the games this weekend.....
"And I know its all off of trends but wowzers, and i hope i am wrong, that trend is taking some tough games. Hoping buffalo keeps it close against a pats team of of 2 straight loses, Jets keep it close against a niners team coming off their first loss (theyre traveling a lot though), but I will def be tailing some of these, depending on what you do with line moves, because I get w/e the line closes at. Thanks"
All I can say to that is La trendz have always been moi friendz. How many parlays will the books take with the NE and SF M/L in them to top up? poof up in smoke! I have a pretty simplified spreadsheet McShady, what would be even more interesting would be the set numbers in regards to division vs division conference vs conference, totals outcomes etc. Maybe a math prof has some free time eh haha
Set list games have been added to the list tonight Stanford is a -6.5 (Stanford and under), Calgary CFL -4.5 @ home ( Calgary and over), Tenn +13.5 at Georgia (adjusted +3.5 tennessee or +13.5 tennessee). Once the Thursday and Friday football games are over they will add 4 more college games to the Saturday card. I'll keep yas updated. Long day again, I'm done.
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Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
Nice Newfie. What I love about it is the opening line is fixed by oddsmakers with .5 so there is only winner & losers and with the line not able to move they know what # appeals more to players by history. Then we watch some line mvmts and pick our spots. Solid
Exactly Shady, it's the appeal that sinks them in. How could they be so confident (more like cocky) about posting the number on Wednesday with little regard for where the line is gonna land on Sunday? Also I don't get lines on every game in NCAAF on Saturday, they only post "certain" ones. They already know where the sheep are gonna stray. I'm into numbers and formulas, I'll stick with that.
I updated my trendz over at the other place and this was the reply, dude is good guy so not slamming him at all just to prove my way of seeing things, but this is indicative how the public will view the games this weekend.....
"And I know its all off of trends but wowzers, and i hope i am wrong, that trend is taking some tough games. Hoping buffalo keeps it close against a pats team of of 2 straight loses, Jets keep it close against a niners team coming off their first loss (theyre traveling a lot though), but I will def be tailing some of these, depending on what you do with line moves, because I get w/e the line closes at. Thanks"
All I can say to that is La trendz have always been moi friendz. How many parlays will the books take with the NE and SF M/L in them to top up? poof up in smoke! I have a pretty simplified spreadsheet McShady, what would be even more interesting would be the set numbers in regards to division vs division conference vs conference, totals outcomes etc. Maybe a math prof has some free time eh haha
Set list games have been added to the list tonight Stanford is a -6.5 (Stanford and under), Calgary CFL -4.5 @ home ( Calgary and over), Tenn +13.5 at Georgia (adjusted +3.5 tennessee or +13.5 tennessee). Once the Thursday and Friday football games are over they will add 4 more college games to the Saturday card. I'll keep yas updated. Long day again, I'm done.
WELCOME NEWFIE!!! Thanks for your current and future contributions! MLB is almost over so we need you! Thanks Semper and McShady for the winners today!
Time for new thread as 2 new series start on Thurs. VOL 49!
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WELCOME NEWFIE!!! Thanks for your current and future contributions! MLB is almost over so we need you! Thanks Semper and McShady for the winners today!
Time for new thread as 2 new series start on Thurs. VOL 49!
Corrected from last week post, ML dogs in NFL week 3 went 10-6!!! Heavy woofing! Mucho dinero! Newfie, can they do it again? Inquiring minds want to know!
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Corrected from last week post, ML dogs in NFL week 3 went 10-6!!! Heavy woofing! Mucho dinero! Newfie, can they do it again? Inquiring minds want to know!
I'm a data junkie (have years of sports data stored up in DBs), I'll crunch through these just on your say so.
What I don't understand is the "Set #" concept. Is a "Set #" any x.5 spread and the effect it has on the outcome? Do "set #'s" differ from year to year and/or team to team?
eg. I quickly looked at closing lines in the NFL of 4.5 in 2011. Home=5 wins, Visitors= 5wins. Yet this year you have that they are 10-0 (though I only see 1 pro game at 4.5 in 2012). So I quickly deducted that I'm clueless and don't get the "Set #" concept.
If you could add some details, I'd really appreciate it.
tia
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Newfie - welcome.
I'm a data junkie (have years of sports data stored up in DBs), I'll crunch through these just on your say so.
What I don't understand is the "Set #" concept. Is a "Set #" any x.5 spread and the effect it has on the outcome? Do "set #'s" differ from year to year and/or team to team?
eg. I quickly looked at closing lines in the NFL of 4.5 in 2011. Home=5 wins, Visitors= 5wins. Yet this year you have that they are 10-0 (though I only see 1 pro game at 4.5 in 2012). So I quickly deducted that I'm clueless and don't get the "Set #" concept.
If you could add some details, I'd really appreciate it.
Schiman...its not something that can be back checked. In Canada they offer sports spreads to be parlayed as a type of "Lottery" . Newfie found that these spreads are posted at specific # to receive action that will appeal to bettors. So by tracking these Set #'s he found a pattern of games to keep an eye on.
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Schiman...its not something that can be back checked. In Canada they offer sports spreads to be parlayed as a type of "Lottery" . Newfie found that these spreads are posted at specific # to receive action that will appeal to bettors. So by tracking these Set #'s he found a pattern of games to keep an eye on.
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