So who’s going to beat Orb? Can he be beaten? Orb is beginning to look like a horse for the ages seemingly being able to run on concrete if he had to do it.
What’s going to beat him—if he is beatable—might be the post position and having tomaneuver into an outside position to be able to get his closing trip. Rosario is as hot as anyone in the country right now and his skills have improved ions over the past two years or so. If Rosario stays healthy and clean, he too, will be one for the ages.
#Orb…..What a breathtaking stretch run he had coming from 18 lengths and beyond the clouds. Assuming he can get clear on the outside after some quick fractions (Goldencents, Titletown Five, IMLD likely to go out), Rosario could get him in the center path for a final run. Orb has raced out of the 1 hole three times winning the FOY. In his first two career races as a two-year old, he finished 4th at Belmont 22 L out and third in his debut losing by just over a length.
#2 Goldencents….He had a woeful Derby and we all know he’s better than that. I think his best chance to win is for Krigger to try to get the lead and slow down the pace, but I don’t think Titletown or one or two others will allow him. I questioned Krigger’s ability long before the Derby---not too many journeymen riders pop like he did with this colt---and I have to question how well he will maneuver Goldencents at this track. Certainly capable of winning, but it will take a great horse and piloting job to beat Orb. That said, after seeing his Derby, I will ask, “Who has he beaten?”
#4 Departing….An excellent horse, but, one again I must ask, “Who has he beaten?” I had him second in the Illinois Derby and I don’t see him in the same class as Or, IMLD, MyLute or even Oxbow on a good day. In fact, in the ILL Derby, against a field of decent, but vanilla opponents, he circled way wide before the win. Should be a decent underlay that might draw more money than deserved.
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