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Wisconsin at Florida State (12/27/2008)

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Posted: #51
CJR25....A system that has worked well for me over the past few bowl seasons is taking the underdog when they have fewer wins than their bowl opponent.  Also, I like to take the underdog when they are statistically the better rushing team.  Wisconsin fits both of these systems, fewer wins than FSU and better rushing numbers. (Florida Atlantic fit both of these and won last night as a 7 pt. dog, along with a few other early bowl games.)
 
It seems that the public is heavy on FSU, so I will wait to see if the line can make it to Wisconsin +7.  If not, I'm still taking the badgers plus the points. 
 
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Posted: #52
CJR25 - Take Wisconsin + whatever for however much you have lost. Win your money back, stop betting, and realize that it is impossible to make consistent money doint this unless you understand that the majority of people who bet LOSE. So, use the practice of betting on the team that seems like it has the worst chance of winning, make decisions that just dont make any sense, and you will find that in the end, more often than not, you will make money this way. Be a nonconformist, and do not follow everyone who posts on here and always takes the fav. Take Wisc, and you will win, as they win straight up today, 24-20.
 
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Posted: #53
Badgers +6
 
Take the point (FSU can't generate enough point to give)
 
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Posted: #54
Wisconsin +6 (1 unit) vs. Florida St. - the Seminoles are not that good of a team, but neither are the Badgers too.  PJ Hill should find plenty of running room today and Wisconsin will need to play physical football in order to pull out a win.  I see them covering here because of a few FSU mistakes (fumbles).  Underdogs have been ruling lately and the public is currently pounding FSU at near 75% on Sports Insights.
 
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Posted: #55
Public is all over FSU.  The Public sucks at picking games.
 
WISCONSIN +6
 
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Posted: #56
When it looks too easy......It is...This almost reminds me of last night when I read everybody and their aunt on CMU.....Only to be blown up...Same here with FSU....This is not your fathers FSU team....they may win but dont confuse that,,,

Badgers dont impress me either but the sharps are on them..BEWARE
 
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Posted: #57
did any of you watch ponder play  he might be 1 of the worst q.b's in the nation he will throw at least 2 picks today 1 for a major  wisconsin will play this team tough today. ponder no good spells close game for wisconsin maybe even win outright
 
 
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Posted: #58
crj25  these are my best bets this weekend chicago +3 over houston,new england -7 over buffalo, jets-3 over miamiand i love louisiana tech pickem over northern hope these picks help you out crj25
 
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Posted: #59
i'm on the under and i'm also going to tease florida st.and cal together.  GL
 
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Posted: #60
fsu -5 all over wis.
 
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Posted: #61
God Wisconsin blows though....I might like them if they had a qb that could air it out since FSU will undoubtedly be trying to stop the run.  I dont know if this is similar to the FAU game because of FAU's rund D.  I picked FAU because they have a solid qb v a shitty as hell secondary, and I also liked the fact we had florida athletes v. northern athletes.  This is a similar scenario i think. FSU is stacked with an all Florida team for the most part and Wisconsin is composed of mainly Northern fairies. Still more work! I'll post my play before gametime.
 
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Posted: #62
This is a tough line, i would like to take the dog if it goes to 6 or 7.  lets see how much it moves as we get closer to gametime.

FSU - bowl game in FLA - seems obvious right?

but I dunno after what I saw last night.  that game seemed obvious as well.  CMU in Detroit. 

I'll check back before game time.  GLA - big bowl day!!
 
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Posted: #63
Still like the under here.  Tough call on the spread, but I cant get behind Florida State.  Lets go Badgers!
 
Badgers +5.5
 
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Posted: #64
Badgers +6
 
 
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Posted: #65
I smell a big fat rat in this game...the linesmakers aren't moving this number off the 6 and the o/u is actually going up to 52 in some places...be very careful here, I'm staying off the side but may play the OVER....GL tp all
 
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Posted: #66
Wiskey and the under for me.........look at the news articles the last couple years out of FSU.  More suspensions and players kicked off the team than the whole ACC combined.  They are young in key postitions, undisiplined and playing against a team that has under achieved this year. I am taking 2 dogs today, and this is certainly one of them.  Love Wiskey in this spot!!
 
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Posted: #67
For this game:
Leaning on WIsky, Wisky ML, and under.
 
BOL, I'll give an update closer to game time
 
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Posted: #68
i'm just likely staying on the over in this one, but taking a look at the action on the side as well. 

public is on fsu at 72%
line opened at 4.5, and is now at 6

money has been moving in the right direction, but watch for a late movement to wisky - that would indicate very sharp money to me. 


 
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Posted: #69
OVER 50 BUY BACK 1 POINT IN A HIGH SCORING GAME-OPPOSITE OF ALL THE SQUARES 
 
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Posted: #70
Wiskey with the points.  I know they havent looked good all year but FSU hasnt also.  FSU plays well at home and likes to play with teams who pass alot.  Think Whiskey will grind this out to a 21-17 game so I will take the points.
Wisc. won last 3  Fla st dropped 3 of last 5
Wisc will run and fla st has good def.
Liking under here and points
 
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Posted: #71
CJR - the smart thing to do is quit betting until you have the funds.  Placing another wager and losing will just make it worse.  You have to decide, just trying to give some sound advice, I've been there.  Good Luck with your decision!  Sharp   
 
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Posted: #72
Wisconsin +6
 
 Good Luck
 
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Posted: #73
Wisconsin Badgers | In-Depth
Kyle Jefferson WR Ques Dec 27 - Neck - 12/10/08 notesHe is dealing with a head and neck injury and is listed as questionable for the Champs Sports Bowl on December 27th.
Lance Kendricks TE out for season - Leg - 11/2/08 notesHe will miss the remainder of the season with a broken left fibula.
Brandon Hoey DL out for season - Back - 12/17/08 notesWill miss the remainder of the season with a back injury.
Kirk Decremer DL out for season - Back - 12/17/08 notesWill miss the remainder of the season with a back injury.
Kevin Rouse LB out for season - Shoulder - 12/17/08 notesWill miss the remainder of the season following shoulder surgery.
Aaron Henry DB out for season - Knee - 12/17/08 notesHe will miss the remainder of the season following knee surgery.
Brandon Kelly DL out for season - Arm - 12/10/08 notesHe is dealing with an arm injury and is out for the season.
Daven Jones WR out for season - Knee - 12/10/08 notesHe is dealing with a torn ACL and is out for the season.
Travis Beckum TE out for season - Leg - 10/27/08 notesHe will miss the rest of the season after having left leg surgery.

Anybody know how many of these Dmen are/were starters?
We need to know this! Bol to all of us
 
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Posted: #74
Hey Col, you never answered me on that Q about Bowdens last game? Whats the story on that? That is HUGE info.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by iangoogs:

CJR25 - Take Wisconsin + whatever for however much you have lost. Win your money back, stop betting, and realize that it is impossible to make consistent money doint this unless you understand that the majority of people who bet LOSE. So, use the practice of betting on the team that seems like it has the worst chance of winning, make decisions that just dont make any sense, and you will find that in the end, more often than not, you will make money this way. Be a nonconformist, and do not follow everyone who posts on here and always takes the fav. Take Wisc, and you will win, as they win straight up today, 24-20.

100% on the money, don't follow the herd mentality to the poor-house. I have USED a system that's been very effective producing consistent profits......

A .study and analyze all the stats, trends, injuries, odds, line moves and other relative info. until you're dizzy.

B. read from as many related message boards as possible

C. after you have changed your mind half a dozen times from all the distractive influences and the paranoid notion that the "books" are out to get you, make the logical pick.and........ BET the OPPOSITE

* one last bit of advice...don't think anyone on this thread is able to get you out of a hole, there really is no such thing as sure bet, that's why it's called gambling.

* learn some discipline and money management

* don't chase your losses cause you need to get even before settlement day with your BOOK

* most of all, REMEMBER!!!  this is entertainment, it's supposed to be fun!

my prediction......FSU   20

                         WISC 17

 

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