Can Bama win? - Of course we have already seen it.
Can Georgia win? - Of course.
So really what we have is a classic 50 / 50 game. Played 10 times, no team has a substantial advantage. So lets evaluate outcomes from a value standpoint vs. ego and picking winners.
Georgia ML - Presently at -148, not a good bet.
Georgia -3 (or somewhere around here). - Juice is lower at -106, but does anyone really want to give Bama points?
Bama +3. - Heavy juice at -115 and if you like Bama, you will still like them without the points.
Bama ML - There it is. You are getting a proven coach, outstanding 13-1 team, proven winner against GA @ +125, in A 50 / 50 game.
Now, can this pick lose? Absolutely. However, if you are a serious bettor this type of bet is really the bread and butter of longer term profitability. In this game any outcome is in play. Georgia can run wild and blow out Bama. Bama can shut down Georgia. The game could come down to last play for either team and I will not pay a premium for less certainty when I get 25 cents on the dollar in a 50 / 50 game. Finally by playing the ML, we do not have to concern ourselves with line movement and "public" consensus.
My 2 cents, BOL whichever way you bet as it will be a good one tonight.
Can Bama win? - Of course we have already seen it.
Can Georgia win? - Of course.
So really what we have is a classic 50 / 50 game. Played 10 times, no team has a substantial advantage. So lets evaluate outcomes from a value standpoint vs. ego and picking winners.
Georgia ML - Presently at -148, not a good bet.
Georgia -3 (or somewhere around here). - Juice is lower at -106, but does anyone really want to give Bama points?
Bama +3. - Heavy juice at -115 and if you like Bama, you will still like them without the points.
Bama ML - There it is. You are getting a proven coach, outstanding 13-1 team, proven winner against GA @ +125, in A 50 / 50 game.
Now, can this pick lose? Absolutely. However, if you are a serious bettor this type of bet is really the bread and butter of longer term profitability. In this game any outcome is in play. Georgia can run wild and blow out Bama. Bama can shut down Georgia. The game could come down to last play for either team and I will not pay a premium for less certainty when I get 25 cents on the dollar in a 50 / 50 game. Finally by playing the ML, we do not have to concern ourselves with line movement and "public" consensus.
My 2 cents, BOL whichever way you bet as it will be a good one tonight.
Absolutely. Look at the NFL scores yesterday. How many ended in 1-2 points? None and all my books are Bama +2.5 I’m not buying points. It’s either Bama ML or no play. Obviously like most novice gamblers they will make 1 big bet on 1 game so they want to make sure they have every opportunity to win so they will take +2.5 or buy .5 but if u are making similar bets over the course of a long time. The correct bet is Bama ML. Don’t be a sucker and give up +30 for 2.5 points here.
Absolutely. Look at the NFL scores yesterday. How many ended in 1-2 points? None and all my books are Bama +2.5 I’m not buying points. It’s either Bama ML or no play. Obviously like most novice gamblers they will make 1 big bet on 1 game so they want to make sure they have every opportunity to win so they will take +2.5 or buy .5 but if u are making similar bets over the course of a long time. The correct bet is Bama ML. Don’t be a sucker and give up +30 for 2.5 points here.
Good write up. I feel like Georgia, Kirby Smart, Stetson Bennett have not earned the right to be the favorite. I heard a stat that all of Georgia's wins this season came against passing offenses outside of the top 50 (out of 130 teams).
Good write up. I feel like Georgia, Kirby Smart, Stetson Bennett have not earned the right to be the favorite. I heard a stat that all of Georgia's wins this season came against passing offenses outside of the top 50 (out of 130 teams).
Unless of course you take satisfaction in pointing out people's loses, which is kind of strange. I openly admit to losing 53 % of my games, including last night. It was a considered possibility. Doesn't make it a bad bet. Especially when offset by my Detroit ML play at +500.
Unless of course you take satisfaction in pointing out people's loses, which is kind of strange. I openly admit to losing 53 % of my games, including last night. It was a considered possibility. Doesn't make it a bad bet. Especially when offset by my Detroit ML play at +500.
Subject lines here are clickbait by intent, but the content of my post didn't shit on any bet or outcome (except Georgia moneyline) and I gave my logic for each play. Point taken though, even though it was the intent.
Subject lines here are clickbait by intent, but the content of my post didn't shit on any bet or outcome (except Georgia moneyline) and I gave my logic for each play. Point taken though, even though it was the intent.
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