Week 12 Plays

Last week:

9-3 on posted Spread Plays

1-4 on Posted ML Dog Plays

On The Year:

63-49-1 on Posted Spread Plays

15-21 on Posted ML Dog Plays

Pretty good week overall last week, though I might have been a little pre-mature in bragging about my ML dog success.  The biggest ML play of mine was Stanford at +320 but I dont think it covered the 4 I got wrong. ND, WVU, Zona, and Auburn all had their chances to win though.  ND covered, but I didnt play the spread.  I did though play the WVU spread.

This Week:

RU -8 @ 'Cuse

Aside from it being Senior Day, I dont see any reason to take 'Cuse.  At 3-7 I dont see what they have left to play for, and I think RU is playing the best they have played all year.  Sciano is one of my favorite coaches to back in this sort of spot. 

Arky -11 vs Miss St.

Classic case of one teams strength is the other teams weakness. Arky defends the run and passes the ball well. Miss St runs the ball and cant stop the pass.  The only team that throws the ball really well that Miss St played well is UH.  The Cougs scored 31 on State (31-24).  Both Bama and Auburn exploited Miss St, but Miss St did play GT, LSU, UF fairly tight. Again I attribute a bit of that to matchups.

IU +3 vs Purdue

Two teams with the same record and a good ole in-state rivalry.  Purdue can hang their whole season on beating OSU, but IU has played everyone tough, and got lots of bad breaks along the way.  Another BS TD/missed call went against them at PSU. IU is still the same old Mash unit they have been for the past 3 weeks, but they keep fighting. This might be a sympathy play or maybe even a "tribute" play but I like this Hoosier team and will play the ML as well.

I'll add more but its a moving week so I am going to be on the road a lot.

Forgot to mention;

OK St. -14 vs CU

Also Added:

I added Buff -3 @ MOH last night.

After 2 straight weeks where Buff lost SU at home as a fav the books have them as a road fav against MOH.  This looks like a drop off in competition and I expect Buff to get the win this time.

BOL

Added:

CMU -15 @ Ball St.

Not a huge fan of the play, but I think they win by 10+.

USF-11 VS L'ville

USF plays much better at home and I am fading L'ville and 'Cuse this weekend.  They both suck.

Card Thus Far:

Buff -3 @ MOH 

CMU -15 @ Ball St. 

Ok St -14.5 vs CU

RU -8 @ Cuse

IU +3 vs Purd'ont

USF -11 vs L'ville

Arky -11 vs Miss St.

Thanks to all the well wishers.  I'll be sure to check out your threads as well. 

Added a few plays including Akron +10.5 and Akron ML +355.

I see several good reasons to back Akron today.  They have better numbers on defense, run the ball better, and I think the line is high.  Despite all the action on BG this line has dropped a bit from where it opened.

IU ML +135. 

Toledo -16 vs EMU. 

I think this line is high, but I cant find a reason to back EMU other than I have no idea who will play QB for Toledo.

BOL

Just my thought like e.mich +20and utah st. + 24

Added:

LSU ML +175 @ Ole Miss

Strictly a value play.

Card Thus Far:

Buff -3 @ MOH 

CMU -15 @ Ball St. 

Ok St -14.5 vs CU 

RU -8 @ Cuse

IU +3 vs Purd'ont

USF -11 vs L'ville

Arky -11 vs Miss St.

Akron +10.5   

Akron ML +355  

Toledo-16      

LSU ML +175

IU ML +135