Week 10 Leans/Plays

I think Indiana is in a big let down spot.  Came so close to upsetting Iowa, only to lose it, with Iowa pulling away.  I see Indiana having a tough time getting up for Wisconsin, who had a nice convincing win against Purdue.  I think Wisconsin is much the better team, in this spot, and will win fairly comfortably at Indiana. I'll take Wisconsin +11

Love it, Whodey! 

Be careful with UL-Monroe ... North Texas is 4-1 ATS when Riley Dodge plays the whole game.  They're actually competitive this year with him at QB.

Quote Originally Posted by Whodeysb09:

Updated Leans:

Air Force -17
Pittsburgh -21 Should have jumped at 19, not going to play this anymore.  Might even take a look at Cuse if it gets any higher.
West Virginia -20
LSU +9
Florida State +8.5
Utah State -3 - Trusting them as a road dog, in Hawaii is just nuts.
Utah -27.5
Michigan State -17.5

Lines are tough.  Probably be making most plays closer to game time.

Whodey,

Killing me.  I read where you were basically on the opposite side of all these plays earlier in your own thread.  You use this space to think about these plays in your head?  Looks like you type it up just to see what it looks like.

pitt/'cue

is a tough one.  For 2 weeks now I have been waiting for 'Cuse to beat someone and Pitt to lay down a clunker.  I think Cincy is better than Pitt (at least better coached) so I can see Cuse covering but not really interested in playing this either way.

Boise/La Tech

Boise might be 21 points better.  On the Blue Carpet I would think about it.  Laying the 20+ on the road doesnt interest me much.  Actually La Tech +1100 might be worth a long shot.

LSU/Bama

I dont think Bama is playing well enough on defense to warrent a two score line against the LSU defense.  The line is dropping as it should, but again, I think this game is closer than a big line.

Utah St is very interesting.  I've played them a few times this year including Sat night.  Tough to lay points on the road, but that would be my lean.

SMU is also very tempting.

I played UTEP -7 at Tulane.

At this point, I am not sure there are many teams in C-USA that wouldnt cover that number at Tulane.  Rice is certainly one, then maybe UAB.

BOL

Not only would I encourage people to look at the teams that I have picked here, but check out who they are playing.  Temple is playing someone who ranks in the bottom 10% of almost every defensive stat.   TCU thinks it has a shot a title game but they need to blow away their opponents.  There are some good dogs out there, just not on y list!!!  HOU is 7-1 ATS and is the #1 passing team in all college football.  Unless someone can match TD for TD, HOU will always win by more than 7 until playing a team that can play not good but great D.   Ive been profitable 7 weeks running and while I may not be taking a lot of dogs, AWAY favorites have a history of winning because the public cares WAY to much about home games in places that dont matter.  Home field applys at games like KU vs MIZZ or NC@Duke.  Not Boise St @ Louisiana Tech.

It is true that Cuse's bet WR quit the team this morning. Mike Williams maybe?  I read the article.  Pitt may be the right side, I just hate putting money behind Wanny.

Utah St is -3.  I hate betting against Hawaii on the island, but they are bad.  Prolly a no play.

Tulsa/Houston is a no play.  Who knows which team will play defense.  USM just hung 43 on UH.  That o/u should be 100.  Seriously at 85 that would be low.

Quote Originally Posted by Whodeysb09:

Damn Stanford is a rough ass schedule down the road but 3 out of 4 are at home.  Sitting at 5-3..they have a chance not to be bowl eligible.  This would be one of the best teams not to become bowl eligible in a long, long time. 

Fighting for a bowl game this week..



Oregon
@USC
California
Notre Dame - LOSS

You are funny Brother ...

Your Boys should lose to PITT and Stanford