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WEEK 1 Wagers---NCAAFB ----DoubleUp4Life

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Posted: #101
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WEEK 1 Wagers
(with long write-ups to follow) 
 
Large Wagers 5+ Units
 
 
Troy -5.5  -110 The Greek
6.6 Units to Win 6 Units
Troy -5 -110 Bookmaker
2.2 Units to Win 2 Units
Troy -6 -110 Bookmaker
0.825 Units to Win 0.75 Units
 
Kentucky -13 -110 The Greek
6.6 Units to Win 6 Units
 
Arizona -12 -110 The Greek
2.2 Units to Win 2 Units
Arizona -12 -110 Bookmaker
 3.575 Units to Win 3.25  Units   
 
Stanford -18 -110 Greek
3.3 Units to Win 3 Units
Stanford -14 -120 Bookmaker
2.4 Units to Win 2 Units
 
 
2.5+-4.95 Units
Standard Wagers
 
Nebraska -20 -110 Greek
3.85 Units to Win 3.5 Units
 
Colorado -10 -120 Greek
3.6 Units to Win 3 Units
Colorado -10 -120 Bookmaker
1.2 Units to Win 1 Unit
 
Texas A&M -10 -120 Greek
3.6 Units to Win 3 Units
 
Small Wagers
 Under 2.5 Units
 
Oregon +6.5 -110 5 Dimes
2.2 Units to Win 2 Units
 
Over 44.5 -110 Ohio St vs Navy
Greek
2.2 Units to Win 2 Units  
 
Michigan -8 -110 Greek
2.2 Units to Win 2 Units
 
Over 50 -110  5 Dimes
Rutgers vs Cincinnati
2.2 Units to Win 2 Units
 
Georgia +6 -110 Bookmaker
1.65 Units to Win  1.5 Units
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #102
Great job smacking those early lines man!!!  You got great numbers on the right sides, good work. 
 
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Posted: #103

Good luck on your plays. Way too many plays for me.  'Remember, the more plays you wager on, the higher the odds of you ending up in the 50% range.'  GL.

LOL, while this actually may be true, guys who think like this are the reason guys like us make a lot of money doing this.....

 
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Posted: #104
Absolutely love Kentucky and Stanford.. 2 under-rated teams this year IMHO

 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by GAMBLE_4heisman:

Great job smacking those early lines man!!!  You got great numbers on the right sides, good work. 

it works out sometimes ...

But plenty of times last year I pounded a team when the lines were released on Sunday ,The Line went the other way ....

Don't think it really cost me anything either way ...

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by GAMBLE_4heisman:

Good luck on your plays. Way too many plays for me.  'Remember, the more plays you wager on, the higher the odds of you ending up in the 50% range.'  GL.

LOL, while this actually may be true, guys who think like this are the reason guys like us make a lot of money doing this.....

I am a action Junkie ..

. I rarely if ever play less than 10 games per week during the season ....

As Long as I come out on the Plus side at seasons end this will never change ....

 

 

 

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #107
Here are my Dogs I am waiting to Play for week 1
 
Hoping for some Line Movement ... I most likely will stay away from these unless I get the Line listed below
 
San Diego St  20+   Classic back Door Game ???shocked to see this one sitting at 17.5/18
 
Ohio 6+   I wanted a few more than the current 4.. The Bobcats should go 7-5 or better this year... Very close to jumping on this one SOON
 
Missouri 7.5+    at the Current 7 it might be worth a play .. Juice + Zook are shaky at best  
 
Maryland 21.5+   waiting for more Points with he Terps.. everyone and their Grandma is on the Bears
Finally reached 21.5 on 5 Dimes
 
U at Buffalo 7+   might be a hard trip to Texas for the Bulls but a TD would be nice
 
Army 6+   The Cadets made a Great hire in HC Ellerson....
 
Idaho 4.5+    NM St is really bad . The Vandals have enough for a small upset in this spot
 
La Tech 14.5+   I want more than 2 TD's ... thinking this one will be really low scoring ... The Bulldogs have a very Good O-Line and a Head Coach who could be in a BCS Conference next year (Derek Dooley)
 
Memphis 17.5+  Rebels Have much bigger games to look forward to....
 
Cincinnati 6.5+    The Over 50 is my current play... The Bearcats should be in a for a tight BE clash ...
 
 
Already have small wagers on Georgia +6 and Oregon +6.5
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #108
Current Numbers 
Actual Line   VS
 My Point Spread Ratings
                               Line      PSR's 
Thursday
NC St  vs SC            3.5           12.5    
Utah vs Utah St       21           19
Boise St. vs Oregon  5.5         2
Troy at B. Green       6.5         17
Ball St. vs N Texas    17.5      7
Friday
Tulsa at Tulane       13.5        10
Saturday
Ohio St vs Navy      22           24
Penn St vs Akron    27          38
Michigan vs WMU    12         18
UConn at Ohio          4           1
N. Dame vs Nevada  14         13
Oklahoma St vs Georgia 6     4
Kentucky vs*Miami Oh  14    33.5 
*Oklahoma vs BYU  21.5       23.5
*Illinois vs Missouri  7           4
UAB vs Rice                4.5       9
Wake Forest vs Baylor  1       3.5
Minnesota at Syracuse  7      9
EMU vs Army                 5.5      2
Wisconsin vs N. Illini   16      22.5
Purdue vs Toledo        12       9.5
Stanford at WSU        16.5      19.5
Auburn vs La Tech      13       13
Texas A&M vs NM      13.5     19.5
*Alabama vs Va Tech   6.5     7.5
NM St vs Idaho             3.5      3
Utep vs Buffalo           6.5        12
CAL vs Maryland         21.5     21.5
USC vs SJ St.               34.5    42.5
Arizona vs CMU            12       16.5
UCLA vs SD St.            17.5     15.5
LSU at Washington      16       15
Nebraska vs FAU         21       34.5
Clemson vs MD Tn St   19.5    28.5
Texas vs ULM              40.5     54.5
Tennessee vs WKU       30      44
Sunday
Ole Miss at Memphis    16.5   25.5
Colorado vs Colorado St  11    17
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #109
I see way too many plays here.  You must have a very small amount of money per unit, to wager that many games.  Just how many games do you plan to wager on?  So far, I have seen at least 20, which is totally rediculous.  No pro gambers wagers on 20 college games per week. Not even close my friend.  You have too many games.  Rule #1.  The more games you wager, the closer to .500 you will finish. 
 
Oregon is a bad play if you take the points.  The points are absolutely worthless here.  In their last 12 losses, over 3 years, Oregon has lost 11 of  those games by 7 or more points.  Why waste the wager?  Take Oregon and the ML. Their history shows that they either win, or do not cover.  I think that the ML is a good wager, because Boise lost potential starting LG Cory Yriarte.  Boise is already inexperienced enough on that side of the line.  You can still get Oregon +170, which is a much better wager than getting a few points (currently 6 and dropping).
 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH:

I see way too many plays here.  You must have a very small amount of money per unit, to wager that many games.  Just how many games do you plan to wager on?  So far, I have seen at least 20, which is totally rediculous.  No pro gambers wagers on 20 college games per week. Not even close my friend.  You have too many games.  Rule #1.  The more games you wager, the closer to .500 you will finish. 
 
Oregon is a bad play if you take the points.  The points are absolutely worthless here.  In their last 12 losses, over 3 years, Oregon has lost 11 of  those games by 7 or more points.  Why waste the wager?  Take Oregon and the ML. Their history shows that they either win, or do not cover.  I think that the ML is a good wager, because Boise lost potential starting LG Cory Yriarte.  Boise is already inexperienced enough on that side of the line.  You can still get Oregon +170, which is a much better wager than getting a few points (currently 6 and dropping).

So I Bust you telling Lies and BS about 3x times a week and you think I give a shit about what you have to say ????

 

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by BBallday10:

Absolutely love Kentucky and Stanford.. 2 under-rated teams this year IMHO

totally agree I am really High on Both teams being very good ATS this season ....

BOL Brother

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by BBallday10:

Absolutely love Kentucky and Stanford.. 2 under-rated teams this year IMHO

stanford and kentucky are....... 1st week
 
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Posted: #113
ADDING
 
Minnesota -7 -110 Bookmaker
3.3 Units to Win 3 Units
 
 
Thanks for the Final Push 
Brothers ---- Wahoos + Cherokee10
 
 
 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #114
Glad to see Zona make your Large plays.  bol Double
 
What happened to Archie??! haha
 
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Posted: #115
double,,its your card dude,,play it like YOU want to , dont let the bastards get you down
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by vtiger20:

Glad to see Zona make your Large plays.  bol Double
 
What happened to Archie??! haha

Really love Arizona  in this spot

Hopefully you and I Double Up on that One

Archie will be back after  the Buckeyes lose to USC

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #117
Double, Interested to hear your thoughts on Ole Miss/Memphis.  No disrespect at all to Memphis, as I feel they are a talented team, but I think Ole Miss is so freaking talented this yr. that they should have no problem winning by 3 td's.  Would like to hear your opinion.
 
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Posted: #118
BOL Double and bet on as many games as you damn well feel.... I know I will be watching your plays....
 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by themog:

Double, Interested to hear your thoughts on Ole Miss/Memphis.  No disrespect at all to Memphis, as I feel they are a talented team, but I think Ole Miss is so freaking talented this yr. that they should have no problem winning by 3 td's.  Would like to hear your opinion.

I really Like the Rebels this year to win 9+ Games ...

Houston Nutt has done a amazing job in such a short time  .. at this time last year if you have told People Ole Miss would be in the Presseason Top 10 TY  People would have thought you were a Idiot or Super Homer ...

Nobody will overlook the Rebels this season and they might be Overvalued by oddsmakers  right now ...

I would not Lay More than 14 Points in this rivalary spot .. although MY PSR's have Mississippi -25.5...

 I most likely will just be sitting this one out unless the Line moves 3+ points in either direction  

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

ADDING
 
Minnesota -7 -110 Bookmaker
3.3 Units to Win 3 Units
 
 
Thanks for the Final Push 
Brothers ---- Wahoos + Cherokee10
 
 
 

 

Excellent play, but when the news broke yesterday about the Syracuse PK walking off the team, why did you not play Minny -6.5 then?  Was it that you were just not able to get down then?  As soon as we saw the line climb to -7 at Caesars and the "M", we jumped on this at -6.5.

This is our 4th play (not counting the two "middles" we have).  We are still looking for one or two more, depending on whether or not we middle our Illinois -2 1/2 if the line climbs to 7.5 or higher.  Hard to turn down a 3 and a 7 middle.  Penn State is looking like a potnetial play here, especially since the line dropped from 28.5 to the 27 we can get now.  I know you are on that. 

 

We are also looking to fade Mississippi, who is just terrible at the beginning of seasons.  Their record in their first 3 lined games of the year ATS in the past 5 years is 3-12.  They are 0-5 as a non-con away favorite, and 1-3 at Memphis ATS in their last 4 trips.  Remember, this was the team that started last year with a 3-4 record, including losses to South Carolina and Vandy at home.  I guess there is little interest in this game because the line has not budged either way off it's opener of -17.

 

We were thinking of fading Colorado, but then eveyone else did, so now that is a pass.  We think Colorado is overrated, that their coach belongs back in the WAC.  Their 2-10 as a non-con HF record does not help them either.  We thing Colorado State's Steve Fairchild did an excellent job with his club last year, his first as HC.  We believe that he has laid a good foundation.  We will watch the line.

 

So far,we have UCLA -17, Tulsa -13.5 and Minnesota -6.5, along with the afore mentioned Illinois game.  Good Luck!!

 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by HamSir:

BOL Double and bet on as many games as you damn well feel.... I know I will be watching your plays....

I don't understand why people are afraid of betting  "too many games "

You win alot more Money if you Go 55%+ on 1000 games than if you hit 55% on 100 Games ....

I will always bet alot of games if I have a Bankroll

Thanks Brother  and enjoy your Day

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #122
Good luck with your splays for week #1 and good luck with your season man....
 
 
Billy
 
 
 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH:

  

 

We are also looking to fade Mississippi, who is just terrible at the beginning of seasons.  Their record in their first 3 lined games of the year ATS in the past 5 years is 3-12.  They are 0-5 as a non-con away favorite, and 1-3 at Memphis ATS in their last 4 trips.  Remember, this was the team that started last year with a 3-4 record, including losses to South Carolina and Vandy at home.  I guess there is little interest in this game because the line has not budged either way off it's opener of -17.

 

I may be way off here, but I feel this is a different Ole Miss team and those stats are irrelevant.  I think Memphis is a decent team, but Ole Miss is deep and talented at almost every position and I really dont see how Memphis will be able to keep this under 21.  Yes this is a much bigger game for Memphis, but I am of the opinion that after playing a relatively close game last yr, Ole Miss won't be caught screwing around in this one.  Anyways, please let me have it as I like Ole Miss here and seem to be alone in that so maybe I am really off base here. 

 
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Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by themog:

 

I may be way off here, but I feel this is a different Ole Miss team and those stats are irrelevant.  I think Memphis is a decent team, but Ole Miss is deep and talented at almost every position and I really dont see how Memphis will be able to keep this under 21.  Yes this is a much bigger game for Memphis, but I am of the opinion that after playing a relatively close game last yr, Ole Miss won't be caught screwing around in this one.  Anyways, please let me have it as I like Ole Miss here and seem to be alone in that so maybe I am really off base here. 

Agree I would throw the Ole Miss Pre Houston Nutt trends out the Window ....

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH:

 

Excellent play, but when the news broke yesterday about the Syracuse PK walking off the team, why did you not play Minny -6.5 then?  Was it that you were just not able to get down then?  As soon as we saw the line climb to -7 at Caesars and the "M", we jumped on this at -6.5.

This is our 4th play (not counting the two "middles" we have).  We are still looking for one or two more, depending on whether or not we middle our Illinois -2 1/2 if the line climbs to 7.5 or higher.  Hard to turn down a 3 and a 7 middle.  Penn State is looking like a potnetial play here, especially since the line dropped from 28.5 to the 27 we can get now.  I know you are on that. 

 

We are also looking to fade Mississippi, who is just terrible at the beginning of seasons.  Their record in their first 3 lined games of the year ATS in the past 5 years is 3-12.  They are 0-5 as a non-con away favorite, and 1-3 at Memphis ATS in their last 4 trips.  Remember, this was the team that started last year with a 3-4 record, including losses to South Carolina and Vandy at home.  I guess there is little interest in this game because the line has not budged either way off it's opener of -17.

 

We were thinking of fading Colorado, but then eveyone else did, so now that is a pass.  We think Colorado is overrated, that their coach belongs back in the WAC.  Their 2-10 as a non-con HF record does not help them either.  We thing Colorado State's Steve Fairchild did an excellent job with his club last year, his first as HC.  We believe that he has laid a good foundation.  We will watch the line.

 

So far,we have UCLA -17, Tulsa -13.5 and Minnesota -6.5, along with the afore mentioned Illinois game.  Good Luck!!

 

'WE, We, we...'''  how many mice do you have in that pocket???

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