Posted:
#1
Saturday Home Dog = Colorado St + 3
Each week I look for a home dog that meets the following criteria:
1) favorite has a losing road record straight up last three yrs
2) dog has a winning home record straight up last three yrs
3) pointspread is less than a touchdown
4) there are no major intangibles i.e. injuries to consider
A simple theory but one that makes sense, should the
favorite actually be favored in this game.
This has been a successful angle in the past, for example
last week the pick was Conn + 5 a winner
This week Nev @ Colo St + 3 is the pick
A bonus stat to consider, Colo St is 7-1 su vs Nev since '92
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