NCAAF Week 5

My initial lean in this game was Oklahoma,believing that they will be able to produce a bit more offense than Texas,but this game will come down to defense.  Statistically, on offense, Oklahoma holds the edge thru the air and Texas on the ground.  Oklahoma has been able to generate over 300 yards passing per game...partly attributed to going up against weak pass defenses as in Utah St and Cin. so I don't expect the same against Texas.  Just look at what Texas did against Texas Tech.  They held the #23 pass offense to 158 yards.  As far as Oklahoma running game, it is non existent and I don't expect it to pick up all a sudden against one of the best run defenses.  Yes I know what UCLA did to them LW, but 1) UCLA is a better run team & 2) they will see a more conventional run team this week.  Just look at how my bears did against that Nevada pistol offense and than how they followed up against a conventional offense in Arizona...it was night and day.  Texas has struggled offensively both on the ground and thru the air, but I have no respect for this Oklahoma defense and Texas should be able to generate enough offense to win this game.  Bottom line, I believe Texas defense will be too much for Oklahoma and contrastingly, Texas will have some success on offense against a weak Okla. defense. I also like the fact that Texas lost LW, which is probably the last thing Stoops wanted, because I'm sure Texas cannot wait to get back on the field and they will play with a chip on their shoulder.  I also love the under in this game.

I'm actually quite glad Kentucky got blown out LW and Bama played a close game last week because this line has been dropping.  I'll lock this in before kickoff, hoping it gets to 7 but I'll take this up to 10.  The reason Bama played such a close game against Arkansas is because that was a bad match up for them.  The question mark coming in for the tide was their secondary and Arkansas has the number 3 pass offense.  And this is what kept them in the game.  This is a non threat against Florida as they are one of the worst passing teams in the nation.  Knowing this, I see Saban being extra aggressive bringing blitzes and forcing the unproven Brantley to beat them.  He has yet to see a defense as Bama and he has struggled.  On the flip side, Florida has a good run defense which is essential against the Tide, but Bama is well balanced so that is not enough.  Fla is going to have to prove they can stop McLeroy as well.  Thus Florida has allowed avg teams, that do not posses the dual threat Bama does, to gain yards thru the air against them.  For example, Tenn & Kentucky were both able to get over 250 yards passing against them.  Miami-Oh even got over 200 yards.  So basically for Fla., it will be pick you poison.  Are you gonna stop the run or the pass.  The Bama offense is too balanced for Florida to handle. And their defense will force Fla to beat them with the pass and I don't see that happening.