So, I typically only bet college football, which allows me to put in the work to get a better sense of teams, conferences, and coaching staffs. Bc of the amount of work, and time it takes to study 130 teams, most who are relying on players that were back ups a season ago. So when a pandemic shut down all US sports (Including CFB spring football) It was really hard to put in the same amount of work as usual. I've still been able to isolate several bets that I really like.
So obviously the biggest issue is will there be a CFB season, and if there is what will the rosters look like? Clemson already lost Justyn Ross, and then had +20 players with Covid. Bc of Covid being a medical issue, the media doesnt announce which players had the illness. On top of the Covid issue, weve heard 3 superstars talk about not playing this season, including FSU DT superstar Marvin Wilson, RB Chubba Hubbard, and RB Kylin Hill. There teammates have been supporting teammates, and alluded to skipping the season as well... Fortunately I think those players are going to play.
Betting season win totals requires looking into what the sportsbooks policy is for cancelled games. Depending on the team, I would feel way better taking a team to win a division/conference rather than exceeding win total. A few yrs back the state of Florida had those devastating hurricanes, and all of the Florida schools missed at least one game. Instead of taking Clemson over 11.5 wins, it might make more sense to take them to win the ACC, or make the playoffs (I could def imagine a situation where teams cancel their FCS games.)
I will be looking to bet on teams that return their entire coaching staff, a high level QB, teams with both experience, as well as returning production. It's also critical to look at the past 2-3 recruiting classes, including transfers. I also give teams that made a bowl game the previous season a bonus, especially if it was a new years bowl, and allowed the team to have those 15 extra practices. This is even more benefical to the teams that recruited at a high level, since their freshman early enrollees were able to practice with the team. In the case of Clemson, most of their FREAK top recruits enrolled early, and not only practiced with the team during their playoff run, they also began working w strength coach. Their season went until the mid of January, and their spring fball started earlier than most schools. Their freshman were also able to participate in 11 spring practices, which is a huge advantage. No other power 5 school other than Louisville had any spring practices. Clemsons Freshman were essentially with the team from mid december to middle of march.
If you're going to bet futures, its crucial that you look at which programs could overcome loss of starting QB. Some of the teams i'd focus on are, Clemson, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Tenn, SC, UNC, Texas, Tx AM, USC, Ohio State, Miami, ND, etc..
Im sorry if this doesnt make sense, but i havent slept in like 36 hrs