Need some perspectives on some games/teams if anyone has any…
Houston/UTSA- line -4.5 Houston
1) UTSA has the same offense as last year except McCormick.. All 3 WRs and QB.. defense is kind of weak and I know Houston has a lot coming back but at UTSA 4.5 point underdogs?? I think this offense can go tit for tat with Houston..
2) Army at Coastal Carolina- CC Qb still there but lost 3 Huge weapons and thier best defender on an already weak defense.. How will they stop Army’s offense? I’m leaning Army in this one.. Spread is CC -3.5
3) BYU/So FL… I know.. I know… but I used to live in So FL and that muggy humidity will make a difference as it will in the Utah/UF game.. spread -12 BYU.. plus USF got transfer Bohanon from Baylor… at USF..
4) Western Michigan-will they suck without Moore/Elerby and the loss of thier best defender?
5)Purdue- WR bell is gone… seems like he was catching every pass… best weapon on team gone and their star DL Kara-something gone.. how is this line only 3 on the PSU game?
6) Tulane- anyone think they will improve?
Been researching all these teams and want to see what everyone else thinks..
Need some perspectives on some games/teams if anyone has any…
Houston/UTSA- line -4.5 Houston
1) UTSA has the same offense as last year except McCormick.. All 3 WRs and QB.. defense is kind of weak and I know Houston has a lot coming back but at UTSA 4.5 point underdogs?? I think this offense can go tit for tat with Houston..
2) Army at Coastal Carolina- CC Qb still there but lost 3 Huge weapons and thier best defender on an already weak defense.. How will they stop Army’s offense? I’m leaning Army in this one.. Spread is CC -3.5
3) BYU/So FL… I know.. I know… but I used to live in So FL and that muggy humidity will make a difference as it will in the Utah/UF game.. spread -12 BYU.. plus USF got transfer Bohanon from Baylor… at USF..
4) Western Michigan-will they suck without Moore/Elerby and the loss of thier best defender?
5)Purdue- WR bell is gone… seems like he was catching every pass… best weapon on team gone and their star DL Kara-something gone.. how is this line only 3 on the PSU game?
6) Tulane- anyone think they will improve?
Been researching all these teams and want to see what everyone else thinks..
Not too sure about that one.. UTSA is at home.. they are coming off the biggest season in school history and starting an experienced QB back .. they also have both of their best weapons in Franklin and Cepheus back at WR… and Trailer is a great coach… they would LOVE to have this game for recruiting in Texas and Houston is not far away so even being competitive in this game is important… plus Houston should have lost that bowl game to Auburn if it wasn’t for a couple calls… I don’t know.. but I’m just not scared of Houston… and they usually always start slowly… Only advantage Houston has is Defense and that’s not going to stop UTSA on offense… UTSA also has no fear and loves taking on power 5 as they walked into Illinois last year and handed them a loss at home week 1…
Not too sure about that one.. UTSA is at home.. they are coming off the biggest season in school history and starting an experienced QB back .. they also have both of their best weapons in Franklin and Cepheus back at WR… and Trailer is a great coach… they would LOVE to have this game for recruiting in Texas and Houston is not far away so even being competitive in this game is important… plus Houston should have lost that bowl game to Auburn if it wasn’t for a couple calls… I don’t know.. but I’m just not scared of Houston… and they usually always start slowly… Only advantage Houston has is Defense and that’s not going to stop UTSA on offense… UTSA also has no fear and loves taking on power 5 as they walked into Illinois last year and handed them a loss at home week 1…
Houston is a lot better than Illinois...And Houston had a big lead on Texas Tech at home 1st game last season and they blew, yet finished the season ranked...Tune has NFL potential as QB. I know UTSA is up and coming and should win the CUSA, but Houston may win the AAC which is 2 steps up in competition, in my opinion. All that and Holgorson has a chip on his shoulders. He took a quasi demotion (from P5 to non P5) in the move from West Virginia to Houston, where I think he got a raise...Holgorson is a brilliant play caller. Houston has the secondary to keep UTSA's passing game in check...UTSA like Houston (AKA Cougar High) is a commuter school...Sure, they will have some fans in the stands...I just cap Houston as a Top 20 program going into this season, while UTSA is a solid Top 70...I think that delta in talent, and in my opinion, coaching and resources, should be more than enough to cover the modest spread...GL on your other picks...We are about 80 days away...
Houston is a lot better than Illinois...And Houston had a big lead on Texas Tech at home 1st game last season and they blew, yet finished the season ranked...Tune has NFL potential as QB. I know UTSA is up and coming and should win the CUSA, but Houston may win the AAC which is 2 steps up in competition, in my opinion. All that and Holgorson has a chip on his shoulders. He took a quasi demotion (from P5 to non P5) in the move from West Virginia to Houston, where I think he got a raise...Holgorson is a brilliant play caller. Houston has the secondary to keep UTSA's passing game in check...UTSA like Houston (AKA Cougar High) is a commuter school...Sure, they will have some fans in the stands...I just cap Houston as a Top 20 program going into this season, while UTSA is a solid Top 70...I think that delta in talent, and in my opinion, coaching and resources, should be more than enough to cover the modest spread...GL on your other picks...We are about 80 days away...
At this moment the Lions look like they have some holes. They only had 5 healthy O-lineman for the spring game and DL PJ Mustipher still recovering from knee injury sustained vs Iowa. Their running game was lousy last yr, how can it improve with depleted O- line? Bell for Purdue gone but so is Dotson from Penn St!!! Who the hell is Dotson??
David Bell 2021, 93 recpts, 1286 yds, 6 tds
Jahan Dotson 2021, 91 recpts, 1182 yds, 12 tds.
Penn St OC on his 2nd yr, first time in awhile Lions had same OC two years in a row. Good thing.
Purdue beat Iowa and Illinois last yr, Penn St lost to same. Lions had injuries to Clifford and Mustipher though, so.........
Penn St played OSU and MSU tougher than Boilermakers, so......
For me it's wait till August, what does Penn St look like then? Bet Line may move but will have better idea. Maybe Franklin grabs a couple of decent lineman. And what about Mustipher? He was having a great year til he got hurt.
At this moment the Lions look like they have some holes. They only had 5 healthy O-lineman for the spring game and DL PJ Mustipher still recovering from knee injury sustained vs Iowa. Their running game was lousy last yr, how can it improve with depleted O- line? Bell for Purdue gone but so is Dotson from Penn St!!! Who the hell is Dotson??
David Bell 2021, 93 recpts, 1286 yds, 6 tds
Jahan Dotson 2021, 91 recpts, 1182 yds, 12 tds.
Penn St OC on his 2nd yr, first time in awhile Lions had same OC two years in a row. Good thing.
Purdue beat Iowa and Illinois last yr, Penn St lost to same. Lions had injuries to Clifford and Mustipher though, so.........
Penn St played OSU and MSU tougher than Boilermakers, so......
For me it's wait till August, what does Penn St look like then? Bet Line may move but will have better idea. Maybe Franklin grabs a couple of decent lineman. And what about Mustipher? He was having a great year til he got hurt.
Penn state did get a replacement at WR for Dotson that think will work out with Tinsley (wku)… but they lost significant defensive pieces..most likely will stay away on this game…
And maybe you guys are right on Houston.. just don’t underestimate those vets on UTSA offense and what I call super-bowl theory to a small school… but they should be able to move the ball easily on UTSA defense…
Good analysis guys … feel feel to comment on any week 1 game… we gotta beat the early lines
Penn state did get a replacement at WR for Dotson that think will work out with Tinsley (wku)… but they lost significant defensive pieces..most likely will stay away on this game…
And maybe you guys are right on Houston.. just don’t underestimate those vets on UTSA offense and what I call super-bowl theory to a small school… but they should be able to move the ball easily on UTSA defense…
Good analysis guys … feel feel to comment on any week 1 game… we gotta beat the early lines
South Florida is now well coached…They have taken their lumps over the last 5 years…I don’t trust the BYU coach in the road in game 1…On paper BYU should win and cover, but I think south Florida may come into the season underrated and with the talented kid transfer from Baylor may make this a competitive game. No play for me, but your angle is reasonable…It’s going to be hot and muggy and by the end of the 4th quarter, South Florida could still be in the game…If the game were in Provo it would be a 3 TD blowout, but in Tampa maybe a competitive game…
South Florida is now well coached…They have taken their lumps over the last 5 years…I don’t trust the BYU coach in the road in game 1…On paper BYU should win and cover, but I think south Florida may come into the season underrated and with the talented kid transfer from Baylor may make this a competitive game. No play for me, but your angle is reasonable…It’s going to be hot and muggy and by the end of the 4th quarter, South Florida could still be in the game…If the game were in Provo it would be a 3 TD blowout, but in Tampa maybe a competitive game…
Exactly… The heat is brutal… and this is a big game for So FL… and you are right about the coaching… I think they turn a corner this year and at least keep this close… It will be 95 % humidity in that game on the field and don’t forget… it rains every day in south FL from April til Sept…
Exactly… The heat is brutal… and this is a big game for So FL… and you are right about the coaching… I think they turn a corner this year and at least keep this close… It will be 95 % humidity in that game on the field and don’t forget… it rains every day in south FL from April til Sept…
UTSA had an excellant qb in Haris and its wr's are outstanding. Ol line is solid but they lost the best running back in the country in Sincere McCormick . Harris played play action to Sincere which caused his 3 wr's to be open because everyone was so concerned with the 5'8 Sincere hiding behind the DL and LB's that the safeties had to stay home . But UTSA just signed a transfer portal running back from a power 5 school that could replace Sincere somewhat. UTSA coach Traylor is 19-7 in 2 years and was a former HS coach loved by his fellow Texas HS coaches. He is outstanding recruiting everyone in the state . Think there defense is there problem They gave up 31,45,41, and 38 points in last 4 games. i know North Texas beat them 45--23 at the end of the season . They lost to San Diego St in a bowl game 38-24 and 2 weeks before that did beat WKU 49-41. they ended up 12-2 . The home game at the Alomodome is a home field but they will get about 35,000 and the place is so big . It looks empty even with the 35,000. Think they have Army next and then Texas. Tough schedule.. UTSA should win conference again but 1st 3 games are tough. Don't know much about Houston but they held Auburn to 13 pts last year in the Birmingham Bowl . Tune their qb's brother was a qb for North Texas but this Tune is a lot better. Back later to capp game but think Houston should be a touchdown favorite and the Coogs know the Roadrunners aren't sneaking up on anybody this year. Think the Army game will be more interesting because Roadrunners will have a tough time trying to stop Army's ground attack
UTSA had an excellant qb in Haris and its wr's are outstanding. Ol line is solid but they lost the best running back in the country in Sincere McCormick . Harris played play action to Sincere which caused his 3 wr's to be open because everyone was so concerned with the 5'8 Sincere hiding behind the DL and LB's that the safeties had to stay home . But UTSA just signed a transfer portal running back from a power 5 school that could replace Sincere somewhat. UTSA coach Traylor is 19-7 in 2 years and was a former HS coach loved by his fellow Texas HS coaches. He is outstanding recruiting everyone in the state . Think there defense is there problem They gave up 31,45,41, and 38 points in last 4 games. i know North Texas beat them 45--23 at the end of the season . They lost to San Diego St in a bowl game 38-24 and 2 weeks before that did beat WKU 49-41. they ended up 12-2 . The home game at the Alomodome is a home field but they will get about 35,000 and the place is so big . It looks empty even with the 35,000. Think they have Army next and then Texas. Tough schedule.. UTSA should win conference again but 1st 3 games are tough. Don't know much about Houston but they held Auburn to 13 pts last year in the Birmingham Bowl . Tune their qb's brother was a qb for North Texas but this Tune is a lot better. Back later to capp game but think Houston should be a touchdown favorite and the Coogs know the Roadrunners aren't sneaking up on anybody this year. Think the Army game will be more interesting because Roadrunners will have a tough time trying to stop Army's ground attack
Other weeks 0-1 games that I will be betting /interest me.
1) I still love BYU -12 over South Florida.
2) Louisville -3.5 over Cuse
Last season I thought these teams were about pretty even. I really think the edge is that Louisville is returning more talent and bringing in more talent this year especially with some big incoming transfers to their defense. This is a game Scott Satterfield cannot afford to lose.
3) Houston -4.5 over UTSA
As already discussed on this thread. Houston is going to be really really good.
4) UNC -3.5 over App St.
Over the years I would normally be on the other side 9 times out of 10. However, I believe we are going to start seeing the talent difference in from 3 years worth of Mack Browns recruits. Yes, NC lost a really good QB and a really good RB, but I think the overall quality of talent will show much more in this years matchup.
Games I like but not official bets yet:
1) OSU-14.5 over ND
ND is not going to stop OSU from putting at least 40 on the board. This comes down to how much has the OSU defense really improved under Knowles. ND should have one of the best O-Lines in the country and certainly have the best TE in the country. New QB and new RB. I think OSU can limit them to about 21 at the Shoe.
2) Airforce -(whatever the line is) over Northern Iowa
No line on this yet. I'm hoping Northern Iowa gets a little to much respect as they are normally one of the better FCS teams. Airforce should be scary good this year.
Other weeks 0-1 games that I will be betting /interest me.
1) I still love BYU -12 over South Florida.
2) Louisville -3.5 over Cuse
Last season I thought these teams were about pretty even. I really think the edge is that Louisville is returning more talent and bringing in more talent this year especially with some big incoming transfers to their defense. This is a game Scott Satterfield cannot afford to lose.
3) Houston -4.5 over UTSA
As already discussed on this thread. Houston is going to be really really good.
4) UNC -3.5 over App St.
Over the years I would normally be on the other side 9 times out of 10. However, I believe we are going to start seeing the talent difference in from 3 years worth of Mack Browns recruits. Yes, NC lost a really good QB and a really good RB, but I think the overall quality of talent will show much more in this years matchup.
Games I like but not official bets yet:
1) OSU-14.5 over ND
ND is not going to stop OSU from putting at least 40 on the board. This comes down to how much has the OSU defense really improved under Knowles. ND should have one of the best O-Lines in the country and certainly have the best TE in the country. New QB and new RB. I think OSU can limit them to about 21 at the Shoe.
2) Airforce -(whatever the line is) over Northern Iowa
No line on this yet. I'm hoping Northern Iowa gets a little to much respect as they are normally one of the better FCS teams. Airforce should be scary good this year.
Louisville -3.5 over Cuse - are you sure that you want to pick against Cuse at Cuse...Dino is probably in his last season, but they have 16 returning starters playing at home in Carrier...That's not something that I would want bet against...Lou has an advantage at QB and has 15 returning starters...and Lou will probably win and cover, but it will be a no play for me...3) Houston -4.5 over UTSA3)
Houston -4.5 over UTSA - agree 100%1)
OSU-14.5 over ND - It is going to take Knowles some time to get that D at an Ohio St level, even though they have the talent...Thus, in week 4, I like OSU -14 or so at home against Wisconsin for that reason...The O will be fine...ND has a new QB, a new coach...Yet, I still think this line should be no more than 10...Perhaps OSU blows them out...It will be a no play for me...GL on the pick...4) UNC
-3.5 NC over App St. - Looks like a pick to me...App St beat NC at NC a few years ago. This will be App St's Super Bowl and the game is at Boon..If Mack Brown has a losing record, this could be his last season...So, yes, NC will be motivated and have the better talent...It could go either way, so a no play for me...
GL my friend...All your picks seem sound, though the line seems a bit inflated for the two I referenced and with Houston being the best pick in my opinion...
@Aldan52
Quote Originally Posted by Aldan52:
Other weeks 0-1 games that I will be betting /interest me. 1) I still love BYU -12 over South Florida. 2) Louisville -3.5 over Cuse Last season I thought these teams were about pretty even. I really think the edge is that Louisville is returning more talent and bringing in more talent this year especially with some big incoming transfers to their defense. This is a game Scott Satterfield cannot afford to lose. 3) Houston -4.5 over UTSA As already discussed on this thread. Houston is going to be really really good. 4) UNC -3.5 over App St. Over the years I would normally be on the other side 9 times out of 10. However, I believe we are going to start seeing the talent difference in from 3 years worth of Mack Browns recruits. Yes, NC lost a really good QB and a really good RB, but I think the overall quality of talent will show much more in this years matchup. Games I like but not official bets yet: 1) OSU-14.5 over ND ND is not going to stop OSU from putting at least 40 on the board. This comes down to how much has the OSU defense really improved under Knowles. ND should have one of the best O-Lines in the country and certainly have the best TE in the country. New QB and new RB. I think OSU can limit them to about 21 at the Shoe. 2) Airforce -(whatever the line is) over Northern Iowa No line on this yet. I'm hoping Northern Iowa gets a little to much respect as they are normally one of the better FCS teams. Airforce should be scary good this year.
Louisville -3.5 over Cuse - are you sure that you want to pick against Cuse at Cuse...Dino is probably in his last season, but they have 16 returning starters playing at home in Carrier...That's not something that I would want bet against...Lou has an advantage at QB and has 15 returning starters...and Lou will probably win and cover, but it will be a no play for me...3) Houston -4.5 over UTSA3)
Houston -4.5 over UTSA - agree 100%1)
OSU-14.5 over ND - It is going to take Knowles some time to get that D at an Ohio St level, even though they have the talent...Thus, in week 4, I like OSU -14 or so at home against Wisconsin for that reason...The O will be fine...ND has a new QB, a new coach...Yet, I still think this line should be no more than 10...Perhaps OSU blows them out...It will be a no play for me...GL on the pick...4) UNC
-3.5 NC over App St. - Looks like a pick to me...App St beat NC at NC a few years ago. This will be App St's Super Bowl and the game is at Boon..If Mack Brown has a losing record, this could be his last season...So, yes, NC will be motivated and have the better talent...It could go either way, so a no play for me...
GL my friend...All your picks seem sound, though the line seems a bit inflated for the two I referenced and with Houston being the best pick in my opinion...
@Aldan52
Quote Originally Posted by Aldan52:
Other weeks 0-1 games that I will be betting /interest me. 1) I still love BYU -12 over South Florida. 2) Louisville -3.5 over Cuse Last season I thought these teams were about pretty even. I really think the edge is that Louisville is returning more talent and bringing in more talent this year especially with some big incoming transfers to their defense. This is a game Scott Satterfield cannot afford to lose. 3) Houston -4.5 over UTSA As already discussed on this thread. Houston is going to be really really good. 4) UNC -3.5 over App St. Over the years I would normally be on the other side 9 times out of 10. However, I believe we are going to start seeing the talent difference in from 3 years worth of Mack Browns recruits. Yes, NC lost a really good QB and a really good RB, but I think the overall quality of talent will show much more in this years matchup. Games I like but not official bets yet: 1) OSU-14.5 over ND ND is not going to stop OSU from putting at least 40 on the board. This comes down to how much has the OSU defense really improved under Knowles. ND should have one of the best O-Lines in the country and certainly have the best TE in the country. New QB and new RB. I think OSU can limit them to about 21 at the Shoe. 2) Airforce -(whatever the line is) over Northern Iowa No line on this yet. I'm hoping Northern Iowa gets a little to much respect as they are normally one of the better FCS teams. Airforce should be scary good this year.
UTSA got Trelon Smith ark running back who was also at Zona St a few years before. A 6th year senior. at Ark he had 1,308 yds and 10 touchdowns with 26 receptions . This is his 3rd D-1 team . Not sure if he can replace Sincere but should be a nice addition to the Roadrunners ground game. his competition will be Brady Sinceres backup last yr He has around 350 yds yd and had a big game vs Illinois last yr. UTSA also has Hutchinson Juco rb Tye Edwarda as their top newcomer. With Harris and co on offense think they will score. Last yr they put some big numbers up 37,54,52,45,44,.. Coogs lost their all american rb in Mccaskill but have one of the best wr's in the country in Dell who had 90 receptions and 1,300 yds . will continue to capp this game and update.
UTSA got Trelon Smith ark running back who was also at Zona St a few years before. A 6th year senior. at Ark he had 1,308 yds and 10 touchdowns with 26 receptions . This is his 3rd D-1 team . Not sure if he can replace Sincere but should be a nice addition to the Roadrunners ground game. his competition will be Brady Sinceres backup last yr He has around 350 yds yd and had a big game vs Illinois last yr. UTSA also has Hutchinson Juco rb Tye Edwarda as their top newcomer. With Harris and co on offense think they will score. Last yr they put some big numbers up 37,54,52,45,44,.. Coogs lost their all american rb in Mccaskill but have one of the best wr's in the country in Dell who had 90 receptions and 1,300 yds . will continue to capp this game and update.
Louisville/Cuse… yeah I initially liked Louisville because Saterfield started last year with a loss but Cuse at night and at Cuse will be tough… plus the have an excellent RB and Dino usually wins these night games…leaning Louisville
UNC/App St- looks easy for NC but this is an in state rivalry… plus we all know App St loves to shock the world in week 1 … it’s at App St and Apps QB is returning with a couple of veteran weapons…
Ohio St/ND-it’s not a matter of if they win but by how much.. ND still has the best TE in the country and will be competitive in this game…but for how long? Ohio St may blow them out but I hate that hook on the 14…
The South FL/BYU game… I lived in SO FL my whole life … I know that program well.. it’s a super bowl game to them.. plus they are getting left behind for the big 12 while thier rival UCF is leaving with BYU… S FL wants to show they belong.. there won’t be a lack of effort here… only question is how long can they hang and if they get out to an explosive start in the humidity…Buccaneers stadium will be packed…
Im still capping the FL /Utah game- Leaning Utah until Fl gets rolling but it is in the SWAMP…
Louisville/Cuse… yeah I initially liked Louisville because Saterfield started last year with a loss but Cuse at night and at Cuse will be tough… plus the have an excellent RB and Dino usually wins these night games…leaning Louisville
UNC/App St- looks easy for NC but this is an in state rivalry… plus we all know App St loves to shock the world in week 1 … it’s at App St and Apps QB is returning with a couple of veteran weapons…
Ohio St/ND-it’s not a matter of if they win but by how much.. ND still has the best TE in the country and will be competitive in this game…but for how long? Ohio St may blow them out but I hate that hook on the 14…
The South FL/BYU game… I lived in SO FL my whole life … I know that program well.. it’s a super bowl game to them.. plus they are getting left behind for the big 12 while thier rival UCF is leaving with BYU… S FL wants to show they belong.. there won’t be a lack of effort here… only question is how long can they hang and if they get out to an explosive start in the humidity…Buccaneers stadium will be packed…
Im still capping the FL /Utah game- Leaning Utah until Fl gets rolling but it is in the SWAMP…
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