Picked 60% winners for the year but really had a poor November. Looking to bounce back here in bowl season. I am looking to play many games this year and will mainly play games based on these factors: motivation, coaching, location, how teams finished the season, and defense. You can throw stats out the window at this time of the year as thats usually a really good way to lose a ton of money on bowls. I like playing teams with defenses and adequate offenses vs teams with high scoring offenses and no defense (see: Houston, Ok State, most of the Big 12 etc.). I also always look to fade the MAC which is an awful conference historically in the bowls.
Wyoming +7 (3 units) I love Wyoming as a dog in this spot. Wyoming has won outright as double digit dogs in bowls in 04 and 09 and they have the motivation here. They are 5-2 this year vs the spread as dogs with 3 outright wins. I like the frosh QB Brett Smith and I love the fact that Wyoming is playing closer to home while Temple has to go all the way across the country to play in the worst bowl game out of all the MAC bowls. Wyoming ended the year winning 5 of 7 and should be pumped to be back in a bowl. Temple underachieved this year after a great showing vs Penn St early in the year. They won't be focused here.
Utah State -1.5 (3 units) I like having the best player on the field here in QB Robert Turbin and the motivational factor once again with Ohio coming off a heartbreaking loss in the Mac Title Game. They were up 20-0 and blew the game. I expect a hangover here in a cross country trip while Utah St has short travel to Boise.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Picked 60% winners for the year but really had a poor November. Looking to bounce back here in bowl season. I am looking to play many games this year and will mainly play games based on these factors: motivation, coaching, location, how teams finished the season, and defense. You can throw stats out the window at this time of the year as thats usually a really good way to lose a ton of money on bowls. I like playing teams with defenses and adequate offenses vs teams with high scoring offenses and no defense (see: Houston, Ok State, most of the Big 12 etc.). I also always look to fade the MAC which is an awful conference historically in the bowls.
Wyoming +7 (3 units) I love Wyoming as a dog in this spot. Wyoming has won outright as double digit dogs in bowls in 04 and 09 and they have the motivation here. They are 5-2 this year vs the spread as dogs with 3 outright wins. I like the frosh QB Brett Smith and I love the fact that Wyoming is playing closer to home while Temple has to go all the way across the country to play in the worst bowl game out of all the MAC bowls. Wyoming ended the year winning 5 of 7 and should be pumped to be back in a bowl. Temple underachieved this year after a great showing vs Penn St early in the year. They won't be focused here.
Utah State -1.5 (3 units) I like having the best player on the field here in QB Robert Turbin and the motivational factor once again with Ohio coming off a heartbreaking loss in the Mac Title Game. They were up 20-0 and blew the game. I expect a hangover here in a cross country trip while Utah St has short travel to Boise.
Switching to Ohio on the second game after further research. Utah State is one dimensional and Ohio has the better QB, better defense, and they are better in the trenches. Robert Turbin is a beast at RB but I think Ohios DL can slow him down if they come to play.
Horrible call on Wyoming . This team has no speed at all and they are so small. Temple is so much more physical at the POA and they have NFL players in DE Robinson and RB Pierce. I should have known better after seeing this team manhandle Maryland and play with Penn St for 60 mins. I knew their defense was good at 3rd in the country at ppg but I played the motivational factor and got burned.
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Switching to Ohio on the second game after further research. Utah State is one dimensional and Ohio has the better QB, better defense, and they are better in the trenches. Robert Turbin is a beast at RB but I think Ohios DL can slow him down if they come to play.
Horrible call on Wyoming . This team has no speed at all and they are so small. Temple is so much more physical at the POA and they have NFL players in DE Robinson and RB Pierce. I should have known better after seeing this team manhandle Maryland and play with Penn St for 60 mins. I knew their defense was good at 3rd in the country at ppg but I played the motivational factor and got burned.
Could post La Tech before the game? Is anyone else having problems bringing covers up in their browser? I kept getting an error message all day. Anyways, I am playing Arz St tmrw and probably with a local who should give me +15 or +16 because he always shades lines. I also lean to Nevada at +7 and UNC +5.
I will post plays on other games this weekend if I get a chance.
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Wyoming +7
Ohio +1
La Lafayette +6 (3 units)
La Lafayette ML +190 (1 unit)
La Tech +10 (3 units)
Could post La Tech before the game? Is anyone else having problems bringing covers up in their browser? I kept getting an error message all day. Anyways, I am playing Arz St tmrw and probably with a local who should give me +15 or +16 because he always shades lines. I also lean to Nevada at +7 and UNC +5.
I will post plays on other games this weekend if I get a chance.
Good Luck BBB are you a skins fan ? just kidding...I know a great capper who had an aweful november too...ODD ? I like Boise St -14 but may pass or play 1 unit...as i am 4-1 in bowls (sides) and in 1st place in Boom_Booms Bowl challenge...see my picks there...may change my mind on a few...really like my picks for most part...
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Good Luck BBB are you a skins fan ? just kidding...I know a great capper who had an aweful november too...ODD ? I like Boise St -14 but may pass or play 1 unit...as i am 4-1 in bowls (sides) and in 1st place in Boom_Booms Bowl challenge...see my picks there...may change my mind on a few...really like my picks for most part...
And I also switched this pick an hour before the game after further research and I posted I was playing Ohio right underneath tha post pal. They had the better QB and I thought their trench play and defense were going to be better.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tigger_Woods:
You said you were taking Utah St.
And I also switched this pick an hour before the game after further research and I posted I was playing Ohio right underneath tha post pal. They had the better QB and I thought their trench play and defense were going to be better.
Good Luck BBB are you a skins fan ? just kidding...I know a great capper who had an aweful november too...ODD ? I like Boise St -14 but may pass or play 1 unit...as i am 4-1 in bowls (sides) and in 1st place in Boom_Booms Bowl challenge...see my picks there...may change my mind on a few...really like my picks for most part...
Na I am a Patriots fan actually. Congrats on being in first in that challenge. I will be opposite you tonight. Two tds is a lot for a team from a major conference with size and speed vs a team with zero motivation.
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Quote Originally Posted by phillyfranko:
Good Luck BBB are you a skins fan ? just kidding...I know a great capper who had an aweful november too...ODD ? I like Boise St -14 but may pass or play 1 unit...as i am 4-1 in bowls (sides) and in 1st place in Boom_Booms Bowl challenge...see my picks there...may change my mind on a few...really like my picks for most part...
Na I am a Patriots fan actually. Congrats on being in first in that challenge. I will be opposite you tonight. Two tds is a lot for a team from a major conference with size and speed vs a team with zero motivation.
Playing UNC tommorrow for 3 units. Missouri beat no one all year except an overrated Texas team. UNC has a better defense and a lot of NFL talent on that defense. I think their offense moves the ball and scores enough to cover.
Merry Christmas to all.
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Nevada +9.5 (3 units)
Bowl Season 5-2 +7.85 units
Playing UNC tommorrow for 3 units. Missouri beat no one all year except an overrated Texas team. UNC has a better defense and a lot of NFL talent on that defense. I think their offense moves the ball and scores enough to cover.
I love UNC in this matchup. UNC has a great defense that should be able to slow down that Mizz attack. Josey is out for Mizz at RB and UNC has a ton of NFL talent in that front 7 (Coples, Moss-Paige, Reddick, Brown). Mizz defense is weak and this team hasnt beaten anyone this year except Texas (Tech and A+M suck). I think Gionvanni Bernard will gash that soft weak undersized front 7 Mizz has and Dwight Jones should be able to take advantage of his matchup on the outside as Mizz Cbs both stink. The only player I like in that Mizz front 7 is DT Dt Sheldon Richardson. I think Renner has a solid game vs that Mizz defense and UNC should have the motivation as well trying to get a win for their interim coach and sending him off to into the sunset before Fedora takes over next year. Meanwhile Mizz is in the worst bowl game out of all the Big 12 teams except maybe Iowa State's bowl (The Holiday Bowl that Texas is in and The Alamo bowl that A+M are in are both better bowls). They shouldnt be excited to be in this bowl game.
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UNC +4.5 for 3 units
UNC ML +165 for 2 units
I love UNC in this matchup. UNC has a great defense that should be able to slow down that Mizz attack. Josey is out for Mizz at RB and UNC has a ton of NFL talent in that front 7 (Coples, Moss-Paige, Reddick, Brown). Mizz defense is weak and this team hasnt beaten anyone this year except Texas (Tech and A+M suck). I think Gionvanni Bernard will gash that soft weak undersized front 7 Mizz has and Dwight Jones should be able to take advantage of his matchup on the outside as Mizz Cbs both stink. The only player I like in that Mizz front 7 is DT Dt Sheldon Richardson. I think Renner has a solid game vs that Mizz defense and UNC should have the motivation as well trying to get a win for their interim coach and sending him off to into the sunset before Fedora takes over next year. Meanwhile Mizz is in the worst bowl game out of all the Big 12 teams except maybe Iowa State's bowl (The Holiday Bowl that Texas is in and The Alamo bowl that A+M are in are both better bowls). They shouldnt be excited to be in this bowl game.
Another loser with Western Michigan. Lost 4.3 units there because I played ML too for a unit. Should have played the lean went back and forth on NCST and Louisville and ended up playing nothing.
4-4 vs spread, 1-2 ML, total 5-6 -1.75 units
Toledo -3 (3 units)
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Another loser with Western Michigan. Lost 4.3 units there because I played ML too for a unit. Should have played the lean went back and forth on NCST and Louisville and ended up playing nothing.
After going 0-2 and losing 8.75 units yesterday im taking the day off today to regroup. Down 10.50 units in bowl season and I have lost my last 4 so fade away.
Anyways, I dont see any situational angle on ND-FSU. Both teams thought they would be in a BCS bowl before the year. FSU has way more talent but a shit OL and their offense has had trouble scoring. FSU's defense should dominate as this is one of the best in the country but ND can move the ball somewhat despite those douchebags at QB Rees and Hendrix. Should be a tight game. Hope ND loses.
The game later tonight has no situational angle either. Baylor hasnt won a bowl game in 20 yrs but why would I lay ten with that shit defense. Washington can score but they have no defense either and I hate fading Baylor only getting 10 pts. Baylors offense is downright scary and both defenses blow.
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After going 0-2 and losing 8.75 units yesterday im taking the day off today to regroup. Down 10.50 units in bowl season and I have lost my last 4 so fade away.
Anyways, I dont see any situational angle on ND-FSU. Both teams thought they would be in a BCS bowl before the year. FSU has way more talent but a shit OL and their offense has had trouble scoring. FSU's defense should dominate as this is one of the best in the country but ND can move the ball somewhat despite those douchebags at QB Rees and Hendrix. Should be a tight game. Hope ND loses.
The game later tonight has no situational angle either. Baylor hasnt won a bowl game in 20 yrs but why would I lay ten with that shit defense. Washington can score but they have no defense either and I hate fading Baylor only getting 10 pts. Baylors offense is downright scary and both defenses blow.
Bowl season has been rough (0-5 last 5 with 3 mooses Western Mich, Toledo, Tulsa and down 15.75 units this bowl season) but my 3 favorite plays of bowl season are coming up. Starting today with the first one.
Stanford +4 (5 units)
Stanford ML +155 (2 units)
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Bowl season has been rough (0-5 last 5 with 3 mooses Western Mich, Toledo, Tulsa and down 15.75 units this bowl season) but my 3 favorite plays of bowl season are coming up. Starting today with the first one.
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