All you need for NCAAF is MrHeadache...Thursday's POD!!!

This one is going to be a fun one to watch. Two Top-20 teams in action on a Thursday night from the blue turf in Boise, Idaho, and two teams that are close enough in proximity to not really like each other.  Throw in the fact that Oregon comes in with some added motivation having been upset last year 37-32 in Oregon as 10-point favorites.  But no matter how much motivation they have, they aren't ending the Broncos' 49-game home winning streak tonight.  Look for Boise State to win this one by 10 to 14 points and keep the streak alive.
 

Last year, a much-less experienced Boise squad went to Autzen Stadium in Eugene – one of the most difficult places in all of college football for visiting teams – and beat the Ducks 37-32 outright as a 10.5-point underdogs.  Thing is, the game wasn’t nearly as close as the five-point margin of victory might indicate, as the Broncos took a 37-13 lead into the fourth quarter before letting off the gas pedal.
 In the victory, then-redshirt freshman QB Kellen Moore had his coming-out party for Boise, throwing for 386 yards and three scores en route to a stellar season in which he ended up with a 69-percent completion rate, nearly 3,500 passing yards and 25 TDs. Moore is back under center for Boise, which finished last year 12-1 after a bowl game loss to TCU.  The Broncos are ranked 14th to start the season thanks to return of 12 starters, including six guys on a defense that had the third-best points-allowed average (12.6) in the nation. Meanwhile, Oregon has just 10 starters returning, and it is breaking in a new coach, as former offensive coordinator Chip Kelly takes over for longtime head man Mike Bellotti. I’m sure Kelly will do a fine job in time, and he does take over a team ranked just two slots below the Broncos. But for his first game to be a nationally televised game against an experienced team on the Smurf Turf?  That’s a tall order, even if Oregon does have a legit revenge motivation.  Speaking of the Smurf Turf, Boise State has won an astounding 49 consecutive games in front of its crowd (its last loss at Bronco Stadium came almost eight years ago).  Not only that, but the Broncos have covered at a 40-17-2 clip at home over the past decade – and 95 percent of the time, they’ve been laying much more than the field goal they’re giving tonight. Throw in the fact that Boise State is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games as a favorite of 10 points or fewer, and I’m all over the value with the Broncos, who should win this one by double digits.  Oregon was a Pac 10 powerhouse last season, rolling up 10 wins and finishing behind USC.  Coach Mike Bellotti has stepped down after 14 seasons, taking over for Pat Kilkenny as athletic director.  New HC Chip Kelly has been the offensive coordinator, and has done a great job with wide-open, spread offenses.  Last season the offense averaged 42 points, 277 yards rushing and 200 passing!  They are loaded at quarterback, with junior QB Jeremiah Masoli (13 TDs and 5 picks, 1,744 yards), an outstanding runner, rushing for 718 yards, 5.7 yards per carry. Senior RB LeGarrette Blount pounded out 1,002 yards, ! 17 TDs and averaged 7.3 ypc, but the Ducks lost their best offensive linemen.  The defense has new players up front and allowed 28 ppg. The Boise State Broncos also has a deadly offense, averaging 39 points, 162 yards rushing and 294 passing per game. Sophomore QB Kellen Moore had a terrific freshman campaign, and has a deep wideout corps, led by senior WR Jeremy Childs (802 yards.) The ground game has new looks, but the defense is experienced and was outstanding, allowing 12 points per game! Since 1999, Boise is 65-2 SU, 39-17 ATS at home on the blue carpet!  A year ago Oregon was a 10-point home favorite and lost 37-32 to Boise, despite 464 yards.  4 turnovers did them in.  Oregon trailed 37-6 in the fourth quarter! Boise shredded a better Oregon secondary for 386 yards, so look for them to attack through the air again.

Play of the Day: Boise State -3