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*** A few things to know ***

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Views: 9650
Posts: 58
 
Banned
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Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 1015
Posted: #51
Told you.
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 1033
Posted: #52
apparently, your max bet should have been on south florida, not cal.
 
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Joined: Nov, 2003
Posts: 3603
Posted: #53
have fun in the box
XX-WTA coachs, over MANY years. PATREON I AM ON! Now I bet. No Coach no!People shut cat
 
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Posts: 1015
Posted: #54
I dont know what all thats about, but home field doesnt mean anything when the team is twice as good. AZ State was easy money.
 
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Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 234
Posted: #55
many more than 14 games a week have enough value to bet. if you're a losing bettor betting fewer games will yield a higher chance of being a winner for the day/month/year w/e. laughing at big cards is just lol obviously you can't beat the juice playing every game; a lot of lines are very sharp but setting arbitrary limits of like 5 or w/e is ridiculous. the worst bettor's best chance at a winning season is playing 1 game think about it

i am curious about boom's "not too interested in line movement" comment though. you really don't think the market is good/efficient enough for closers to be better than openers in general?  idk it seems pretty obivous to me that if you have Team X -3 and it closes at a pick your bet has negative EV especially at -110...idk
 
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Posts: 2005
Posted: #56

Typically, Cal IS a much stronger team at home...but this year is different.  That was evident when Nevada beat em and FCS S. Utah hung with them through the 3rd.

Interestingly enough, of the 54 games played this weekend, 31 of them were won by the road team.  Maybe only 5 of those I would call Elite defenses.

 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

disagree.... the BIGGEST factor in all of college football is simply where the games are being played.

A&M and their elite defense says otherwise...
 
 
Legend
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Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 55434
Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by naesiy:


A&M and their elite defense says otherwise...

You cant pick one game out of a season to "prove a point". Doesnt work that way.

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