Ok first of all i'm going to explain what i'm doing here. Yes, gambling is a marathon and that's how i look at it also. No matter what happens with this i will still be doing my regular straight bets every week with my other account like i've been doing all year. So to all of you who think this is retarded just remember this is something i'm doing on the side.
The method i will be using here are 4 team, 11.5 pt teasers. My goal is to double up each saturday on college football and every sunday on nfl starting this weekend (sat, nov 21st) until i reach 10k (which is only 3 weekends or 6 wins!)
Now alot of you might say it will not work out and that is fine. To all of you who don't wish to participate i respect that and i hope you kill the books the rest of this football season. But for the rest of us i want to share a little info on why i think this is possible.....
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Ok first of all i'm going to explain what i'm doing here. Yes, gambling is a marathon and that's how i look at it also. No matter what happens with this i will still be doing my regular straight bets every week with my other account like i've been doing all year. So to all of you who think this is retarded just remember this is something i'm doing on the side.
The method i will be using here are 4 team, 11.5 pt teasers. My goal is to double up each saturday on college football and every sunday on nfl starting this weekend (sat, nov 21st) until i reach 10k (which is only 3 weekends or 6 wins!)
Now alot of you might say it will not work out and that is fine. To all of you who don't wish to participate i respect that and i hope you kill the books the rest of this football season. But for the rest of us i want to share a little info on why i think this is possible.....
I have had a good amount of success on teasers in my life, but the reason why i fail in the end is because i absolutely destroy the books on a weekend then i get cocky and try to triple my winnings by doing stupid 8, 9, 10 team teasers that i think will win and ofcourse 1 or 2 will lose. So now i'm going to stay focused on 4 teams each saturday and sunday and stick with the gameplan.
Here is a link to a recent post i had with some leans i had on some college teams using a 12.5 pt teaser. Even if you lower it down a point to 11.5 pts, the record for all the teams i posted went 14-4 (not counting usc/stanford and utah/tcu since i couldnt decide which one i wanted). I also listed the montana/n. colorado game which also easily won so together they went 15-4.
Yes, i understand that it only takes one team to destroy the whole thing. But c'mon- are you guys saying that between all of us we cannot narrow it down to 4 measley teams??? Like i said, they were all leans, and a majority of them won. In my opinion the best way to win is taking the overs, and i'll explain why.
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I have had a good amount of success on teasers in my life, but the reason why i fail in the end is because i absolutely destroy the books on a weekend then i get cocky and try to triple my winnings by doing stupid 8, 9, 10 team teasers that i think will win and ofcourse 1 or 2 will lose. So now i'm going to stay focused on 4 teams each saturday and sunday and stick with the gameplan.
Here is a link to a recent post i had with some leans i had on some college teams using a 12.5 pt teaser. Even if you lower it down a point to 11.5 pts, the record for all the teams i posted went 14-4 (not counting usc/stanford and utah/tcu since i couldnt decide which one i wanted). I also listed the montana/n. colorado game which also easily won so together they went 15-4.
Yes, i understand that it only takes one team to destroy the whole thing. But c'mon- are you guys saying that between all of us we cannot narrow it down to 4 measley teams??? Like i said, they were all leans, and a majority of them won. In my opinion the best way to win is taking the overs, and i'll explain why.
I haven't had a chance to take a look at the numbers in college football yet since there are so many damn games every week, but here are some stats from the nfl i found:
What i did was found the total for each nfl game every week starting in 2004 all the way up until this season, and then subtracted 11.5 points from each one to find out if the total went passed my mark. Example:
last week the total for washington/atlanta was 41. Subtract 11.5 pts and you get 29.5. So obviously 30 total points or more will win. The final was 31-17, an easy winner. Even for iffy games like pitt/denver on monday night where you think the defenses will really step up, the total for that one was 41 also, which came out as an under since the final was 28-10. But with the 11.5 pts, they just had to score 30, so the over actually won.
Here are the stats i found since 2004:
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Sorry. i guess the link didnt show up. Here it is:
I haven't had a chance to take a look at the numbers in college football yet since there are so many damn games every week, but here are some stats from the nfl i found:
What i did was found the total for each nfl game every week starting in 2004 all the way up until this season, and then subtracted 11.5 points from each one to find out if the total went passed my mark. Example:
last week the total for washington/atlanta was 41. Subtract 11.5 pts and you get 29.5. So obviously 30 total points or more will win. The final was 31-17, an easy winner. Even for iffy games like pitt/denver on monday night where you think the defenses will really step up, the total for that one was 41 also, which came out as an under since the final was 28-10. But with the 11.5 pts, they just had to score 30, so the over actually won.
The previous years are pretty much the same: 12-2, 13-1, 13-3 type weeks every week. And so far this year while i've been betting overs in college football, its been pretty stellar to say the least considering i've only lost one total so far. Anyways i got to run for now but i think between all of us putting our heads together can't we atleast find 2 overs and 2 winners each week??? For f***'s sake i would say that's very possible! Let's do this.
The previous years are pretty much the same: 12-2, 13-1, 13-3 type weeks every week. And so far this year while i've been betting overs in college football, its been pretty stellar to say the least considering i've only lost one total so far. Anyways i got to run for now but i think between all of us putting our heads together can't we atleast find 2 overs and 2 winners each week??? For f***'s sake i would say that's very possible! Let's do this.
well it looks like the overs still arent up yet, so i'm going to post just the leans for the sides i like for right now. what i want to do is start eliminating a few picks every day until the list is alot smaller and then pick out 4 that i think are golden.
i'm hoping some of the expert cappers in here along with the rest of you who might have some really good info about any of these games could help out and narrow some of these down. there's gonna be alot of leans for now but we have plenty of time to look over all of these.
rutgers +3.5
san diego st. +31.5 (up from +29 )
wisconsin +4.5
houston -12
michigan +23.5
kentucky +20
arkansas +1.5 (up from +.5)
ucla +6.5 (down from +7.5)
kansas st. +28 (up from +27)
kansas +39 (i'm really liking this one)
texas tech +18
troy -5
miami -8 (might have to drop this one after it shot up from -6)
boston college +8
iowa +2 (up from +1.5)
mizzou -3.5 (jumped 2 pts from -1.5)
clemson -9.5 (they have to win by atleast 13, right?)
indiana +14.5 (if anyone thinks purdue can win by more than this on the road, i really need to know why)
wyoming +43 (its gonna be cold up there, and i could easily see a 41-10 type game here)
uconn +17.5
montana state +17 (huge rivalry game, they could win su)
weber st. pk (this is a for sure play no matter what)
i would love some feedback on these games, i think alot of them look pretty good as of now. obviously i'm gonna have a bunch of totals here in the next day or two, so we will have more picks later.
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well it looks like the overs still arent up yet, so i'm going to post just the leans for the sides i like for right now. what i want to do is start eliminating a few picks every day until the list is alot smaller and then pick out 4 that i think are golden.
i'm hoping some of the expert cappers in here along with the rest of you who might have some really good info about any of these games could help out and narrow some of these down. there's gonna be alot of leans for now but we have plenty of time to look over all of these.
rutgers +3.5
san diego st. +31.5 (up from +29 )
wisconsin +4.5
houston -12
michigan +23.5
kentucky +20
arkansas +1.5 (up from +.5)
ucla +6.5 (down from +7.5)
kansas st. +28 (up from +27)
kansas +39 (i'm really liking this one)
texas tech +18
troy -5
miami -8 (might have to drop this one after it shot up from -6)
boston college +8
iowa +2 (up from +1.5)
mizzou -3.5 (jumped 2 pts from -1.5)
clemson -9.5 (they have to win by atleast 13, right?)
indiana +14.5 (if anyone thinks purdue can win by more than this on the road, i really need to know why)
wyoming +43 (its gonna be cold up there, and i could easily see a 41-10 type game here)
uconn +17.5
montana state +17 (huge rivalry game, they could win su)
weber st. pk (this is a for sure play no matter what)
i would love some feedback on these games, i think alot of them look pretty good as of now. obviously i'm gonna have a bunch of totals here in the next day or two, so we will have more picks later.
how old are you; i am just asking because you must be young
if you think you can make money they way you are going to do it with huge teaser ands 4 team parlays; you are absolutly nuts
i have been gambling for 15 years and it aint happening
if you are going to parlays 2 team maybe 3 team MAX 4 team NADA i have won a ton of 4 teamers but i have lost 4 times as many
in 15 years i have won like 3 5 teamers; and i will guarantee you this you are not a better capper than me; if its as easy you think than why is every other gambler not doing it; there are over 300 million of us; or are you the smartest ever.not doggin yo out but man get serious
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how old are you; i am just asking because you must be young
if you think you can make money they way you are going to do it with huge teaser ands 4 team parlays; you are absolutly nuts
i have been gambling for 15 years and it aint happening
if you are going to parlays 2 team maybe 3 team MAX 4 team NADA i have won a ton of 4 teamers but i have lost 4 times as many
in 15 years i have won like 3 5 teamers; and i will guarantee you this you are not a better capper than me; if its as easy you think than why is every other gambler not doing it; there are over 300 million of us; or are you the smartest ever.not doggin yo out but man get serious
Hey brother I say go for it, you already stated that this is just a side bet you are trying with extra money so I say good luck. If it works out for you then people wont have shit to say. Im always down to see a new system that could bust the betting world wide open. Keep updating if for noone else but me bro.
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Hey brother I say go for it, you already stated that this is just a side bet you are trying with extra money so I say good luck. If it works out for you then people wont have shit to say. Im always down to see a new system that could bust the betting world wide open. Keep updating if for noone else but me bro.
this will be successful only if the games you want to tease, are games that you would play ATS. Dont take a team just because your getting +/- 12. GL with your plays... might just tag along if your selections seem valid.
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this will be successful only if the games you want to tease, are games that you would play ATS. Dont take a team just because your getting +/- 12. GL with your plays... might just tag along if your selections seem valid.
I like playing teasers. I have won my fair share of 10 game teasers, surprisingly enough...10 GAMERS I say but its hard. You can easily lose lots sleep if one of them go bad and you go 9/10 and go from $100 to win $2500 to nothing. Hence the word teaser. HOWEVER, I will tail you on this and applaud your efforts, with that said here are my plays for the week assuming 13pt teaser since that is what my book offers
Uconn +19 Utah State +37 LSU +16 UCLA +8.5
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I like playing teasers. I have won my fair share of 10 game teasers, surprisingly enough...10 GAMERS I say but its hard. You can easily lose lots sleep if one of them go bad and you go 9/10 and go from $100 to win $2500 to nothing. Hence the word teaser. HOWEVER, I will tail you on this and applaud your efforts, with that said here are my plays for the week assuming 13pt teaser since that is what my book offers
how old are you; i am just asking because you must be young
if you think you can make money they way you are going to do it with huge teaser ands 4 team parlays; you are absolutly nuts
i have been gambling for 15 years and it aint happening
if you are going to parlays 2 team maybe 3 team MAX 4 team NADA i have won a ton of 4 teamers but i have lost 4 times as many
in 15 years i have won like 3 5 teamers; and i will guarantee you this you are not a better capper than me; if its as easy you think than why is every other gambler not doing it; there are over 300 million of us; or are you the smartest ever.not doggin yo out but man get serious
15 years and only 3 five teamers? Damn... if i were even 1/4 as bad as you, I wouldn't even do this as a hobby. Take your bashing elsewhere... I hear ProfessorTrades likes being bashed on.
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Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:
how old are you; i am just asking because you must be young
if you think you can make money they way you are going to do it with huge teaser ands 4 team parlays; you are absolutly nuts
i have been gambling for 15 years and it aint happening
if you are going to parlays 2 team maybe 3 team MAX 4 team NADA i have won a ton of 4 teamers but i have lost 4 times as many
in 15 years i have won like 3 5 teamers; and i will guarantee you this you are not a better capper than me; if its as easy you think than why is every other gambler not doing it; there are over 300 million of us; or are you the smartest ever.not doggin yo out but man get serious
15 years and only 3 five teamers? Damn... if i were even 1/4 as bad as you, I wouldn't even do this as a hobby. Take your bashing elsewhere... I hear ProfessorTrades likes being bashed on.
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so i'm going to post just the leans for the sides i like for right now. what i want to do is start eliminating a few picks every day until the list is alot smaller and then pick out 4 that i think are golden.
)
Good Luck, I will be curious to see the plays when you have them ready
... May you Get your 10K 
I can give to any fellow sports Gambler is Don't 
with the 
TEASER.... 
Bet a few here and there but 
NEVER count on them to WIN ....
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