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Thursday "Presystem" Plays

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Posted: #26
professor can the system do totals or only sides?
 
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Posted: #27
Hey Prof.!!....First time poster here....Been following you a lot here and just want to say "MUCHAS GRACIAS!"....Prof. Kine is so "KIND!".....Drake saved me last night from oblivion....Looking forward to playing the system more....I devised over 10 systems during my "over 20 years" of betting, and they did great for a while, then right in the "shitter"....I can honestly tell you that as a former Division 1 player years ago, when the season was winding down, we could give a shit less about losing, winning etc..And we had a poor team too......We wanted the hoops season over and done with....THAT is what I like about the system!!....My best to you!
 
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Posted: #28
kine..always a pleasure reading your thread. i followed last night and got to say...ur analysis is top notch. i sprinkled a little on  utah also. cha-ching! keep up the good work bud...gl ryno
 
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Posted: #29
i would strongly advise playing against Chattanooga.  I'm from Chattanooga and even if they're not leading their conference they still play hard.  I know it's part of the system, but i'd advise sitting this one out
 
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Posted: #30
For all readers-----We're nearing the time when many of the conferences "play games!"....Of course they play the games, but they also want more of their conf. teams in the final 64...Each conf. shares the $$$$$$$ by how many teams get in..The more you get in, the more $$$$$$$$.....You will see quite good teams going "in the tank," as my name applies, to help the other lower  league teams....Don't doubt me because I KNOW!...I know the prof. knows this too, and it's a great time to look at teams "on the bubble" or near it, and who they are playing!!....The teams that have clinched could care less....That is also why you see lower teams in a league win a tournament championship to get to the "big dance!"....Agree Prof.????...My best....I'll try and help when I spot a team that needs a win playing against a far superior team!!...May we all get that
 
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Posted: #31
Sac St +1 and the three system plays today
 
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Posted: #32
 
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Posted: #33
what's your take on the sac state game?  I don't think I want to take that bet to be honest, but I haven't really decided yet
 
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Posted: #34
 
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Posted: #35
I also don't post much but been following Kp,Jw11,Kurn's thread's for 2 season's.I have my own little systems I use but to do to the fact I work ton's and the time and effort it chews up for me there is just not enough time in the day and also the fact it wouldn't be fair to people to be inconsistent when in fact consistent is the key.Just want to take the time to thank all of the above mentioned and for the rest who I know to say thank you for all you do.One last thing I want to mention is keep up the great vibes and positive energy.I think it's awesome we all can talk sports and make a little pocket change and be happy doing it.Big ups to kine and his follower's.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by stlkid0587:

Hey buddy just wanted to come back in and tell you great job with the Drake pick... I was completely wrong...Keep the winners coming 


No need at all - I'm wrong quite often, we are all in this together and can help each other beat the book
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by TheShotDoctor:


Lastly, I would suggest that you look at the Sac St/Portland game.  If you remember Sac St was a presystem play last Saturday and fell behind by 20+ points in the first half and were down as many as I believe 26 or so before posting a miraculous 56 2nd half points to get us a relatively easy cover.  Now Sac St is -1 at home in the rematch 5 days later which begs the question, did they find something out that they can exploit in this matchup or are they getting too much credit for being at home and for miraculously catching fire from the field and making the score way more respectable than it should have been?  It really seems like there is an angle here that we should exploit.

Confused Here...I UNDERSTAND Your Statement...but What's The ANGLE...SAC ST -1 or PORTLAND +1???



Haha - that is the question for us to decide.  I'll be reading the recaps and recent articles and try to find out myself
 
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Posted: #38
Kine, I don't know how you do it!!!  Not finding a system or constantly picking winners, how do you really DO IT??   How do you deal with these complete dopes everyday on covers?  How do you have the patience to answer nearly every question or post telling you why you shouldn't bet a team?  Already we have 2 people questioning the Chatt play.  Hmmmmmm,  I know the right thing to do is flat bet these games, but the more dopes we have questioning a play, I'm thinking of making that a stronger play.  I originally wanted to just pop in and say thanks again (been tailing you on basically every game this year), but after reading your threads the past few days, I feel like pulling my hair out.  

WHY ARE PEOPLE SO DUMB???  

Look forward to the plays over the next month.




 
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Posted: #39
South Alabama dropped to +9.5. Should get on it sooner than later like Kine said.
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Ools:

Kine question - since Chatanooga is in 1st place in their conference, isnt this really against the spirit of the "system"? I may lay off this one


The "spirit" of the system is simply - play against teams outside Kenpom's 180 when they are at home and favored by 6.5 or more.  It would be nice if all the teams we were against were terrible but I'm not worried that Chattanooga is in first, I'd be more worried if Georgia Southern was right behind them in the standings which couldn't be further from the truth as they are in dead last.  But as I've said in here before, the more you look at it the more you will try to talk yourself into not playing these games (which is your right)
 
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Posted: #41
I was simply saying that Chattanooga might be that system play that doesn't work.  Say it works 9 out of 10 times....i think chattanooga will be that 1 that trips you up.

I could be really, really wrong.  I'm not trying to deter people from betting on it, I'm just saying i'm not 100% comfortable with it so I won't.  Good luck to all who do though.  I'm rooting for you guys
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by KBrick84:

I really think Sac St just happened to catch fire in that game, and even with throwing down a 56pt half...they still gave up 44.  Which tells me Portland St was likely okay with just running up and down the court cause they knew Sac St couldn't stop them.

They have basically have Toles-Bay as the main threat.  I think the scoring was bolstered by Walter Jackson going for 16pts when he averages only 5ppg and hasn't scored more than 10 in well over a month.  They also shot 91% at the charity stripe when they are typically under 70%  So something tells me it was just a random hot shooting night.


Exactly the way I am leaning as well
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by RonsterG:

professor can the system do totals or only sides?


The only "system" I have seen work for totals is purely deep research and analysis of the games.  Totals are dictated by completely different factors making it very tough to fit games into systems.  My suggest is to study tempo, shots taken, injuries and matchups, defensive strategies, and online articles to make your best play possible when dealing with totals. 
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by inthetank:

Hey Prof.!!....First time poster here....Been following you a lot here and just want to say "MUCHAS GRACIAS!"....Prof. Kine is so "KIND!".....Drake saved me last night from oblivion....Looking forward to playing the system more....I devised over 10 systems during my "over 20 years" of betting, and they did great for a while, then right in the "shitter"....I can honestly tell you that as a former Division 1 player years ago, when the season was winding down, we could give a shit less about losing, winning etc..And we had a poor team too......We wanted the hoops season over and done with....THAT is what I like about the system!!....My best to you!


Couldn't agree more, when I played, coached, and now talk with players - motivation drops significantly on teams that have no post-season aspirations and their focus is very diminished especially at home.  Thanks for dropping a line.
 
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Posted: #45
Portland St.against Sacramento St.????  Only thing i could decide on was'''BET AGAINST ANY TEAM THAT IS AT HOME'''  They are playing at Sacramento....
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner13:

i would strongly advise playing against Chattanooga.  I'm from Chattanooga and even if they're not leading their conference they still play hard.  I know it's part of the system, but i'd advise sitting this one out


Appreciate the thoughts but if you have been reading the threads - these types of posts make us feel more confident about the play - but of course you could be right, I don't expect this system to go undefeated for the season. 

Much like the UNLV game last night (which wasn't a system play of course), UNLV played very hard and held Utah to under 30% from the floor and still DIDNT cover the 15.5 spread, so its very possible for Chatt to play hard and still not cover a DD spread especially when you are trying to "get up" for the worst team in your conference. 

Trust me when I say that if I studied this game at all I wouldn't want to back Georgia Southern
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner13:

what's your take on the sac state game?  I don't think I want to take that bet to be honest, but I haven't really decided yet


Haven't locked anything in yet, but I get the feeling that I'll be on Portland St (and going to examine the total too)
 
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Posted: #48

What does it mean by PLAY AGAINST PLAY: Does that mean i bet against the pick?

 

 
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Posted: #49
Can't blame you on Port St, and like that over too.  GL Kine
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:



Appreciate the thoughts but if you have been reading the threads - these types of posts make us feel more confident about the play - but of course you could be right, I don't expect this system to go undefeated for the season. 

Much like the UNLV game last night (which wasn't a system play of course), UNLV played very hard and held Utah to under 30% from the floor and still DIDNT cover the 15.5 spread, so its very possible for Chatt to play hard and still not cover a DD spread especially when you are trying to "get up" for the worst team in your conference. 

Trust me when I say that if I studied this game at all I wouldn't want to back Georgia Southern

I understand.  I pointed to it earlier that I'm not trying to keep anyone away from it.  Really, I wish everyone the best of luck, but I will not be playing it.

I love and trust your system though.  I bet on Drake last night and it turned out great for me!
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