The ACC Tournament

Alright, who's you're money on? Mine was on UNC Saturday night, still smarting from that one. Forgot how many Duke friends I had. Note, "had."  Onto the tournament in Greensboro-

I believe there are 3 teams who have a legitimate chance to win. Duke, Miami, and NC State (surprise, surprise). Duke right now is -150, MIA  +200,  NCST  +400. UNC is also +400, UVA +600, those are your five best odds at this time (your book may be different, if so, let's hear it).

Duke-150, No thanks. First of all, I don't like tourney odds that start with a "-". That would also require back to back wins over UNC and either MIA or NCST in all likelihood. Those odds don't reflect these difficult matchups imo.

MIA+200, a win over BC/GATECH will put them into the semifinals against either UVA or NCST/VATECH. The danger there is NCST imo. If they get to Sunday (and I think they will), a possible rematch looms with Duke and what then becomes +200 for the win on Sunday. I like that.

NCST +400, a Thursday win over VATECH pits them against UVA on Friday and sorry Cavalier fans, last time I checked, Greensboro's in N.C., and a stone's throw from Raleigh, on I-40, been down it many times. Expect them to lock horns with the Cane's on Saturday. I definitely give them a fighter's chance to win, but in the end,  MIA should be playing on Sunday.

UNC +400, they open play Friday against either FSU/CLEMSON. The best chance for an early upset. FSU and Michael Snaer won't be overlooked, if they get past defensive minded Clemson, no ez pickens for the 'Noles. If all plays out according to form, UNC would have to beat FSU, DUKE and either MIA or NCST after that. +400 doesn't seem rewarding enough for all the work the Tar Heels are going to have to put in, and quite frankly, they're just not good enough this year.

UVA +600, all I can say about this team is, "you ain't in Kansas anymore''. A Friday matchup with a much better Wolfpack team looms in the wrong damn state to boot. 1st game TKO. Get your checkbook out for this one.

My Plays to win the ACC Conference tourney this year-

MIA +200, 2 units

NCST +400, 1 unit

I'm banking on a MIA/NCST game on Saturday which guarantees me a team on Sunday. Because I've bet on both, it does change my odds, the Sunday game for MIA becomes +150, and for NCST +200 against DUKE/UNC/FSU. Okay, let's go ahead and say DUKE, I'm good with that. Both MIA and NCST beat the Blue Devils but lost the last time they played, @ Duke. Coach ''K'' would never admit it, but those are the 2 teams he's most worried about. Duke should not be favored by more than 2-3 over MIA, 4-5 over NCST, imo, so those payout odds are reasonable.

In any event, we'll be keeping track, posting any new info., and individual plays. All insight welcome. I know there are some good ACC cappers out there.

Good luck to all!

Hunch tells me GTECH wins vs BC, NC State wins SU and ATS, Maryland wins SU and loses ATS and FSU wins SU and ATS.

2nd round, GTECH covers and loses to MIAMI SU, NC STATE wins SU and ATS, DUKE destroys MARY and covers, FSU wins ATS to UNC who wins SU, 68-67 win.

Semis - i'm hazy and my crystal ball is dinged up but bottom line, its NC STATE to move to the final vs DUKE.

Alright EB, a man with plan, like that. Your picks look good, like your 1st round and my early strong lean there is GATECH who gets to come right back at BC after losing to them Saturday. Like NCST to bounce back big too after the loss @ FSU.

Nate, your absolutely right, losing does nullify value. 

1 game on the slate for me tonight, the South Florida Bulls. A new season for an underachieving bunch who began to find themselves a bit down the stretch. The Hall beat USF earlier this season but the Bulls overall talent and 2nd wind will carry them to the win tonight. I've played them the last 3 games, all winners.

Bulls pick 'em.

Some adjusted odds today:

DUKE -250, are you kidding? No respect at all for the rest of the conference.

UNC AND NCST, +350

UVA +800, I guess if you like the Cavs', now 's the time to hit 'em 

Hard for me to understand how there is a 450 bps difference between the odds for Duke, -250, and Miami, +200. That's substantial and there is very little difference between them on the court. Honestly, I may be eating some serious crow on Monday, BUT if Duke and Miami play on Sunday, Miami will win. No disrespect to Ryan Kelly, but I believe the public darling Blue Devils are picking up alot of support because of an overreaction to Ryan Kelly being back. Yea, I know they're undefeated with him, but he's going to meet his match when he goes up against sharpshooting 6'11" Kenny Kadji, my prediction for tourney MVP. And if you haven't seen Shane Larkin, he's a slick, ballhandling clone of Austin Rivers who can shoot and play defense too. Jordan Roper started off the game for Clemson hitting everything in sight in scoring their first 12 points, until Larkin came in (Senior Day). He then "0''d the rest of the game. He could steal the MVP too. 

Day one

GTECH -2 v BC

WAKE v MARY -5.5

CLEM v FSU -2.5

VTECH v NCST -11.5

As stated above, "Hunch tells me GTECH wins vs BC, NC State wins SU and ATS, Maryland wins SU and loses ATS and FSU wins SU and ATS."

This may hold true - we will soon see

We seem to be in agreement EB, my first 2 plays of the day,

GATECH M/L, -120, paying a little extra juice in what will probably be a close game

NCST -11, Too many horses in that stable. NCST has one of the most talented starting 5's in the country, They'll need to win 4 in a row to cut the nets down in Greensboro.

need the giants to come up huge for the Yellow Jackets.