All Forums | College Basketball

Starting up the ole System plays from last year

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 14676
Posts: 238
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 20078
Posted: #76

boy a long day yest,,,,,,,,,Covers,,ATS stats as of saturday,,,,,

1 New Mexico 4-0-0
2 Syracuse 4-0-0
3 South Florida 4-0-0
4 Mississippi 3-0-0
5 Colorado St. 3-0-0
6 William & Mary 3-0-0
7 Samford 3-0-0
8 Loyola Marymount 4-1-0

 

Teams with losing ATS streaks

243 Pittsburgh 0-3-0
244 Albany 0-3-0
245 Georgia 0-3-0
246 Pennsylvania 0-3-0
247 Connecticut 0-3-0
248 CSU Northridge 0-3-0
249 Portland St. 0-3-0
250 Boise St. 0-3-0

 

 

 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 20078
Posted: #77
thanks bandos for assistance,,,,,,,
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 20078
Posted: #78

believe Sys went 1-1 yesterday,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Covers has Nova 2-1,ATS,,,,,,,not 3-0 so sys says np yet

other two i agree,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #79
The Nova is a fade of Miss who is 3-0.

Albany is 0-3, but one game in the middle had no line??  I played it at pk for 1u

Also, what to do about Temple, won by 4, opened at -4, but closed at -4.5  is that a push or a loss ATS?

Bob
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #80
Updating my card:

Albany pk  1u

Nova -3.5  1u

NC Wilmington + 9, 1.65 u (already down 1u vs USF) so if this wins, I am up .5u

Miami OH +13 1.65u (already down 1 unit vs NM) so if this wins, I am up .5u

And, nothing to do with system - but I couldn't resist (GATech -6 1h 1u)
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #81
One more thing, why is Loyola Marymount on the list, they are 1-1 last2 ATS right?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #82
Done with none system plays.  GT only up 2 at half and just destroys them in the 2nd half - -rrggghhhh
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2005
Posts: 33232
Posted: #83
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #84
Albany pk  1u

Nova -3.5  1u

NC Wilmington + 9, 1.65 u (already down 1u vs USF) so if this wins, I am up .5u

Miami OH +13 1.65u (already down 1 unit vs NM) so if this wins, I am up .5u

3-1 for system tonight
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #85
Early reflection:

NewMex had 72%-75% of the money and could/should have been a reverse?

Nova had under 70% (65%-68%).

I am simply unsure what the threshold that Disco and wanna used last year to make s play a reverse.  It seems more relevant as one of many tools to cap a tourney game in late feb/march.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #86
More full disclosure. 
1. my unit is ten measly dollars right now as I try to figure if I can make this work as a consistent money maker.  Looking forward to raising it but will remain patient for now

2. I am UP .95u since loyola marymount fade (first system play) not including the loss on the first reverse play on Samford.  As above, reverse plays were great during tourney time but "early" just gonna go with the straight anti-trend.

0-3 teams or worse: I double any loss (6 was the longest losing streak per Bob)
Aub +1u
Albany +1u

3-0 or better: I add .5u to any loss as the winning streaks were longer last year (Weber went 10-0)

USF +.5u (one loss and one win)

loyolaM lost +.5u (i only bet .5 unit on this first play)

Ole Miss lost +1u

NewMex has won twice -3.1 units

Certainly looking for any feedback if my reasoning is faulty here, but looks good so far and I am looking forward to fading NewMex vs HA on the 27th for 4u.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 655
Posted: #87

good luck to us this year Bob

I'm still playing and observing with caution....trying anyways. I'm just so happy that ball is back.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 595
Posted: #88
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 2998
Posted: #89
The hard work is appreciated guys.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 2998
Posted: #90
Cal State Northridge goes today, 0-3, e system.a play on the ATS streak system.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #91
Yes, profit - it fits.  As does Pitt who is due to cover as well.  Will post plays later.

Bob, how did you deal with PUSHes last year?  Indiana (which should have been a play yesterday at 3 ATS losses - guess we missed it) pushed vs gmason.  So now 0-3-1 L4.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #92
Also, covers has some goofy numbers in their ATS chart (Samford is NOT 3-0 - they lost to A+M by 19, line was 14.5)  Covers says that that game was NOT lined.  Gotta double check these streaks.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #93
We missed Detroit yesterday - that was a winner too as Alcorn st covered.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #94
Monday 11/23
0-3 teams:

Pitt
CS Northridge

Notes: Dixon is out for Pitt, thus all 5 on the floor were NOT starters last year - tread with caution.

No 3-0 teams play on Monday.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 3600
Posted: #95
you realize each game is independent of each other, right? there is no correlation between past covers and future covers.... 

it's the roulette argument applied here..... if there is 7 reds in a row, there's got to be a black coming up next.......not true....
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 496
Posted: #96
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #97
Zonacats -

You have identified the basic weakness.  However, when 7 reds come up, the casino doesn't add more blacks.  When one teams covers or doesn't cover, the casino DOES add more points.  The point being that most teams will end up 12-16 to 16-12 ATS this year.  Vegas will move the spread to try to guarantee that.

 I wish I could still find the ats records from 2009, and the streaks.  According to Bob the longest losing streak was 0-6.  Weber st had the longest winning streak at 10-0 but that was by far the longest.  These numbers are the ones I wish I had from 2009 and even before.  If you have any idea where they might exist, please let me know.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #98
Play, fade, watch.

My Plays:

Pitt-6 1u

UC Northridge +14 3u

GL with your wagers today.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #99
And Bob, I think we need to double check covers against vegasinsider:  We missed Tulane yesterday as well as an 0-3 team. 
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 2909
Posted: #100
Pitt-6 1u

UC Northridge +14 3u

8 plays for tomorrow

due to cover
 due to NOT cover

NCW is playing VMI - dont know if that will have a line.
All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.