Posted:
#1
I am doing poorly this season on the basketball after doing well in NFL and college football, so you may want to fade my picks and make money while I lose it. That being said, I think my rationale and reasoning for my picks is solid and if you guys have any insight into what I'm doing wrong, feel free to let me know so I can stop the proverbial bleeding.
First big play is UConn Team Total Over 55.5 (max bet) : UConn is averaging 71.8 pts a game and have only scored under 60 twice this season. Once against Harvard, who I am sure was trying to slow the game way down against a Big East opponent and the other was the beginning of this week against Louisville who has went crazy with their emphasis on playing solid D...and it is working well in Big East play.
Second play Neb / Penn St under 118.5 (2 units) :
Both teams averaging just under 60 pts a game and I see this game being slow and low scoring. The chances of one or both teams not getting to their average is high and as a Nebraska fan, it pains me to say it will most likely be the Huskers. I have seen half a dozen of their games this year and they like to slow the game down to stay close.
Third play is Missou Team Total over 58.5 ( 2 units) :
Missouri is averaging 77 pts a game and even though they don't have Bowers (their best player), I still believe they find a way to score. The game after Bowers went down, against Georgia, they were back on track and scored 79. They may not cover against a talented Florida team, but they will put up a fight and score more than 60. Take this one with confidence.
More to come, posting these before the early games start. Again, not having much luck this year so fade me if you like, but either way, good luck to all and I hope you have success in your bets.
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