nice day today in college football up 2.7 units. Slow start in NFL going 2-4 -2.37 units
Cowboys/Redskins Under 46.5 -110 <2 units>
Here we go! Classic overreaction game. We have the Cowboys who played sound defense vs the Giants, but still gave up 300 yards passing and 120 yards rushing, the thing is, they had solid red zone defense and only gave up 2 total touchdowns for the game and 1 field goal, one of these 2 touchdowns came at 2:49 left in the game when the Cowboys were up 35-10, so don't overreact to the box score.
On the other hand, the Skins looked great, off to a hot start throwing 20 points in the first half and then got blanked in the 2h only to score a garbage touchdown in the 4th Q with 6 seconds left to back door. It took a while for Philly to get going but once they did, they made a ton of stops on the skins in the 2h. This is a classic BOX SCORE recency bias bet for the over bettors. Skins scored 27, Cowboys scored 35, how does this game NOT go over? 82% of the tickets are on the over as we speak.
The Skins had no rush offense at all, put up a putrid 28 yards rushing. 7 points came from an emotional breakdown play by Vernon Davis, then a HUGE 69 yard touchdown pass for another score. The longest receiving catch for the Giants vs the Cowboys was 25 yards, so we don't expect the Skins to once again have these big touchdown plays. The Cowboys threw the ball all day, Dak had 405 yards passing and 4 touchdowns. He should regress in this game, and we should see way more of Elliott who only had 13 carries for 53 yards. He was in Cabo, we know, and should be in better shape going into this game.
This is a classic recency bias and overreaction game where people are running to bet the over, but these two teams are divisional opponents, playing outside in grass is different than playing in a Dome. Remember, this line opened at 44, and Vegas had to move it up due to money and tickets going on the over. Vegas opening line was 44, which is low, and now we get 46.5. We should see more running, and the Skins should struggle and not play the way they did in the 1st half of the Eagles game. Take the Under, Good luck!
nice day today in college football up 2.7 units. Slow start in NFL going 2-4 -2.37 units
Cowboys/Redskins Under 46.5 -110 <2 units>
Here we go! Classic overreaction game. We have the Cowboys who played sound defense vs the Giants, but still gave up 300 yards passing and 120 yards rushing, the thing is, they had solid red zone defense and only gave up 2 total touchdowns for the game and 1 field goal, one of these 2 touchdowns came at 2:49 left in the game when the Cowboys were up 35-10, so don't overreact to the box score.
On the other hand, the Skins looked great, off to a hot start throwing 20 points in the first half and then got blanked in the 2h only to score a garbage touchdown in the 4th Q with 6 seconds left to back door. It took a while for Philly to get going but once they did, they made a ton of stops on the skins in the 2h. This is a classic BOX SCORE recency bias bet for the over bettors. Skins scored 27, Cowboys scored 35, how does this game NOT go over? 82% of the tickets are on the over as we speak.
The Skins had no rush offense at all, put up a putrid 28 yards rushing. 7 points came from an emotional breakdown play by Vernon Davis, then a HUGE 69 yard touchdown pass for another score. The longest receiving catch for the Giants vs the Cowboys was 25 yards, so we don't expect the Skins to once again have these big touchdown plays. The Cowboys threw the ball all day, Dak had 405 yards passing and 4 touchdowns. He should regress in this game, and we should see way more of Elliott who only had 13 carries for 53 yards. He was in Cabo, we know, and should be in better shape going into this game.
This is a classic recency bias and overreaction game where people are running to bet the over, but these two teams are divisional opponents, playing outside in grass is different than playing in a Dome. Remember, this line opened at 44, and Vegas had to move it up due to money and tickets going on the over. Vegas opening line was 44, which is low, and now we get 46.5. We should see more running, and the Skins should struggle and not play the way they did in the 1st half of the Eagles game. Take the Under, Good luck!
49ers did not impress us last week. They went to Tampa Bay (half the team was sick), and won 31-17. 14 of those points came from pick 6’s, so if Andy Dalton doesnt play like Winston, this game will be much closer than what everyone thinks. If you take those points off the board, the game was 17-17, and that's with a weak Tampa Bay team trying to get healthy.
Tough stretch for the Niners though, they travel to Tampa week 1, then need to go to Cincinnati the following week and then have the Steelers at home. West coast to East coast two weeks in a row is a tough task. Bengals played well vs Seattle, in Seattle, which surprised us. Seattle had a tough rush defense but Dalton was able to shred the secondary for 418 yards and 2 touchdowns. The only problem we see is that Dalton was sacked 5 times and he fumbled a couple times. If this happens again, the tide can swing pretty fast. I think this week, they are focusing on running the ball more and protecting the ball, they know they have some receivers they can throw it to. The line is -1 Bengals and EVEN for a reason. The niners look like the darling play, but Vegas thinks this game is totally even, so taking the home team is always the way to go in these situations. Bengals bounce back and surprise everyone, they will win outright in this spot. Lets go!
49ers did not impress us last week. They went to Tampa Bay (half the team was sick), and won 31-17. 14 of those points came from pick 6’s, so if Andy Dalton doesnt play like Winston, this game will be much closer than what everyone thinks. If you take those points off the board, the game was 17-17, and that's with a weak Tampa Bay team trying to get healthy.
Tough stretch for the Niners though, they travel to Tampa week 1, then need to go to Cincinnati the following week and then have the Steelers at home. West coast to East coast two weeks in a row is a tough task. Bengals played well vs Seattle, in Seattle, which surprised us. Seattle had a tough rush defense but Dalton was able to shred the secondary for 418 yards and 2 touchdowns. The only problem we see is that Dalton was sacked 5 times and he fumbled a couple times. If this happens again, the tide can swing pretty fast. I think this week, they are focusing on running the ball more and protecting the ball, they know they have some receivers they can throw it to. The line is -1 Bengals and EVEN for a reason. The niners look like the darling play, but Vegas thinks this game is totally even, so taking the home team is always the way to go in these situations. Bengals bounce back and surprise everyone, they will win outright in this spot. Lets go!
Colts +3.5 -120 <1 unit> The Titans blew out the hyped up Baker Mayfield and OBJ Browns and this spread is only at -3 to the Colts? The money has brought the line up to 3.5, but that shows a lot of respect from Vegas only opening this line at 3. The colts looked pretty solid offensively even with the Luck retiring. The Brissett era has begun and he looked solid in the 2H vs the Chargers. The Colts drove down the field and took over the 4th quarter and pushed the Chargers into OT. The reality is, a coin flip is what really cost the Colts the game as they were never given the opportunity they needed in OT. Everyone is just going to remember that they lost and that they gave up 30 points. That and 2 missed fg’s and a missed PAT; that’s future hall of famer Adam Vinaterri missing a PAT.
Let’s look at this a little more closely though because it truly was a tale of 2 halfs. The Colts held the Chargers to 7 points in the 3 quarter and 0 points in the 4th quarter. They did lose the coin toss and the Chargers punched in the TD in OT. Their defense stepped up in the 2H, and their offense started to finally click. Marlon Mack started running well, and Brissett looked more comfortable in the pocket. You can say the Chargers snuck out a win, or the Colts backdoored, but we were happy to see how both the offense and defense did.
The Colts play the Titans traditionally well, and again we think this game is too big on a hype train after the Titan’s beat up on the Cleveland Browns. We know that the Brown’s are supposed to be improved now with a better defense, Heisman QB, awesome RB play from Chubb, and of course some explosive WR play with Landry/OBJ, but they are still the Cleveland Browns of old until they can prove they have improved. When you look at everything that way, it doesn’t really make sense for everyone to have been so shocked that the Titans came to play.
We see the Colts staying in this game with a great chance to win it outright. If Vegas didnt think that was the case, the line would be more -4 or -4.5, but it opened -3. Brissett looked to be vibing with TY Hilton, his TE, and Marlon Mack. The Colts (even w/o Luck) need to stay relevant in this division, and this is the perfect game to win and get on the map, on espn and people talking about them on how they can succeed without Luck. This division is going to be interesting this year. Take the Colts +3.5, we feel like this game is going to be more like the 2h of their game against the Chargers last week. Let’s go. Good Luck!
Colts +3.5 -120 <1 unit> The Titans blew out the hyped up Baker Mayfield and OBJ Browns and this spread is only at -3 to the Colts? The money has brought the line up to 3.5, but that shows a lot of respect from Vegas only opening this line at 3. The colts looked pretty solid offensively even with the Luck retiring. The Brissett era has begun and he looked solid in the 2H vs the Chargers. The Colts drove down the field and took over the 4th quarter and pushed the Chargers into OT. The reality is, a coin flip is what really cost the Colts the game as they were never given the opportunity they needed in OT. Everyone is just going to remember that they lost and that they gave up 30 points. That and 2 missed fg’s and a missed PAT; that’s future hall of famer Adam Vinaterri missing a PAT.
Let’s look at this a little more closely though because it truly was a tale of 2 halfs. The Colts held the Chargers to 7 points in the 3 quarter and 0 points in the 4th quarter. They did lose the coin toss and the Chargers punched in the TD in OT. Their defense stepped up in the 2H, and their offense started to finally click. Marlon Mack started running well, and Brissett looked more comfortable in the pocket. You can say the Chargers snuck out a win, or the Colts backdoored, but we were happy to see how both the offense and defense did.
The Colts play the Titans traditionally well, and again we think this game is too big on a hype train after the Titan’s beat up on the Cleveland Browns. We know that the Brown’s are supposed to be improved now with a better defense, Heisman QB, awesome RB play from Chubb, and of course some explosive WR play with Landry/OBJ, but they are still the Cleveland Browns of old until they can prove they have improved. When you look at everything that way, it doesn’t really make sense for everyone to have been so shocked that the Titans came to play.
We see the Colts staying in this game with a great chance to win it outright. If Vegas didnt think that was the case, the line would be more -4 or -4.5, but it opened -3. Brissett looked to be vibing with TY Hilton, his TE, and Marlon Mack. The Colts (even w/o Luck) need to stay relevant in this division, and this is the perfect game to win and get on the map, on espn and people talking about them on how they can succeed without Luck. This division is going to be interesting this year. Take the Colts +3.5, we feel like this game is going to be more like the 2h of their game against the Chargers last week. Let’s go. Good Luck!
I know this is the saints revenge game but they gave it EVERYTHING they had to beat texans last week and now go to the west coast to a revenge spot but Rams are sitting at home waiting for this game. You don’t think they also circled this game? They went to Carolina and Goff didn’t have to do much to squeeze out that win.
The Saints are 0-6 ats in their last 6 games, they have not been playing well and are definitely not the same on the road in grass. Texans offense ate that defense up. Don’t corget, Goff is an animal at home, he had 342 yards on average per game at home last year, threw for 22 touchdowns and had only 2 picks. Goff also went 7-1 SU at home last year and now the line is -2 since it was bet down from -3, so basically a SU win is all they need to cover. Goff loves playing at home and everyone’s eating up the revenge game aspect for the saints but the Rams want to also prove that last year wasn’t a fluke because of the PI. Don’t fall in love with this revenge game! Rams will win! Let’s go! Good luck!
I know this is the saints revenge game but they gave it EVERYTHING they had to beat texans last week and now go to the west coast to a revenge spot but Rams are sitting at home waiting for this game. You don’t think they also circled this game? They went to Carolina and Goff didn’t have to do much to squeeze out that win.
The Saints are 0-6 ats in their last 6 games, they have not been playing well and are definitely not the same on the road in grass. Texans offense ate that defense up. Don’t corget, Goff is an animal at home, he had 342 yards on average per game at home last year, threw for 22 touchdowns and had only 2 picks. Goff also went 7-1 SU at home last year and now the line is -2 since it was bet down from -3, so basically a SU win is all they need to cover. Goff loves playing at home and everyone’s eating up the revenge game aspect for the saints but the Rams want to also prove that last year wasn’t a fluke because of the PI. Don’t fall in love with this revenge game! Rams will win! Let’s go! Good luck!
Vikings whooped their ass last week. Eagles are now slight favorites on the road, and the Eagles didnt look amazing vs redskins. Matt Ryan at home last year was solid and Malik Jackson defensive line out for the year for eagles. Wentz 8-12 SU on the road, he’s not the best. Atlanta humiliated last week and now SNF home opener at home in a dome, it’s gonna be loud! The eagles controlled the clock in their opener, but that's not gonna happen in a raucous Georgia Dome. As bad as things looked for the Falcons against the Vikings they did still tally more total yards than the Vikings did which is encouraging. The Falcons were down 21-0 and still showcased that they could move the ball with drives of 66, 71, and 82 yards. This is very encouraging entering the home opener tonight. Matt Ryan also threw a pick in the endzone which made the Falcons look even worse than they actually are. The Falcons should be able to minimize mistakes and turnovers tonight. The eagles didnt look great defending the pass while they did look good stopping the run. The falcons are going to pass a lot, take a lead and then will look to transition to clock management with freeman and ito. We think the falcons pull off a win at home in their opener in what should be a thrilling and exciting SNF game.
Trend snippet - Matt Ryan 10-1 SU and ATS as home openers. Let’s fucking go!
Vikings whooped their ass last week. Eagles are now slight favorites on the road, and the Eagles didnt look amazing vs redskins. Matt Ryan at home last year was solid and Malik Jackson defensive line out for the year for eagles. Wentz 8-12 SU on the road, he’s not the best. Atlanta humiliated last week and now SNF home opener at home in a dome, it’s gonna be loud! The eagles controlled the clock in their opener, but that's not gonna happen in a raucous Georgia Dome. As bad as things looked for the Falcons against the Vikings they did still tally more total yards than the Vikings did which is encouraging. The Falcons were down 21-0 and still showcased that they could move the ball with drives of 66, 71, and 82 yards. This is very encouraging entering the home opener tonight. Matt Ryan also threw a pick in the endzone which made the Falcons look even worse than they actually are. The Falcons should be able to minimize mistakes and turnovers tonight. The eagles didnt look great defending the pass while they did look good stopping the run. The falcons are going to pass a lot, take a lead and then will look to transition to clock management with freeman and ito. We think the falcons pull off a win at home in their opener in what should be a thrilling and exciting SNF game.
Trend snippet - Matt Ryan 10-1 SU and ATS as home openers. Let’s fucking go!
Vikings whooped their behind last week. Eagles are now slight favorites on the road, and the Eagles didnt look amazing vs redskins. Matt Ryan at home last year was solid and Malik Jackson defensive line out for the year for eagles. Wentz 8-12 SU on the road, he’s not the best. Atlanta humiliated last week and now SNF home opener at home in a dome, it’s gonna be loud! The eagles controlled the clock in their opener, but that's not gonna happen in a raucous Georgia Dome. As bad as things looked for the Falcons against the Vikings they did still tally more total yards than the Vikings did which is encouraging. The Falcons were down 21-0 and still showcased that they could move the ball with drives of 66, 71, and 82 yards. This is very encouraging entering the home opener tonight. Matt Ryan also threw a pick in the endzone which made the Falcons look even worse than they actually are. The Falcons should be able to minimize mistakes and turnovers tonight. The eagles didnt look great defending the pass while they did look good stopping the run. The falcons are going to pass a lot, take a lead and then will look to transition to clock management with freeman and ito. We think the falcons pull off a win at home in their opener in what should be a thrilling and exciting SNF game.
Trend snippet - Matt Ryan 10-1 SU and ATS as home openers. Let’s friggin go!
WE? oh....it's a cut and paste write-up. Why didn't you just say so!
Vikings whooped their behind last week. Eagles are now slight favorites on the road, and the Eagles didnt look amazing vs redskins. Matt Ryan at home last year was solid and Malik Jackson defensive line out for the year for eagles. Wentz 8-12 SU on the road, he’s not the best. Atlanta humiliated last week and now SNF home opener at home in a dome, it’s gonna be loud! The eagles controlled the clock in their opener, but that's not gonna happen in a raucous Georgia Dome. As bad as things looked for the Falcons against the Vikings they did still tally more total yards than the Vikings did which is encouraging. The Falcons were down 21-0 and still showcased that they could move the ball with drives of 66, 71, and 82 yards. This is very encouraging entering the home opener tonight. Matt Ryan also threw a pick in the endzone which made the Falcons look even worse than they actually are. The Falcons should be able to minimize mistakes and turnovers tonight. The eagles didnt look great defending the pass while they did look good stopping the run. The falcons are going to pass a lot, take a lead and then will look to transition to clock management with freeman and ito. We think the falcons pull off a win at home in their opener in what should be a thrilling and exciting SNF game.
Trend snippet - Matt Ryan 10-1 SU and ATS as home openers. Let’s friggin go!
WE? oh....it's a cut and paste write-up. Why didn't you just say so!
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