Saturday: Logical Play of the Day Under 9 Orioles 2x
Both pitchers hold each team to .150 or lower BA!!
Phillies 2x ....homer and under ump (12-5 H and 7-10 Ov). Corbin not quite as good form on the road.....Nola is really good at home!
Under 8.5 1x Phillies
Texas Under 10 2x
Big win from left field blowing to right field should take care of pull hitters vs the two lefty pitchers ....both pitchers pitch well vs.
Reds 1x
Under 14 2x
Lots are play both of these ....Roark is good vs Colorado only giving up 1 HR in 60 ABs.....thats unheard of vs this hitting lineup for the Rockies.....Freeland has likely worked out the kinks, they always do so I like the UNDER better than the over.....very warm in Denver so ball could carry even farther tonight.....suicide taking this number despite it being so high??
BOL
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Saturday: Logical Play of the Day Under 9 Orioles 2x
Both pitchers hold each team to .150 or lower BA!!
Phillies 2x ....homer and under ump (12-5 H and 7-10 Ov). Corbin not quite as good form on the road.....Nola is really good at home!
Under 8.5 1x Phillies
Texas Under 10 2x
Big win from left field blowing to right field should take care of pull hitters vs the two lefty pitchers ....both pitchers pitch well vs.
Reds 1x
Under 14 2x
Lots are play both of these ....Roark is good vs Colorado only giving up 1 HR in 60 ABs.....thats unheard of vs this hitting lineup for the Rockies.....Freeland has likely worked out the kinks, they always do so I like the UNDER better than the over.....very warm in Denver so ball could carry even farther tonight.....suicide taking this number despite it being so high??
So they DID get the Rockies game in and how many of you got sucked in by the 14 Total despite high heat and humidity?? DOH!!
-1 on that game......total on season corrected again to +51 Units now
Logical Play of the Day for Sunday: 4x Cardinals Under 8.5 (w/ juice)
Wind blowing to left strongly protecting the outside of the plate vs righties and Wainwright is lights out vs Ariz and Greinke good in this scenario as well
Indians Under 8.5 2x
Wind blowin in and a pitcher who has mastered the Indians and vs a high SO pitcher when both teams take no BP? Love this scenario on a Sunday. Scrappy game on a lazy Sunday. 4-3 type of game.
Yankees Under 2x Under 10
Tanaka is likely refreshed from a break. He is a pitching machine with very high pitch counts so expect him to be ready to dominate the Jays like he always does. Stroman is good in this situation and we have an ump who allows the low strike as evidenced by the low ERA.
Shoot....forgot to post ....had it ready....might do one or two more
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
So they DID get the Rockies game in and how many of you got sucked in by the 14 Total despite high heat and humidity?? DOH!!
-1 on that game......total on season corrected again to +51 Units now
Logical Play of the Day for Sunday: 4x Cardinals Under 8.5 (w/ juice)
Wind blowing to left strongly protecting the outside of the plate vs righties and Wainwright is lights out vs Ariz and Greinke good in this scenario as well
Indians Under 8.5 2x
Wind blowin in and a pitcher who has mastered the Indians and vs a high SO pitcher when both teams take no BP? Love this scenario on a Sunday. Scrappy game on a lazy Sunday. 4-3 type of game.
Yankees Under 2x Under 10
Tanaka is likely refreshed from a break. He is a pitching machine with very high pitch counts so expect him to be ready to dominate the Jays like he always does. Stroman is good in this situation and we have an ump who allows the low strike as evidenced by the low ERA.
Shoot....forgot to post ....had it ready....might do one or two more
Thanks Skoon....not fishing for props but I will take it. You would make me more happy if you have been following most days. This run I am on is unprecedented and I have found a couple things this year that have changed my analysis of Sabremetrics....not gonna lie, but this tool right here has helped me exit some plays I would make normally and some plays I wouldn't. https://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Thanks Skoon....not fishing for props but I will take it. You would make me more happy if you have been following most days. This run I am on is unprecedented and I have found a couple things this year that have changed my analysis of Sabremetrics....not gonna lie, but this tool right here has helped me exit some plays I would make normally and some plays I wouldn't. https://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl
Just pay attention to BA.....how many HR per 50-100 ABs and SO...numbers.....then check the pitchers present form and away/home splits....then UMPIRE if available
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Just pay attention to BA.....how many HR per 50-100 ABs and SO...numbers.....then check the pitchers present form and away/home splits....then UMPIRE if available
Kershaw owns this lineup....Dodgers will be high off of their Boston win and Eflin gets pounded by the Dodgers hitters.....Ker = .193 BA and Eflin is .353 BA
At some point, these easy plays might turn on me but while they are giving, I am going to take
Jays Over 10.5 2x
Boston -1.5 3x
So Boston hits Thornton for .422 avg and the Jays have hit Porcello well the last couple but, overall he has a .242 avg vs....Boston wins 8-4 type of score
CWS 4x
Under 9 2x
So Giolito has a .125 BA against this KC lineup....Junis has pitched reasonably well but nowhere close to Giolito and the wind is blowing in from right field
Stepping out tonight.....some days like these turn themselves upside down
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Kershaw owns this lineup....Dodgers will be high off of their Boston win and Eflin gets pounded by the Dodgers hitters.....Ker = .193 BA and Eflin is .353 BA
At some point, these easy plays might turn on me but while they are giving, I am going to take
Jays Over 10.5 2x
Boston -1.5 3x
So Boston hits Thornton for .422 avg and the Jays have hit Porcello well the last couple but, overall he has a .242 avg vs....Boston wins 8-4 type of score
CWS 4x
Under 9 2x
So Giolito has a .125 BA against this KC lineup....Junis has pitched reasonably well but nowhere close to Giolito and the wind is blowing in from right field
Stepping out tonight.....some days like these turn themselves upside down
Ok.....+9 Units on the night. I have thought about what has helped me make a more profitable sports bettor....along with luck.....and if I could put it in a nutshell.....my advice would be.....when you get a 'card/night' you like, treat it like a poker tournament. Take each game you like like a 'type of hand' in poker and bet accordingly. If you feel you have aces.....bet high multiply Units.....UNIT stacks are not built on a run of betting 1 UNIT at a time, but by being bold when you think you have aces. The more aces hands you get out of 10 times and press, the chances are you will win at least 6 out of 10 times and building your stack!
Season = +72 Units.
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Ok.....+9 Units on the night. I have thought about what has helped me make a more profitable sports bettor....along with luck.....and if I could put it in a nutshell.....my advice would be.....when you get a 'card/night' you like, treat it like a poker tournament. Take each game you like like a 'type of hand' in poker and bet accordingly. If you feel you have aces.....bet high multiply Units.....UNIT stacks are not built on a run of betting 1 UNIT at a time, but by being bold when you think you have aces. The more aces hands you get out of 10 times and press, the chances are you will win at least 6 out of 10 times and building your stack!
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.