No way they get swept at home
Have you looked at the projected starters and line ups are is this just based on them not getting swept at home? Boston's not great right now. Teams like Boston, the Cubs, the Indians, the Yankees, in football the Cowboys, ect., you can always get beneficial lines on these teams because there's often a public perception that they are better than they are. And make no mistake about it, public perception is the biggest factor in setting a line. Not only that, there are a hand full of teams that have large enough fan bases to sway the line. It'a often good to find the right opportunity to fade these teams rather than back them.
Have you looked at the projected starters and line ups are is this just based on them not getting swept at home? Boston's not great right now. Teams like Boston, the Cubs, the Indians, the Yankees, in football the Cowboys, ect., you can always get beneficial lines on these teams because there's often a public perception that they are better than they are. And make no mistake about it, public perception is the biggest factor in setting a line. Not only that, there are a hand full of teams that have large enough fan bases to sway the line. It'a often good to find the right opportunity to fade these teams rather than back them.
Lance Lynn 2 78 ERA 0.93 WHIP last 5
Rick Porcello 4 45 ERA 1.32 WHIP last 5
Texas has slightly better numbers against RHP.
Texas about one more run per game over the last 10
These are a few basic reasons why i'd stay away from Boston. I haven't even delved deep into this game yet. And maybe i'll flip if and when I do but for now it's Texas or bust. Oh, and Porcello can be super inconsistant. Never know what you're gonna get with him.
At the end of the day, you've gotta trust your gut. You'll hate yourself more for staying away and them winning than you will for backing them and them losing.
Lance Lynn 2 78 ERA 0.93 WHIP last 5
Rick Porcello 4 45 ERA 1.32 WHIP last 5
Texas has slightly better numbers against RHP.
Texas about one more run per game over the last 10
These are a few basic reasons why i'd stay away from Boston. I haven't even delved deep into this game yet. And maybe i'll flip if and when I do but for now it's Texas or bust. Oh, and Porcello can be super inconsistant. Never know what you're gonna get with him.
At the end of the day, you've gotta trust your gut. You'll hate yourself more for staying away and them winning than you will for backing them and them losing.
Boston is like 15-2 in Games 3 of a series
Boston is 4-0 vs Texas in Porcello last 4 starts. Average run diff of +4
My gut is Boston wins this game and lose tomorrow..
Boston is like 15-2 in Games 3 of a series
Boston is 4-0 vs Texas in Porcello last 4 starts. Average run diff of +4
My gut is Boston wins this game and lose tomorrow..
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