Holland Friday FUN Parlay (as always): hit this again last week as things been picking up, 3-2 since winter break:
9-match over 1.5 @+297
playing todays card lightly. when found out the final score we celebrated the hoops win (cork popping) a tad too enthusiastically. ensures will remain on '+' side for remainder of month. so now back to our 'regularly scheduled programming'
Serie A:
Juve/Frosinone - cazzo!! 4 hours before the start and i still cant find/figure out our lineup. will have to wait till when arrive and see. with an 11 pt lead and a trip to Madrid looming; this COULD be our 'throw-away' game. but then again, we dont "do" throw aways at home. Max in a sticky spot with key players back from injury so he'll want to at least give them some time out there. (Chiell & Bonucci especially). Christian might be rested, if starts, he'll probably get pulled at the half anyways. so he'll get his 1 hour to pile on the goals and extend that lead. but if I know Max like I do, he'll go out with the same formation which is being planned for midweek and get everyone "set" so dont be suprised if you see us playing deep with the 'horseshoe' formation and just defend & hit off the counters. prices juiced to the moon. at same time I wouldnt touch the +1.5 either simply cause I dont know whats going thru Christians brain. he can bang in 2-3 alone here. PASS.
Serie B:
Palermo/Brescia - 2nd vs 1st, separated by a point. stingiest defense with the fewest total goals vs best offense with the most total goals. Brescia won reverse fixture 2-1 and will be playing for the draw here; theyre tied for the most draws on road. (hoping they can do this) and havent been cleansheeted in any of their 25 matches this year. got lucky with the scheduling as this is the best time of year for northern clubs to be visiting sicily as temps/humidity are reasonable. for fun, going to try my luck with this. split it in half: Draw + over 2.5 @+1100, BTTS & under 2.5 @550
Sandwiches:
Augsburg(Munich) +1100, +550, +1.5 @+120 - same darn spot as last year prior to their KO Round opener, almost the same date too. visited relegation contender Wolfsburg, fell behind a goal and ended up winning on Lews injury-time PK in 92nd with a 400+ hanging on the draw. they owe me one. but honestly, getting '+' money on that 1.5 looks nice; with that trip to Anfield looming - not to mention 'Pool is off this wknd, so theyre sitting there resting, reviewing film, practice, and get the strategy/formation down to the nitty-gritty. i dont expect Munich to go 'all out' here but 5 pts behind Dort theyll be eager for the 'w' and dial up the pressure on them. grab lead, conserve energy, and - most importantly - like my Juve, be injury-free.
Newport/(ManC) +2.5 @+152 -i REFUSE to cherry-pick this trend, once i start doing that ya end up going down a slippery slope. if im not mistaken, couldnt Citys bench win League 2?
Vallecano(Atletico) +500, +275
Home teams to fade:
Lyon/Guigamp - Lyon at home this year before CL? draw Caen 2-2, lost 2-0 to Rennes, won 1-0 to Eti, draw Bordeaux at home, beat Nimes 2-0 with help of an injury time goal, draw Nantes. these guys blew chunks last year before even their UEL matches, gosh. with Mr. Lionel & Company coming to town in a few days and Im getting '+' money on this? OK.... Ill bite. cr@ppy cellar dweller and all. and hoping for an uninspired 2-1 win.
Guigamp +1.5 @+110
Conmebol: all these clubs just recently advanced this past week; 3rd and final Preliminary round is set for next week. soooo close to qualifying for Group stage, almost positive none of these clubs will be fielding full-strength squads this wknd (if theyre even playing at all) fade them all irrespective if its home/away:
Holland Friday FUN Parlay (as always): hit this again last week as things been picking up, 3-2 since winter break:
9-match over 1.5 @+297
playing todays card lightly. when found out the final score we celebrated the hoops win (cork popping) a tad too enthusiastically. ensures will remain on '+' side for remainder of month. so now back to our 'regularly scheduled programming'
Serie A:
Juve/Frosinone - cazzo!! 4 hours before the start and i still cant find/figure out our lineup. will have to wait till when arrive and see. with an 11 pt lead and a trip to Madrid looming; this COULD be our 'throw-away' game. but then again, we dont "do" throw aways at home. Max in a sticky spot with key players back from injury so he'll want to at least give them some time out there. (Chiell & Bonucci especially). Christian might be rested, if starts, he'll probably get pulled at the half anyways. so he'll get his 1 hour to pile on the goals and extend that lead. but if I know Max like I do, he'll go out with the same formation which is being planned for midweek and get everyone "set" so dont be suprised if you see us playing deep with the 'horseshoe' formation and just defend & hit off the counters. prices juiced to the moon. at same time I wouldnt touch the +1.5 either simply cause I dont know whats going thru Christians brain. he can bang in 2-3 alone here. PASS.
Serie B:
Palermo/Brescia - 2nd vs 1st, separated by a point. stingiest defense with the fewest total goals vs best offense with the most total goals. Brescia won reverse fixture 2-1 and will be playing for the draw here; theyre tied for the most draws on road. (hoping they can do this) and havent been cleansheeted in any of their 25 matches this year. got lucky with the scheduling as this is the best time of year for northern clubs to be visiting sicily as temps/humidity are reasonable. for fun, going to try my luck with this. split it in half: Draw + over 2.5 @+1100, BTTS & under 2.5 @550
Sandwiches:
Augsburg(Munich) +1100, +550, +1.5 @+120 - same darn spot as last year prior to their KO Round opener, almost the same date too. visited relegation contender Wolfsburg, fell behind a goal and ended up winning on Lews injury-time PK in 92nd with a 400+ hanging on the draw. they owe me one. but honestly, getting '+' money on that 1.5 looks nice; with that trip to Anfield looming - not to mention 'Pool is off this wknd, so theyre sitting there resting, reviewing film, practice, and get the strategy/formation down to the nitty-gritty. i dont expect Munich to go 'all out' here but 5 pts behind Dort theyll be eager for the 'w' and dial up the pressure on them. grab lead, conserve energy, and - most importantly - like my Juve, be injury-free.
Newport/(ManC) +2.5 @+152 -i REFUSE to cherry-pick this trend, once i start doing that ya end up going down a slippery slope. if im not mistaken, couldnt Citys bench win League 2?
Vallecano(Atletico) +500, +275
Home teams to fade:
Lyon/Guigamp - Lyon at home this year before CL? draw Caen 2-2, lost 2-0 to Rennes, won 1-0 to Eti, draw Bordeaux at home, beat Nimes 2-0 with help of an injury time goal, draw Nantes. these guys blew chunks last year before even their UEL matches, gosh. with Mr. Lionel & Company coming to town in a few days and Im getting '+' money on this? OK.... Ill bite. cr@ppy cellar dweller and all. and hoping for an uninspired 2-1 win.
Guigamp +1.5 @+110
Conmebol: all these clubs just recently advanced this past week; 3rd and final Preliminary round is set for next week. soooo close to qualifying for Group stage, almost positive none of these clubs will be fielding full-strength squads this wknd (if theyre even playing at all) fade them all irrespective if its home/away:
Fade Lyon before chl ... had this game circled for the very same reason, but Lyon losing to Nice coupled w StEtienne win made me hesitant... will somehow have something on Guingamp for sure
Fade Lyon before chl ... had this game circled for the very same reason, but Lyon losing to Nice coupled w StEtienne win made me hesitant... will somehow have something on Guingamp for sure
Out when i first stated doing thing many moons ago i used to fade everyone across the board (home/away). lets just say its a "learned" adjustment. after a few years i stopped fading the home teams, the big boys tended to clobber 'lesser' opponents in front of their supporters. which still pretty much holds true today. which i why I pick my spots with the home teams. ill never 'fade' Barca at home, not as long as Lionel is still alive. same with my guys; quite a few of our supporters dont appreciate half-a**ed efforts, doesnt matter vs whomever/whenever. so i avoid them. Lyon has shown an MO of looking ahead the past few years, so i dont mind taking a calculated risk on that one. and as long as im getting '+' money on it, its worth a shot even if they did beat this team already twice this year. didnt Guigamp lose to PSG by a touchdown recently though?
Out when i first stated doing thing many moons ago i used to fade everyone across the board (home/away). lets just say its a "learned" adjustment. after a few years i stopped fading the home teams, the big boys tended to clobber 'lesser' opponents in front of their supporters. which still pretty much holds true today. which i why I pick my spots with the home teams. ill never 'fade' Barca at home, not as long as Lionel is still alive. same with my guys; quite a few of our supporters dont appreciate half-a**ed efforts, doesnt matter vs whomever/whenever. so i avoid them. Lyon has shown an MO of looking ahead the past few years, so i dont mind taking a calculated risk on that one. and as long as im getting '+' money on it, its worth a shot even if they did beat this team already twice this year. didnt Guigamp lose to PSG by a touchdown recently though?
A touchdown and few to spare, I was on Guingamp even outright win then lol
Palermo seem to have sorted out their ownership issues, wonder how much matters for a team to win serie b (or if top-2 for direct promotion is all they care about)
A touchdown and few to spare, I was on Guingamp even outright win then lol
Palermo seem to have sorted out their ownership issues, wonder how much matters for a team to win serie b (or if top-2 for direct promotion is all they care about)
out, got a few minutes here before heading off. regarding Palermo, one of the small reasons i took them to win the title, their situation is always interesting. been toggling back n forth betweeen Serie A/B all deccade long. too good for 'B', not good enuff for 'A'. ya can go back and check too, every time theyve dropped, they came right back up the following year. part of it is the 'social' aspect of it. (too long of an explanation) you already know their location so wont need to delve into that here. but theres some pretty powerful people associated with them, whom hold some pretty powerful positions in the futbol world of italy. and one of the things about Serie A is that its always represented by a club from the south. just watch, put a gun to my head, cagliari drops and palermo promotes. getting that promotion is huge, the money which comes with it can keep a club afloat for years. im hoping Brescia can hold on.
could care less if we win/lose today. but for the love of dear god, please... no injuries.
out, got a few minutes here before heading off. regarding Palermo, one of the small reasons i took them to win the title, their situation is always interesting. been toggling back n forth betweeen Serie A/B all deccade long. too good for 'B', not good enuff for 'A'. ya can go back and check too, every time theyve dropped, they came right back up the following year. part of it is the 'social' aspect of it. (too long of an explanation) you already know their location so wont need to delve into that here. but theres some pretty powerful people associated with them, whom hold some pretty powerful positions in the futbol world of italy. and one of the things about Serie A is that its always represented by a club from the south. just watch, put a gun to my head, cagliari drops and palermo promotes. getting that promotion is huge, the money which comes with it can keep a club afloat for years. im hoping Brescia can hold on.
could care less if we win/lose today. but for the love of dear god, please... no injuries.
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