I have been very critical of UCF for most of this season but I can't pretend like they wouldn't hold their own against Oklahoma and Ohio State right now. I still highly doubt they get their shot but I'd be lying if I said I wouldn't be mad if: Michigan beats Ohio State, Northwestern beats Michigan (B1G Title Game), Notre Dame loses to USC, Alabama thumps UGA (SEC Title Game), Oklahoma loses to West Virginia, West Virginia loses to Texas (Big 12 Title Game), and Washington beats Washington State, and LSU loses to Texas A&M, (catches breath...) then I'd love to see how they don't get their opportunity.
Texas is a win over Kansas away from being 9-3 and playing the winner of WVU/OU for the Big 12 Title... Remember what we were saying about Texas after they were 1-1 with a loss to Maryland and a 7 point win over Tulsa? Ehlinger doesn't have Heisman numbers but man this is the kind of QB play that the Texas program has been missing for years post Colt McCoy. Texas' defense stepped up big against a hot ISU team and now they are looking at a rematch either against a terrible defense in Oklahoma (just allowed 40 points to KANSAS. Good company as Rutgers is the only other team to do that this year) or a WVU team that they played tough and lost on a final second 2 point conversion...
This is absolutely Harbaughs year to get one over on Meyer. Meyer looked like he was on the verge of a stroke on Saturday watching Maryland just run all over his defense which makes me think Michigan will be able to do much of the same on Saturday.
I absolutely LOVE West Virginia this week. Coming off a close loss, at home, SR Night, against a defense who has proven time and time again that they can't stop anyone including the Kansas Jayhawks. Over 100 points will likely be scored, this shapes up to be like that Texas Tech/Oklahoma game in 2016 when Mayfield and Mahomes combined for 125 points. The over will not be set high enough. Over 84? Yes. Over 91? Yes.
I have been very critical of UCF for most of this season but I can't pretend like they wouldn't hold their own against Oklahoma and Ohio State right now. I still highly doubt they get their shot but I'd be lying if I said I wouldn't be mad if: Michigan beats Ohio State, Northwestern beats Michigan (B1G Title Game), Notre Dame loses to USC, Alabama thumps UGA (SEC Title Game), Oklahoma loses to West Virginia, West Virginia loses to Texas (Big 12 Title Game), and Washington beats Washington State, and LSU loses to Texas A&M, (catches breath...) then I'd love to see how they don't get their opportunity.
Texas is a win over Kansas away from being 9-3 and playing the winner of WVU/OU for the Big 12 Title... Remember what we were saying about Texas after they were 1-1 with a loss to Maryland and a 7 point win over Tulsa? Ehlinger doesn't have Heisman numbers but man this is the kind of QB play that the Texas program has been missing for years post Colt McCoy. Texas' defense stepped up big against a hot ISU team and now they are looking at a rematch either against a terrible defense in Oklahoma (just allowed 40 points to KANSAS. Good company as Rutgers is the only other team to do that this year) or a WVU team that they played tough and lost on a final second 2 point conversion...
This is absolutely Harbaughs year to get one over on Meyer. Meyer looked like he was on the verge of a stroke on Saturday watching Maryland just run all over his defense which makes me think Michigan will be able to do much of the same on Saturday.
I absolutely LOVE West Virginia this week. Coming off a close loss, at home, SR Night, against a defense who has proven time and time again that they can't stop anyone including the Kansas Jayhawks. Over 100 points will likely be scored, this shapes up to be like that Texas Tech/Oklahoma game in 2016 when Mayfield and Mahomes combined for 125 points. The over will not be set high enough. Over 84? Yes. Over 91? Yes.
I've gone against betting opening lines for the majority of the season but I really like the angle here...
SMU (-2) @ Tulsa
I'm absolutely willing to lay less than 3 with an improving SMU team as they go on the road with the chance to become bowl eligible against a 2-9 Tulsa team who could very well be on the verge of firing their head coach Phillip Montgomery as they are a loss to SMU away from back to back 2-10 seasons. One team is trending up while the other has checked out.
I've gone against betting opening lines for the majority of the season but I really like the angle here...
SMU (-2) @ Tulsa
I'm absolutely willing to lay less than 3 with an improving SMU team as they go on the road with the chance to become bowl eligible against a 2-9 Tulsa team who could very well be on the verge of firing their head coach Phillip Montgomery as they are a loss to SMU away from back to back 2-10 seasons. One team is trending up while the other has checked out.
Another team who's coach is likely out the door and they have nothing to play for while ND is a win away from punching their ticket to the playoffs. The Irish are a much more physical team and I see this one going a lot like Texas/USC game earlier this year. 38-10? 42-17? Irish BIG. Notre Damn is gonna read Clay Helton is last rights as USC's head coach before he's fired by Monday.
Another team who's coach is likely out the door and they have nothing to play for while ND is a win away from punching their ticket to the playoffs. The Irish are a much more physical team and I see this one going a lot like Texas/USC game earlier this year. 38-10? 42-17? Irish BIG. Notre Damn is gonna read Clay Helton is last rights as USC's head coach before he's fired by Monday.
Washington has won the last 5 all by 10+ now they are getting a full FG to start? I'll bite and take the Huskies and the points while the Cougar hype train continues to get pushed down the tracks.
Washington has won the last 5 all by 10+ now they are getting a full FG to start? I'll bite and take the Huskies and the points while the Cougar hype train continues to get pushed down the tracks.
Potential bowl eligibility on the line for the Chanticleers in just their 2nd year at the FBS level. They are also coming off a grueling stretch of App State, Arkansas State and Georgia Southern so catching South Alabama here seems like a good spot for them to bounce back.
Potential bowl eligibility on the line for the Chanticleers in just their 2nd year at the FBS level. They are also coming off a grueling stretch of App State, Arkansas State and Georgia Southern so catching South Alabama here seems like a good spot for them to bounce back.
Probably won't have too much more to add (Looking at 4 other lines but will probably be Friday or Saturday adds) but if you want an opinion on a game shoot it my way. Lots of free time until I get loaded and stuffed for Thanksgiving.
Probably won't have too much more to add (Looking at 4 other lines but will probably be Friday or Saturday adds) but if you want an opinion on a game shoot it my way. Lots of free time until I get loaded and stuffed for Thanksgiving.
Found a prop on "The Match" between Tiger and Phil that I really like:
Tiger to Eagle a hole (+375)
Phil to Eagle a hole (+425)
Laid a quarter of a unit on both as this is a match play event where there will be no laying up. Match play allows golfers to play as aggressively as possible because you can only go down 1 point even if there is a two shot difference. There are 4 Par 5's on the course, 18 is the 4th so the only real risk here is that they don't play 18 if the match is already decided by then. I'm not worried about it though. I will be really surprised if neither of these hit.
Found a prop on "The Match" between Tiger and Phil that I really like:
Tiger to Eagle a hole (+375)
Phil to Eagle a hole (+425)
Laid a quarter of a unit on both as this is a match play event where there will be no laying up. Match play allows golfers to play as aggressively as possible because you can only go down 1 point even if there is a two shot difference. There are 4 Par 5's on the course, 18 is the 4th so the only real risk here is that they don't play 18 if the match is already decided by then. I'm not worried about it though. I will be really surprised if neither of these hit.
Iowa couldn't put Nebraska away in the 4th until their game-winning FG. An unfortuante loss thereafter they really dominated most of the 1st 3 quarters before allowing a 15-0 run to tie it up.
Coastal Carolina let South Alabama jump out 17-0 before they got their feet under them. Too little too late.
UCF took care of business in the first half but boy you gotta feel absolutely terrible for Milton.
1-2 so far for Friday but have a lot going in the OU/WVU and UW/WSU games tonight.
Iowa couldn't put Nebraska away in the 4th until their game-winning FG. An unfortuante loss thereafter they really dominated most of the 1st 3 quarters before allowing a 15-0 run to tie it up.
Coastal Carolina let South Alabama jump out 17-0 before they got their feet under them. Too little too late.
UCF took care of business in the first half but boy you gotta feel absolutely terrible for Milton.
1-2 so far for Friday but have a lot going in the OU/WVU and UW/WSU games tonight.
4-3-1 with Washington taking care of business in the snow and OU and WVU Confirming my belief that bookmakers aren't capable enough of properly capping how bad defenses are in the Big 12 right now. I told y'all about that over 91 back on Sunday. WVU lost that game on two plays: Grier's 1st fumble returned for a TD and then that excessive block where the WR blocked the CB into the stands Blind Side style and it wiped out a 1st and goal for WVU which was then followed by Grier's 2nd fumble returned for a TD. Those two plays changed the game in a spot where neither defense had an answer for the opposing offense.
ND -10 and SMU -2 are currently all I have pending for Saturday but I am looking right now to see if there are one or two more plays that I might add.
4-3-1 with Washington taking care of business in the snow and OU and WVU Confirming my belief that bookmakers aren't capable enough of properly capping how bad defenses are in the Big 12 right now. I told y'all about that over 91 back on Sunday. WVU lost that game on two plays: Grier's 1st fumble returned for a TD and then that excessive block where the WR blocked the CB into the stands Blind Side style and it wiped out a 1st and goal for WVU which was then followed by Grier's 2nd fumble returned for a TD. Those two plays changed the game in a spot where neither defense had an answer for the opposing offense.
ND -10 and SMU -2 are currently all I have pending for Saturday but I am looking right now to see if there are one or two more plays that I might add.
BOL has opened the AAC Championship line at UCF (-10) before I could bet Memphis +10 it had already dropped to +9.5 so this is the first official play for next week but I'll share now so y'all can get in on it before it gets under 7 with Milton out.
BOL has opened the AAC Championship line at UCF (-10) before I could bet Memphis +10 it had already dropped to +9.5 so this is the first official play for next week but I'll share now so y'all can get in on it before it gets under 7 with Milton out.
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