I’ve had a pretty good start to the season so I figured I’d share my plays on here. I love hearing all the opinions so conversation is encouraged on this thread!
I’ll be back in a couple hours with some plays. Feel free to drop some input for thought in the meantime. BOL all! The lines seem to be moving in the right direction for a good weekend!
I’ve had a pretty good start to the season so I figured I’d share my plays on here. I love hearing all the opinions so conversation is encouraged on this thread!
I’ll be back in a couple hours with some plays. Feel free to drop some input for thought in the meantime. BOL all! The lines seem to be moving in the right direction for a good weekend!
Welcome BOL this week. What type of player are you?
Not sure if I fall into a certain "title" or "category" but I'll give you a rundown of the process I go through:
When the lines first come out I go through them QUICKLY and whichever games stand out at first glance based on my mental judgement are the ones that I will put a unit or two on. The most important factor in this is week-by-week judgement. All that matters is how the two teams played last week and MAYBE the week before depending on their opponent.
I then watch the lines very closely on multiple sportsbooks for the next day or two. If there is a line shift that begins to trend against my favor, I will double down on my initial bets for the games I am most confident in out of the bunch. Many of my mid-week bets are early-week leans that I get help with from many of the great cappers here on Covers.
At the end of the week I go through the lines one more time and if there are any that have moved 7.5 points or more, I will generally throw a small bet down against the movement with the assumption that oddsmakers are usually fairly good with their numbers.
I try to keep my action around 10 games per week in search of the high value/high unit approach but sometimes the lines look too tasty to say no.
Welcome BOL this week. What type of player are you?
Not sure if I fall into a certain "title" or "category" but I'll give you a rundown of the process I go through:
When the lines first come out I go through them QUICKLY and whichever games stand out at first glance based on my mental judgement are the ones that I will put a unit or two on. The most important factor in this is week-by-week judgement. All that matters is how the two teams played last week and MAYBE the week before depending on their opponent.
I then watch the lines very closely on multiple sportsbooks for the next day or two. If there is a line shift that begins to trend against my favor, I will double down on my initial bets for the games I am most confident in out of the bunch. Many of my mid-week bets are early-week leans that I get help with from many of the great cappers here on Covers.
At the end of the week I go through the lines one more time and if there are any that have moved 7.5 points or more, I will generally throw a small bet down against the movement with the assumption that oddsmakers are usually fairly good with their numbers.
I try to keep my action around 10 games per week in search of the high value/high unit approach but sometimes the lines look too tasty to say no.
Miami (FL) -10 (1U) FIU -4.5 (1U) South Carolina -12.5 (1U) Maryland -15 (1U) Hawaii +7 (1U) -- for now Minnesota -14 (1U) Buffalo -4 & -3 (2.5U total) Oklahoma -18.5 & -17.5 (3U total) Ball State +14.5 (2U) Mizzou -7 (EVEN) (1U) Washington -6.5 (1U) Leans: BC -5 --waiting to see line movement tomorrow Duke -+6.5 --PRAYING this hits 7 HOU/TT Over 70 -- I don't see how this game stays under, which means it probably will
Miami (FL) -10 (1U) FIU -4.5 (1U) South Carolina -12.5 (1U) Maryland -15 (1U) Hawaii +7 (1U) -- for now Minnesota -14 (1U) Buffalo -4 & -3 (2.5U total) Oklahoma -18.5 & -17.5 (3U total) Ball State +14.5 (2U) Mizzou -7 (EVEN) (1U) Washington -6.5 (1U) Leans: BC -5 --waiting to see line movement tomorrow Duke -+6.5 --PRAYING this hits 7 HOU/TT Over 70 -- I don't see how this game stays under, which means it probably will
ODU/Charlotte game got moved to today. Leaning ODU -1.5 with Charlotte having a couple less days to prepare and get up to speed with a more talented ODU team. Be back later with official picks for today's action
ODU/Charlotte game got moved to today. Leaning ODU -1.5 with Charlotte having a couple less days to prepare and get up to speed with a more talented ODU team. Be back later with official picks for today's action
Adding: ODU -1.5 (1U) - This is an important game for ODU to win in conference with an almost guaranteed loss in Virginia Tech coming to town next week.
Adding: ODU -1.5 (1U) - This is an important game for ODU to win in conference with an almost guaranteed loss in Virginia Tech coming to town next week.
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