Nice rebound from the Thurs night opener to go +4u on Sunday. I think both dogs can cover tonight but will have to look into it a little more before i commit. i have a strong lean on the Jets i think they realistically have a better chance to make an impact. Raiders are a tougher sell. gonna need more than just Chucky...
gonna see where these lines go first and see if i can squeeze out more value. Jets line has not changed since april, only ML has gone up a tick. Raiders line has moved 2 pts especially since the Mack trade. Raiders have to be at least +200 for me to consider ML, currently +190
Nice rebound from the Thurs night opener to go +4u on Sunday. I think both dogs can cover tonight but will have to look into it a little more before i commit. i have a strong lean on the Jets i think they realistically have a better chance to make an impact. Raiders are a tougher sell. gonna need more than just Chucky...
gonna see where these lines go first and see if i can squeeze out more value. Jets line has not changed since april, only ML has gone up a tick. Raiders line has moved 2 pts especially since the Mack trade. Raiders have to be at least +200 for me to consider ML, currently +190
I think the Lions are a prime candidate to regress this season. The Lions have played in over their heads and overachieved to back-to-back 9-7 seasons including a trip to the playoffs. Part of the reason has been the improved play of Matt Stafford. he has made an slightly above average offense look good since Calvin Johnson retired. it also had as much to do with Jim Caldwell and Jim Bob Cooter coaching the offense. Caldwell got fired to be replaced ex Pats def coordinator Matt Patricia. fortunately, Cooter is still around whom had a more profound influence on the offense than Caldwell did.
My main concern for the Lions is on the defensive side of the ball. After 5 seasons Teryl Austin is no longer the Lions DC being replaced by Paul Pasquoloni. Austin did help improve a Lions defense for the first couple years of his tenure but has regressed since then. Austin being out is no surprise but he didnt have much to work with in his later years. the Lions defensive talent pool has been shrinking lately. Haloti Ngata is gone. the D-line only has Ziggy Ansah left as their proven player the rest are new starters. their secondary is their strongest unit but thats not saying much, it'll be the same returning group that got torched last season. fortunately, they still have one of the best corners in Darius Slay his play makes the secondary a feisty bunch(they ranked 4th in INTs last year) but like their offense the secondary is overachieving. the Lion didnt do anything to improve their defense. with a downgraded front seven, the secondary will be exposed. the Lions new DC will have his work cut out for him. His pro NFL resume doesnt look too terribly impressive as D-lines coach for 3 one and done seasons where he had far more talented D-lines to work with but they underachieved.
do the Lions go 9-7 again or better 3 straight seasons with a tougher and improved division? my logic says no.
I think the Lions are a prime candidate to regress this season. The Lions have played in over their heads and overachieved to back-to-back 9-7 seasons including a trip to the playoffs. Part of the reason has been the improved play of Matt Stafford. he has made an slightly above average offense look good since Calvin Johnson retired. it also had as much to do with Jim Caldwell and Jim Bob Cooter coaching the offense. Caldwell got fired to be replaced ex Pats def coordinator Matt Patricia. fortunately, Cooter is still around whom had a more profound influence on the offense than Caldwell did.
My main concern for the Lions is on the defensive side of the ball. After 5 seasons Teryl Austin is no longer the Lions DC being replaced by Paul Pasquoloni. Austin did help improve a Lions defense for the first couple years of his tenure but has regressed since then. Austin being out is no surprise but he didnt have much to work with in his later years. the Lions defensive talent pool has been shrinking lately. Haloti Ngata is gone. the D-line only has Ziggy Ansah left as their proven player the rest are new starters. their secondary is their strongest unit but thats not saying much, it'll be the same returning group that got torched last season. fortunately, they still have one of the best corners in Darius Slay his play makes the secondary a feisty bunch(they ranked 4th in INTs last year) but like their offense the secondary is overachieving. the Lion didnt do anything to improve their defense. with a downgraded front seven, the secondary will be exposed. the Lions new DC will have his work cut out for him. His pro NFL resume doesnt look too terribly impressive as D-lines coach for 3 one and done seasons where he had far more talented D-lines to work with but they underachieved.
do the Lions go 9-7 again or better 3 straight seasons with a tougher and improved division? my logic says no.
DK....what's your initial thoughts about next week Ravens -1.5 at Bengals???
going to be a good one. rarely could say that about this rivalry last several years when we didnt really have anything to play for but the last meeting reignited it when they played the spoiler. now both teams have something to play for.. early lead for 1st place in the division!
if Bengals were 3 pt or more dogs i would consider Bengals but if i remember correctly Dalton and Bengals suck on Thursdays and Ravens are good on these days. doesnt mean this win will be automatic. cincy is a notoriously tough place for Flacco to play in. i felt confident that Ravens could beat them in Cincy last year in week 2 as a prove it game i still feel confident they can come in there again and win this time as a revenge game. for 1st place in the division? heck yeah im taking my team no matter what
DK....what's your initial thoughts about next week Ravens -1.5 at Bengals???
going to be a good one. rarely could say that about this rivalry last several years when we didnt really have anything to play for but the last meeting reignited it when they played the spoiler. now both teams have something to play for.. early lead for 1st place in the division!
if Bengals were 3 pt or more dogs i would consider Bengals but if i remember correctly Dalton and Bengals suck on Thursdays and Ravens are good on these days. doesnt mean this win will be automatic. cincy is a notoriously tough place for Flacco to play in. i felt confident that Ravens could beat them in Cincy last year in week 2 as a prove it game i still feel confident they can come in there again and win this time as a revenge game. for 1st place in the division? heck yeah im taking my team no matter what
Meanwhile i think the Jets are a prime candidate for progression. They have gone 5-11 the past two seasons. its not unreasonable to think they can go at least 7-9 this year. its baby steps but its something. there's no denying that Bowles could be on the hot seat again if Jets go 5-11 or less 3 straight years. the Jets have rebooted their defense by letting go of Muhammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson but adding Avery Williamson and Trumaine Johnson on defense. the secondary aka New Jack City, look to be their strongest asset on defense with Claiborne, Skrine, Adams and Johnson. the Jets have replaced Matt Forte with the more younger and productive Isaiah Crowell. Only question mark is tight end with Seferian Jenkins gone. WR group is average at best but they do get Quincy Enuwa back. lastly we all know about Sam Darnold of course. Jets offense isnt anything special but theyre not expected to do much under the 1st year of Darnold. if they play ball control offense and let the defense do its job, the Jets can be more competitive this season.
Meanwhile i think the Jets are a prime candidate for progression. They have gone 5-11 the past two seasons. its not unreasonable to think they can go at least 7-9 this year. its baby steps but its something. there's no denying that Bowles could be on the hot seat again if Jets go 5-11 or less 3 straight years. the Jets have rebooted their defense by letting go of Muhammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson but adding Avery Williamson and Trumaine Johnson on defense. the secondary aka New Jack City, look to be their strongest asset on defense with Claiborne, Skrine, Adams and Johnson. the Jets have replaced Matt Forte with the more younger and productive Isaiah Crowell. Only question mark is tight end with Seferian Jenkins gone. WR group is average at best but they do get Quincy Enuwa back. lastly we all know about Sam Darnold of course. Jets offense isnt anything special but theyre not expected to do much under the 1st year of Darnold. if they play ball control offense and let the defense do its job, the Jets can be more competitive this season.
Lions have won their last two Monday Night games in a row, but i think that could be in jeopardy tonight. To take some of the pressure off Sam Darnold, the Jets will pound the rock with Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell against a Lions front seven that is no longer stout and have been weak against the run for some time. the rookie QB wont be asked to do too much. Meanwhile, i think Jets secondary will give Stafford fits and the Lions running game is never a threat. Ameer Abdullah is somewhat talented but fumble prone. Legarette Blount is 1 year older and on the decline in his 8th season. in the past Matt Stafford has tough time against physical AFC defenses. i think 7 points is alot to give for a new rookie coach and flawed Lions roster, even if they will be going against a rookie Quarterback making his first ever start. Everybody expects Darnold to fail! but he has had all offseason and preseason to prepare. i'll take the value of 7 the Jets should cover and even have a chance to win outright
Lions have won their last two Monday Night games in a row, but i think that could be in jeopardy tonight. To take some of the pressure off Sam Darnold, the Jets will pound the rock with Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell against a Lions front seven that is no longer stout and have been weak against the run for some time. the rookie QB wont be asked to do too much. Meanwhile, i think Jets secondary will give Stafford fits and the Lions running game is never a threat. Ameer Abdullah is somewhat talented but fumble prone. Legarette Blount is 1 year older and on the decline in his 8th season. in the past Matt Stafford has tough time against physical AFC defenses. i think 7 points is alot to give for a new rookie coach and flawed Lions roster, even if they will be going against a rookie Quarterback making his first ever start. Everybody expects Darnold to fail! but he has had all offseason and preseason to prepare. i'll take the value of 7 the Jets should cover and even have a chance to win outright
What i think we have here is a tale of two talents...
one talent overachieved last season while the other talent underachieved. i dont need to tell you which teams they were you would know if you've followed football. Hype is a damning thing, it may be a blessing to know your team is good but also a curse. the Raiders know all too well about it last season. the Rams may soon just find out about it. Rams have added new pieces, big name pieces i may add, to their roster and seem to have plenty of cash up the butt to hand out lucrative contracts. Aaron Donald and Todd Gurley are right on top of the food chain.. id be surprised if Rams dont have the most expensive roster in the NFL. I am of the belief that money doesnt buy championships especially not right away. as a result i think the Rams will be really overvalued this year especially in this game.
i want to wait and see how much more steam the Rams will pick up 30 min before gametime before i have final thoughts or 2nd thoughts on this game. one thing i looked up so far is Jon Gruden's record on monday night: just 4-5 SU, 3-4-2 ATS as Raiders and Bucs coach. however i think its a bit attractive that Gruden is an underdog he may be better in that role. not sure how well he has performed probably around the .500 mark i havent researched.
What i think we have here is a tale of two talents...
one talent overachieved last season while the other talent underachieved. i dont need to tell you which teams they were you would know if you've followed football. Hype is a damning thing, it may be a blessing to know your team is good but also a curse. the Raiders know all too well about it last season. the Rams may soon just find out about it. Rams have added new pieces, big name pieces i may add, to their roster and seem to have plenty of cash up the butt to hand out lucrative contracts. Aaron Donald and Todd Gurley are right on top of the food chain.. id be surprised if Rams dont have the most expensive roster in the NFL. I am of the belief that money doesnt buy championships especially not right away. as a result i think the Rams will be really overvalued this year especially in this game.
i want to wait and see how much more steam the Rams will pick up 30 min before gametime before i have final thoughts or 2nd thoughts on this game. one thing i looked up so far is Jon Gruden's record on monday night: just 4-5 SU, 3-4-2 ATS as Raiders and Bucs coach. however i think its a bit attractive that Gruden is an underdog he may be better in that role. not sure how well he has performed probably around the .500 mark i havent researched.
little interesting nugget that relates to my theory that rookie qb gets undervalued
Rookie QBs that start week 1 are 8-14 SU but 13-9 ATS since 2003
If they start later in the seasom they are 4-11 SU, 5-10 ATS.
Overall the record is 12-25 SU, 18-19 ATS.
Its harder to game plan your opponent for week 1 plus you have that extra time to prepare. i dont have road /home splits unfortunately. going by betlabs article but so far ive checked on some games and they are correct..
here are some QBs and how they perform on road:
Mariota won and covered(doesnt really count cuz he played Winston)
Derek Carr lost but covered.. by 6 pts i believe
RG3 beat Saints SUATS
Russell Wilson lost and didnt cover as -1 fave lost by 4.
Ryan Tannehill and Andrew Luck got blown out
Andy Dalton won by 10 and covered
Cam Newton lost by 6 and didnt cover.
2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS. obviously playing on road is different than playing at home. will be a challenge for Sam Darnoldq. im sure the homesplit is much better given limited sample
little interesting nugget that relates to my theory that rookie qb gets undervalued
Rookie QBs that start week 1 are 8-14 SU but 13-9 ATS since 2003
If they start later in the seasom they are 4-11 SU, 5-10 ATS.
Overall the record is 12-25 SU, 18-19 ATS.
Its harder to game plan your opponent for week 1 plus you have that extra time to prepare. i dont have road /home splits unfortunately. going by betlabs article but so far ive checked on some games and they are correct..
here are some QBs and how they perform on road:
Mariota won and covered(doesnt really count cuz he played Winston)
Derek Carr lost but covered.. by 6 pts i believe
RG3 beat Saints SUATS
Russell Wilson lost and didnt cover as -1 fave lost by 4.
Ryan Tannehill and Andrew Luck got blown out
Andy Dalton won by 10 and covered
Cam Newton lost by 6 and didnt cover.
2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS. obviously playing on road is different than playing at home. will be a challenge for Sam Darnoldq. im sure the homesplit is much better given limited sample
well maybe i may regret not putting the bet in time. was planning to 2 team parlay Jets ML + Raiders ML it was at least +1000 and 2 team parlay Jets +7 and Raiders +6... lets see if i made the right decision to miss out on a good opportunity..
well maybe i may regret not putting the bet in time. was planning to 2 team parlay Jets ML + Raiders ML it was at least +1000 and 2 team parlay Jets +7 and Raiders +6... lets see if i made the right decision to miss out on a good opportunity..
Khali Mack showed the football world last night that the Raiders will absolutely miss the all pro, probowler defensive player of the year in the middle of the field, but guess what... the Bears still lost!
Now its time for the Raiders to make a statement and show the football world that the Raiders have moved on as a team from Khalil Mack. and how do they silence the critics? ....
JUST WIN BABY!
this should be the motivation Jon Gruden needs to put on the bulletin board. the Raiders defense need to show they are not dependent on Mack and defend their coach's decision with their play who is probably not the most liked guy right now in Oakland. with the hype train Los Angeles Rams coming to town this would be the perfect situation to gauge your team. with great hype comes great expectations. the Rams have been hearing hoe great they have been all offseason and have the best odds to represent the Super Bowl in the NFC. And like all good supergroups, it doesnt suddenly and magically all come together
i think we're going to get an incredibly fiesty and ugly game tonight. Maybe we get some fights and some players ejected too! We've heard all about the Rams star studded cast but the Raiders still have some defensive talent too but just not quite the same star power. We all know the Rams are the better team from top to bottom. this should be an outright Rams domination but you know the saying.. any given day!
Khali Mack showed the football world last night that the Raiders will absolutely miss the all pro, probowler defensive player of the year in the middle of the field, but guess what... the Bears still lost!
Now its time for the Raiders to make a statement and show the football world that the Raiders have moved on as a team from Khalil Mack. and how do they silence the critics? ....
JUST WIN BABY!
this should be the motivation Jon Gruden needs to put on the bulletin board. the Raiders defense need to show they are not dependent on Mack and defend their coach's decision with their play who is probably not the most liked guy right now in Oakland. with the hype train Los Angeles Rams coming to town this would be the perfect situation to gauge your team. with great hype comes great expectations. the Rams have been hearing hoe great they have been all offseason and have the best odds to represent the Super Bowl in the NFC. And like all good supergroups, it doesnt suddenly and magically all come together
i think we're going to get an incredibly fiesty and ugly game tonight. Maybe we get some fights and some players ejected too! We've heard all about the Rams star studded cast but the Raiders still have some defensive talent too but just not quite the same star power. We all know the Rams are the better team from top to bottom. this should be an outright Rams domination but you know the saying.. any given day!
Lions have won their last two Monday Night games in a row, but i think that could be in jeopardy tonight. To take some of the pressure off Sam Darnold, the Jets will pound the rock with Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell against a Lions front seven that is no longer stout and have been weak against the run for some time. the rookie QB wont be asked to do too much. Meanwhile, i think Jets secondary will give Stafford fits and the Lions running game is never a threat. Ameer Abdullah is somewhat talented but fumble prone. Legarette Blount is 1 year older and on the decline in his 8th season. in the past Matt Stafford has tough time against physical AFC defenses. i think 7 points is alot to give for a new rookie coach and flawed Lions roster, even if they will be going against a rookie Quarterback making his first ever start. Everybody expects Darnold to fail! but he has had all offseason and preseason to prepare. i'll take the value of 7 the Jets should cover and even have a chance to win outright
Lions have won their last two Monday Night games in a row, but i think that could be in jeopardy tonight. To take some of the pressure off Sam Darnold, the Jets will pound the rock with Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell against a Lions front seven that is no longer stout and have been weak against the run for some time. the rookie QB wont be asked to do too much. Meanwhile, i think Jets secondary will give Stafford fits and the Lions running game is never a threat. Ameer Abdullah is somewhat talented but fumble prone. Legarette Blount is 1 year older and on the decline in his 8th season. in the past Matt Stafford has tough time against physical AFC defenses. i think 7 points is alot to give for a new rookie coach and flawed Lions roster, even if they will be going against a rookie Quarterback making his first ever start. Everybody expects Darnold to fail! but he has had all offseason and preseason to prepare. i'll take the value of 7 the Jets should cover and even have a chance to win outright
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.