On Tuesday, the visiting Phillies defeated the Chicago Cubs 6-1 with Zack Eflin pitching for the Phillies and Kyle Hendricks pitching for the Cubs. The money line was set at Phillies ~+180ish and Cubs~-200. Needless to say, this was a slight upset with a heavy favorite at ~-200+. With that being said, does Vegas expect revenge on Wednesday REGARDLESS of who's pitching? Does this mean that Phillie's ace, Nola will somehow choke before he's pulled? Is this the trap that the odds makers are setting us up to take? If it is, well I'm a sucker. You have to ask yourself, "Nola and + odds?" That hardly ever goes together. Once the odds come out in my book, I will take:
Philadelphia Phillies F5 ml
BOL to you in your wagers...
"Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
On Tuesday, the visiting Phillies defeated the Chicago Cubs 6-1 with Zack Eflin pitching for the Phillies and Kyle Hendricks pitching for the Cubs. The money line was set at Phillies ~+180ish and Cubs~-200. Needless to say, this was a slight upset with a heavy favorite at ~-200+. With that being said, does Vegas expect revenge on Wednesday REGARDLESS of who's pitching? Does this mean that Phillie's ace, Nola will somehow choke before he's pulled? Is this the trap that the odds makers are setting us up to take? If it is, well I'm a sucker. You have to ask yourself, "Nola and + odds?" That hardly ever goes together. Once the odds come out in my book, I will take:
Tend to agree with Square here but for different reasons. Using my own calculations, I make Philly/Nola at 54% to win the game vs CHC.
The implied probability for Philly at +130 is 42%. This makes Philly a 12% overlay based on the implied probabilty, at least based on my numbers.
( I like to always get at least 8% edge before I play the ML dog)
There are a number of strong trends on both sides with Chicago having an overall Trend Z score of 4.12 vs 3.62 vs Chc. ( meaning a slight edge to Chicago)
All in all, this points to a 1 unit play on Philly at + 130.
Tend to agree with Square here but for different reasons. Using my own calculations, I make Philly/Nola at 54% to win the game vs CHC.
The implied probability for Philly at +130 is 42%. This makes Philly a 12% overlay based on the implied probabilty, at least based on my numbers.
( I like to always get at least 8% edge before I play the ML dog)
There are a number of strong trends on both sides with Chicago having an overall Trend Z score of 4.12 vs 3.62 vs Chc. ( meaning a slight edge to Chicago)
All in all, this points to a 1 unit play on Philly at + 130.
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