Some observations from day one of the round of 64...
- Nobody should really be shocked by Arizona losing when you look at the sequence of events. They looked dominate in the Pac12 tournament, experts and much of the public were bullish on them to make a deep run in the Big Dance. But, it was a down year for the Pac12 getting only three teams to the field - two of which lost in play in games. Buffalo is a well rounded team, don't think last night's win was a one trick pony - this team has the potential to make a deep run
- For some reason, I'm still down on Michigan. They advanced and even covered, but they weren't that impressive. Montana was within reach for much of the game. They get a gutsy, balanced Houston squad next and probably will be laying too much.
- Seton Hall finally put it all together, but can they repeat that performance against a top flight Kansas squad? I think they can. I sense a juicy ML play in my future
- Florida made the Bonnies look average, but I need to decide if that was more a let down for the Bonnies or if Florida is actually better than I think. If I decide it's the former, you'll be seeing a heavy dump on Texas Tech tomorrow
- Bama gutted their way to a nice victory, but they seemed to expel a ton of energy. Nova will pounce if they bring the same type of effort tomorrow. They need to be more in control and less chaotic. They won, so pat on the back to them, but that won't work against the most polished team in the field
Some observations from day one of the round of 64...
- Nobody should really be shocked by Arizona losing when you look at the sequence of events. They looked dominate in the Pac12 tournament, experts and much of the public were bullish on them to make a deep run in the Big Dance. But, it was a down year for the Pac12 getting only three teams to the field - two of which lost in play in games. Buffalo is a well rounded team, don't think last night's win was a one trick pony - this team has the potential to make a deep run
- For some reason, I'm still down on Michigan. They advanced and even covered, but they weren't that impressive. Montana was within reach for much of the game. They get a gutsy, balanced Houston squad next and probably will be laying too much.
- Seton Hall finally put it all together, but can they repeat that performance against a top flight Kansas squad? I think they can. I sense a juicy ML play in my future
- Florida made the Bonnies look average, but I need to decide if that was more a let down for the Bonnies or if Florida is actually better than I think. If I decide it's the former, you'll be seeing a heavy dump on Texas Tech tomorrow
- Bama gutted their way to a nice victory, but they seemed to expel a ton of energy. Nova will pounce if they bring the same type of effort tomorrow. They need to be more in control and less chaotic. They won, so pat on the back to them, but that won't work against the most polished team in the field
This season, Providence has played nine games on the road or a neutral site against teams who rank in the top 75 for offensive and defensive efficiency as A&M does. In those games, Providence was 1-8 straight losing by an average score of 65.1-76.7. The lone win was the OT game against Xavier in the Big East Tournament.
Purdue -20.5 -110 (13.2 units)
Fullerton has played four road/neutral site games this season against teams in the top 100 for offensive efficiency. They were 0-4 in these games, losing by an average score of 60.2 to 82.5
Marshall-Wichita State over 165.5 (16.5 units)
Marshall +12 -110 (11 units)
This is a lofty total, but I don't see either team stopping the other enough to keep this under. Marshall has played 8 games this season against teams in the top 100 for offensive efficiency and outside the top 60 for defensive efficiency. The average combined scores of these games was 173.2. Using the same metric, Wichita State has played 5 games against such opponents and combined average score has been 161.1.
This season, Providence has played nine games on the road or a neutral site against teams who rank in the top 75 for offensive and defensive efficiency as A&M does. In those games, Providence was 1-8 straight losing by an average score of 65.1-76.7. The lone win was the OT game against Xavier in the Big East Tournament.
Purdue -20.5 -110 (13.2 units)
Fullerton has played four road/neutral site games this season against teams in the top 100 for offensive efficiency. They were 0-4 in these games, losing by an average score of 60.2 to 82.5
Marshall-Wichita State over 165.5 (16.5 units)
Marshall +12 -110 (11 units)
This is a lofty total, but I don't see either team stopping the other enough to keep this under. Marshall has played 8 games this season against teams in the top 100 for offensive efficiency and outside the top 60 for defensive efficiency. The average combined scores of these games was 173.2. Using the same metric, Wichita State has played 5 games against such opponents and combined average score has been 161.1.
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