USC -4 (-120) over the UCLA Ruins (paid a little extra vig to get -4) 3X my normal play
Both of these teams had aspirations of playing in the NCAA Tourney this year. Now only one of them can be sure to make it if they win tonight. Of course, that is the USC Trojans and that is why I think they win and easily cover this game.
7-10 days ago, both UCLA and USC were listed in amongst 16 Teams to be either in or out of the NCAA Tourney depending on how they finished the last 2 weeks of the season.
Since then, UCLA has gone 0-2, losing to both Utah and Colorado. They are done.....it's over for them. The NIT or CBI is what they are playing for right now and that means nothing to this program.
On the otherhand, in the past 10 days USC has gone 2-0, with victories on the road at both Colorado and Utah, the same two teams that UCLA lost to.
Folks, does it get any clearer than that which team is going to the NCAA and which team is playing better right?
In their first meeting this year, UCLA won at home 82-79 and a -1 point favorite.
Now this is what is really incredible, UCLA shot 51% from the field and USC only shot 43%. UCLA shot 46% from 3pt. range and USC only shot 31%. UCLA also had 2 more points from the FT line. When you look at those numbers and percentages you would think that UCLA must have won by 15 points or more, not just 3. The most important stat to me is that UCLA took 12 less shots than USC did, and if only 40% of those shots went in USC would have won that game by 10-12 points.
USC also has the revenge angle going for them tonight and they know that winning this game punches their ticket to the NCAA. If UCLA wins, it does nothing for the Trojans, they are still NIT or CBI bound.
Also, USC is 12-3 at home while the Ruins are 2-7 on the road.
In recent years, USC has also done well at home against UCLA winning the last 3 meetings by an average of 17 points and winning each meeting by no less than 8 points.
84-76 (by 8)
95-71 (by 24)
80-61 (by 19)
None of those games were more important that tonights final home game of the season that punches USC's ticket to the big dance.
Bet big, bet with confidence.......BOL and enjoy!!! Just like always this information on this game and my opinion of is FREE.
Also, this game is so damn late the if somehow USC does not win and cover I will either be too sauced to get on my computer or fast asleep before any of the Trolls can jump in here and tell me what an idiot I am........
Hope everyone is having a great day!!!