Kansas City Chiefs - 7.5 (-115)
Atlanta Falcons + 6.5
(Writeups available on the previous page)
Strong leans:
Bills + points and Panthers + points
Addings one parlay:
Falcons ML + Bills ML (+1328)
I thought you had Chiefs? Anyways, nice call on Falcons.
Regarding Jax/Buff, both teams have suspect QBs. I agree I would take TT over BB as BB is turnover prone (13 INTS and 9 fumbles).
I think Jax are fortunate to be in a weak AFC South Division, and they were able to get easy wins against HOU and IND. They struggled against AZ and SF with losses. Conversely, Buffs have had to play NE twice, the NFC South gauntlet, and Chiefs and Chargers. If McCoy was healthy, I would be banging on the points. Poyer and Hyde create a lot of turnovers.
Problem is Buff's rush defense is horrible. If McCoy is injured, who is Taylor going to depend on? The only chance is field positon and get some FGs to stay close. Jags have a great pass defense and I think they are going to stack the box with their safety and make Taylor throw the ball. They also need to neutralize Taylor's scrambling.
I thought you had Chiefs? Anyways, nice call on Falcons.
Regarding Jax/Buff, both teams have suspect QBs. I agree I would take TT over BB as BB is turnover prone (13 INTS and 9 fumbles).
I think Jax are fortunate to be in a weak AFC South Division, and they were able to get easy wins against HOU and IND. They struggled against AZ and SF with losses. Conversely, Buffs have had to play NE twice, the NFC South gauntlet, and Chiefs and Chargers. If McCoy was healthy, I would be banging on the points. Poyer and Hyde create a lot of turnovers.
Problem is Buff's rush defense is horrible. If McCoy is injured, who is Taylor going to depend on? The only chance is field positon and get some FGs to stay close. Jags have a great pass defense and I think they are going to stack the box with their safety and make Taylor throw the ball. They also need to neutralize Taylor's scrambling.
"They avg only 20.9 ppg this season. Since 2006 in postseason road teams that avg less than 21 ppg are 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS with avg line 7.5. Home teams outscored the garbage road scoring teams with 15.1 ppg. " turnt out to be a bologna stat... this is why you need to be tuned into the dogs..take buff plus 8 take carolina +6.5 y not?
"They avg only 20.9 ppg this season. Since 2006 in postseason road teams that avg less than 21 ppg are 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS with avg line 7.5. Home teams outscored the garbage road scoring teams with 15.1 ppg. " turnt out to be a bologna stat... this is why you need to be tuned into the dogs..take buff plus 8 take carolina +6.5 y not?
I like the Buffs. Not sold on Carolina. Then again, seeing Jamies tear up the Saints secondary makes me think Cam can do the same with McCaffrey and Olsen.
I like the Buffs. Not sold on Carolina. Then again, seeing Jamies tear up the Saints secondary makes me think Cam can do the same with McCaffrey and Olsen.
"They avg only 20.9 ppg this season. Since 2006 in postseason road teams that avg less than 21 ppg are 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS with avg line 7.5. Home teams outscored the garbage road scoring teams with 15.1 ppg. " turnt out to be a bologna stat... this is why you need to be tuned into the dogs..take buff plus 8 take carolina +6.5 y not?
"They avg only 20.9 ppg this season. Since 2006 in postseason road teams that avg less than 21 ppg are 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS with avg line 7.5. Home teams outscored the garbage road scoring teams with 15.1 ppg. " turnt out to be a bologna stat... this is why you need to be tuned into the dogs..take buff plus 8 take carolina +6.5 y not?
FF - Can't argue with you. Bortles has been able to hide behind a great defense. But lately, that defense has lost some of its aura. Giving up 27 to Blaine Gabbert's AZ Cardinals and 44 to Jimmy G's SF Niners are evidence of that. I just want to see how McCoy runs at the outset. Though I am leaning BUFF +8.5, I may wait and do an in game bet.
I actually like the 1st Half Buff +6 a lot. Hauscka has been nails for Buff, and I can see him keeping them around for 2 quarters. Especially since I don't see the Jags offense letting BB loose. I expect a large dose of Fournette in the beginning.
FF - Can't argue with you. Bortles has been able to hide behind a great defense. But lately, that defense has lost some of its aura. Giving up 27 to Blaine Gabbert's AZ Cardinals and 44 to Jimmy G's SF Niners are evidence of that. I just want to see how McCoy runs at the outset. Though I am leaning BUFF +8.5, I may wait and do an in game bet.
I actually like the 1st Half Buff +6 a lot. Hauscka has been nails for Buff, and I can see him keeping them around for 2 quarters. Especially since I don't see the Jags offense letting BB loose. I expect a large dose of Fournette in the beginning.
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