Alright this one just does not make sense to me. Everyone on here wants to ride the cowboys like they're the big bad bullies of the league. Just a few weeks ago, the cowboys looked like one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL. They were 2-3 with an embarrassing prime time beat down against denver and now benched quarterback Siemian, and their only wins came against the lowly giants and cardinals. Then the cowboys won two straight against the niners and redskins, which means almost nothing to me. Last week they had a very impressive win against the chiefs, but for some reason people are now throwing around the idea that the cowboys are one of the best teams in the NFL????
A majority of bets right now are being placed on cowboys, and I think this low spread is being heavily influenced by the fact that Dallas has the biggest fan base in the league. Im sure most of you know this, but line makers sets lines with the intention of getting the same amount of bets placed on both sides, not necessarily what they think the final score will actually be. I honestly think this is a huge influence in the fact that Atlanta is only -3, and here is why.
First of all the obvious. Ezekiel Elliot will not play. Zeke, arguably the best offensive weapon in the NFL, the league leader in first downs, the identity of this entire offense. I was anticipating this line to be around -7.5 in their first game without zeke, playing against the NFC champions in their stadium. A lot of people say that with the offensive line the cowboys have, Alfred Morris will be able to be almost as effective. But why is no one talking about the fact that Tyron Smith is also out. This is one of the best offensive linemen in the entire NFL, and without his presence this O-line is not nearly as scary as advertised. The Falcons still have a great pass rush, and I think theyre gonna give Dak plenty to worry about in the pocket. Further more, Dez Bryant is barely able to suit up for this game. So the cowboys 3 best offensive players are either out or hurting, and people think that Dallas is gonna be able to stay within 3 of the reigning MVP of the league and a team that should have been super bowl champions??? Unreal
Matt Ryan is really really really hard to beat at home. Other than Tom Brady, I don't think we've seen a quarterback who plays so much noticeably better at home than Ryan. He has a career record of 50-24 at home, compared to only 40-37 on the road. His completion percentage is 67 compared to 62, and has a passer rating of 98 compared to 89 on the road. The Cowboys don't have a very good secondary, and I think that the Falcons will take advantage of that and give Julio 15+ targets. They have two very capable running backs, and without Zeke eating up first downs this falcons D is gonna spent a lot of time on the field and are gonna get tired QUICK.
The Falcons will score at least 28 in this one, and I just dont think there is anyway the cowboys will match that. People give the O-line and Dak way too much credit, and we are all gonna find out today just how much Zeke means to this team and how much they are going to struggle without him. Luckily for us, that has not been proven yet and the falcons are only losing 3.5, which is pratically nothing. I would be shocked if the boys kept this close, and thats why I love this play for my lock of the day.
Alright this one just does not make sense to me. Everyone on here wants to ride the cowboys like they're the big bad bullies of the league. Just a few weeks ago, the cowboys looked like one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL. They were 2-3 with an embarrassing prime time beat down against denver and now benched quarterback Siemian, and their only wins came against the lowly giants and cardinals. Then the cowboys won two straight against the niners and redskins, which means almost nothing to me. Last week they had a very impressive win against the chiefs, but for some reason people are now throwing around the idea that the cowboys are one of the best teams in the NFL????
A majority of bets right now are being placed on cowboys, and I think this low spread is being heavily influenced by the fact that Dallas has the biggest fan base in the league. Im sure most of you know this, but line makers sets lines with the intention of getting the same amount of bets placed on both sides, not necessarily what they think the final score will actually be. I honestly think this is a huge influence in the fact that Atlanta is only -3, and here is why.
First of all the obvious. Ezekiel Elliot will not play. Zeke, arguably the best offensive weapon in the NFL, the league leader in first downs, the identity of this entire offense. I was anticipating this line to be around -7.5 in their first game without zeke, playing against the NFC champions in their stadium. A lot of people say that with the offensive line the cowboys have, Alfred Morris will be able to be almost as effective. But why is no one talking about the fact that Tyron Smith is also out. This is one of the best offensive linemen in the entire NFL, and without his presence this O-line is not nearly as scary as advertised. The Falcons still have a great pass rush, and I think theyre gonna give Dak plenty to worry about in the pocket. Further more, Dez Bryant is barely able to suit up for this game. So the cowboys 3 best offensive players are either out or hurting, and people think that Dallas is gonna be able to stay within 3 of the reigning MVP of the league and a team that should have been super bowl champions??? Unreal
Matt Ryan is really really really hard to beat at home. Other than Tom Brady, I don't think we've seen a quarterback who plays so much noticeably better at home than Ryan. He has a career record of 50-24 at home, compared to only 40-37 on the road. His completion percentage is 67 compared to 62, and has a passer rating of 98 compared to 89 on the road. The Cowboys don't have a very good secondary, and I think that the Falcons will take advantage of that and give Julio 15+ targets. They have two very capable running backs, and without Zeke eating up first downs this falcons D is gonna spent a lot of time on the field and are gonna get tired QUICK.
The Falcons will score at least 28 in this one, and I just dont think there is anyway the cowboys will match that. People give the O-line and Dak way too much credit, and we are all gonna find out today just how much Zeke means to this team and how much they are going to struggle without him. Luckily for us, that has not been proven yet and the falcons are only losing 3.5, which is pratically nothing. I would be shocked if the boys kept this close, and thats why I love this play for my lock of the day.
excellent write up but there is no such thing as a lock....almost as bad as the free money eejits....but at least lock can be regarded as punters best bet of the day....so kudos great write up....
excellent write up but there is no such thing as a lock....almost as bad as the free money eejits....but at least lock can be regarded as punters best bet of the day....so kudos great write up....
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