20-11-1 posted. Lost on the Wizards yesterday but , came right back with Utah to win a little bit. I've been waiting on this matchup and I'm taking advantage of this first game before vegas adjust the line next game . In every statistical category the Raps ratings are higher than the Cavs on defense, and the closer we get to the finals , defense will trump offense. Cavs swept the Pacers but, they only won by a total margin of 16 PT's . The largest margin against the Pacers was 6 PT's and the Raps are much tougher than the Pacers are and they play on both ends of the court. The Raps are a + 3.54 PT's better on defense away than Cavs are @ home. That's more than half of the 7 PT's right there that I'm getting because of course, I always buy the hook. When I capped this game I came up with the Cavs being favored by know more than 2.5 PT's . Math was always my top subject in school and I'll run numbers until my fingers get tired. Raps are 4-0 L 4 vs a team with a winning % above .600 , Raps are 6-1 L 7 vs a team who has a home winning % above . 600 , Raps are 5-1 L 6 on the road and the home team is 5-0 L5 games. Cavs are 0-4 L 4 home games, Cavs are 0-5 L 5 vs a winning record team, Cavs are 0-2-2 L 4 vs a winning road record team. Okay. Raps are 7th ranked team in the league in defensive rating compared to 22nd for the Cavs. Raps are 5th in the league in opponent PT's per game compared to Cavs @ 22nd, Raps are 10th in the league @ opponent paint PT's compared to Cavs @ 18th. Now this is a very very very important stat. In effective possession ratio the Raps are 5th in the league compared to Cavs @ 22nd , which means the Raps are either scoring a 2 PT shot, a 3 PT shot or going to the FT line compared to the Cavs heisting up a bunch of threes . Cavs are the worse defensive team left in the playoffs, and once again people ( defense wins championships) Kyrie & Love own negative defensive ratings in the playoffs. This is a team who barely got by the Pacers, who play no defense and I don't care that they swept them . The Cavs are not good ! The Raps are going to score the mid range jumper all series and I guarantee you the Raps will shoot @ a higher FG % in this series. The Raps are # 3 in the league shooting the 2 PT shot compared to Cavs being @ # 23. Would you rather have consistency from the 2 PT shot or a team shooting a bunch of 3's all game and the Raps aren't chicken liver defending the 3 PT shot @ 13th in the league. The Cavs only rank 28th in the league shooting in the paint which is pathetic compared to 14th for the Raps. Everybody I checked with and all the solid material I read say the Raps will keep it right there with the Cavs and one source I use have the Raps SU. I'm on the Raps heavy tonight. It's not a Max Play but, a very heavy play with 250.00 on the money line. Good luck tonight .. also taking the Rockets tonight + 6 but for smaller. Good luck
20-11-1 posted. Lost on the Wizards yesterday but , came right back with Utah to win a little bit. I've been waiting on this matchup and I'm taking advantage of this first game before vegas adjust the line next game . In every statistical category the Raps ratings are higher than the Cavs on defense, and the closer we get to the finals , defense will trump offense. Cavs swept the Pacers but, they only won by a total margin of 16 PT's . The largest margin against the Pacers was 6 PT's and the Raps are much tougher than the Pacers are and they play on both ends of the court. The Raps are a + 3.54 PT's better on defense away than Cavs are @ home. That's more than half of the 7 PT's right there that I'm getting because of course, I always buy the hook. When I capped this game I came up with the Cavs being favored by know more than 2.5 PT's . Math was always my top subject in school and I'll run numbers until my fingers get tired. Raps are 4-0 L 4 vs a team with a winning % above .600 , Raps are 6-1 L 7 vs a team who has a home winning % above . 600 , Raps are 5-1 L 6 on the road and the home team is 5-0 L5 games. Cavs are 0-4 L 4 home games, Cavs are 0-5 L 5 vs a winning record team, Cavs are 0-2-2 L 4 vs a winning road record team. Okay. Raps are 7th ranked team in the league in defensive rating compared to 22nd for the Cavs. Raps are 5th in the league in opponent PT's per game compared to Cavs @ 22nd, Raps are 10th in the league @ opponent paint PT's compared to Cavs @ 18th. Now this is a very very very important stat. In effective possession ratio the Raps are 5th in the league compared to Cavs @ 22nd , which means the Raps are either scoring a 2 PT shot, a 3 PT shot or going to the FT line compared to the Cavs heisting up a bunch of threes . Cavs are the worse defensive team left in the playoffs, and once again people ( defense wins championships) Kyrie & Love own negative defensive ratings in the playoffs. This is a team who barely got by the Pacers, who play no defense and I don't care that they swept them . The Cavs are not good ! The Raps are going to score the mid range jumper all series and I guarantee you the Raps will shoot @ a higher FG % in this series. The Raps are # 3 in the league shooting the 2 PT shot compared to Cavs being @ # 23. Would you rather have consistency from the 2 PT shot or a team shooting a bunch of 3's all game and the Raps aren't chicken liver defending the 3 PT shot @ 13th in the league. The Cavs only rank 28th in the league shooting in the paint which is pathetic compared to 14th for the Raps. Everybody I checked with and all the solid material I read say the Raps will keep it right there with the Cavs and one source I use have the Raps SU. I'm on the Raps heavy tonight. It's not a Max Play but, a very heavy play with 250.00 on the money line. Good luck tonight .. also taking the Rockets tonight + 6 but for smaller. Good luck
Bol rolley nice write up VERY nice writeup. This is what we need more of on covers IMO. Sound reasoning and not that "public is on Cavs so I'm betting Toronto " BS
Bol rolley nice write up VERY nice writeup. This is what we need more of on covers IMO. Sound reasoning and not that "public is on Cavs so I'm betting Toronto " BS
Thanks for the write up, its hard for me to go against the cavs. I agree with everything you said but my gut tells me the cavs win by 10 plus so I may hold off on the points, not sure yet..
What do you think of the over? I like it at over 209. Would love your input with the number crunching you do.
Thanks for the write up, its hard for me to go against the cavs. I agree with everything you said but my gut tells me the cavs win by 10 plus so I may hold off on the points, not sure yet..
What do you think of the over? I like it at over 209. Would love your input with the number crunching you do.
The thing about the Indy series is that Cavs had leads of 10-15 points through most of those games. It's that they'd get complacent in the 4Q and Indy kept making big comebacks.
The thing about the Indy series is that Cavs had leads of 10-15 points through most of those games. It's that they'd get complacent in the 4Q and Indy kept making big comebacks.
Too many good cappers are on the dogs tonight. Going 5K on both and I'll get 6 on one and 7 on the other, if I have to buy a half. Then maybe 30-40% on both money lines. One of them has to win I would think and hopefully both cover.
Too many good cappers are on the dogs tonight. Going 5K on both and I'll get 6 on one and 7 on the other, if I have to buy a half. Then maybe 30-40% on both money lines. One of them has to win I would think and hopefully both cover.
SA is 6-2 ats starting year 2010 in 2nd round first game@home.
But do they win by more than 6 tonight? They have yet to beat the rockets by more than 6 this year and in 3 out of the 4 games the Rockets held the largest lead of the game.
SA is 6-2 ats starting year 2010 in 2nd round first game@home.
But do they win by more than 6 tonight? They have yet to beat the rockets by more than 6 this year and in 3 out of the 4 games the Rockets held the largest lead of the game.
Doc: I think history matters a little bit more in playoffs, and regular season's stats a little bit less. Moreover Pop vs. D'antoni, do you really trust Mike "No defence" D'antoni?
Doc: I think history matters a little bit more in playoffs, and regular season's stats a little bit less. Moreover Pop vs. D'antoni, do you really trust Mike "No defence" D'antoni?
lebron knows he cant beat curry n crew this year so hes going to let raps go lose. meanwhile getting paid huge off of certain lines like thiiiis game one who in gods name would have the raps? ill take points and wont doubt if they win su
lebron knows he cant beat curry n crew this year so hes going to let raps go lose. meanwhile getting paid huge off of certain lines like thiiiis game one who in gods name would have the raps? ill take points and wont doubt if they win su
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