*Need to study up on a few more totals the next couple days.
**Does Oklahoma team total Under 31.5 look really good to anybody else? I say it all the time, but that OU O-line always looks overrated against good opponents. Mayfield ends up running around like a chicken with his head cut off just to get his passes off against defenses that can stop the run and force them into passing downs. Could be a large play if 31.5 holds, but OU with their backs against the wall due to an early loss and now at home.... maybe they'll play better than I think and keep it a standard play?? We'll see. Some time to think about it.
And added one more FBS vs. FCS:
North Dakota State +15 (0.5u)
*line moved quite a bit tonight.... thanks guys. They'll play hard and keep this within a reasonable margin. Might even scare Iowa into the late 3rd qtr. Iowa OC Davis needs to be prepared to throw the ball, especially first half. That's the one way Iowa can blow this open in my opinion.
*Need to study up on a few more totals the next couple days.
**Does Oklahoma team total Under 31.5 look really good to anybody else? I say it all the time, but that OU O-line always looks overrated against good opponents. Mayfield ends up running around like a chicken with his head cut off just to get his passes off against defenses that can stop the run and force them into passing downs. Could be a large play if 31.5 holds, but OU with their backs against the wall due to an early loss and now at home.... maybe they'll play better than I think and keep it a standard play?? We'll see. Some time to think about it.
And added one more FBS vs. FCS:
North Dakota State +15 (0.5u)
*line moved quite a bit tonight.... thanks guys. They'll play hard and keep this within a reasonable margin. Might even scare Iowa into the late 3rd qtr. Iowa OC Davis needs to be prepared to throw the ball, especially first half. That's the one way Iowa can blow this open in my opinion.
TD, Looks like Mizz./Geo. is at 54.5. I like the under also but will wait awhile to see if it moves some more.Playing @Mont. St. -15.5 and @Sacred Heart -7.5, and @C. Ark. -10.Much work to do on the Totals.Stay hard
Pecador, I certainly didn't see that drastic line movement coming on the Mizzou / Georgia total. Seeing 56.5 now. A lot of times I'd add to my original play, but this one feels different. Mizzouri scores 11 on West Virginia then lights up EMU and suddenly they're an offensive juggernaut. I've always liked QB Lock (highly regarded recruit) but the Georgia pass defense in particular is real solid and experienced. If you've held off until now, I'd take the U56.5 now for a standard play or maybe just a little more.
TD, Looks like Mizz./Geo. is at 54.5. I like the under also but will wait awhile to see if it moves some more.Playing @Mont. St. -15.5 and @Sacred Heart -7.5, and @C. Ark. -10.Much work to do on the Totals.Stay hard
Pecador, I certainly didn't see that drastic line movement coming on the Mizzou / Georgia total. Seeing 56.5 now. A lot of times I'd add to my original play, but this one feels different. Mizzouri scores 11 on West Virginia then lights up EMU and suddenly they're an offensive juggernaut. I've always liked QB Lock (highly regarded recruit) but the Georgia pass defense in particular is real solid and experienced. If you've held off until now, I'd take the U56.5 now for a standard play or maybe just a little more.
Dbreezyy, I agreed with everything BA had to say on TT at home in this spot. Go check out his thread. La Tech tougher at home, didn't play very well on last trip to west Texas not that that has much to do with this time around.
Lean the same way on the two ACC schools, but have not done due diligence on either of those games. Miami probably a pass for me, talent alone should win and cover if focused.
Dbreezyy, I agreed with everything BA had to say on TT at home in this spot. Go check out his thread. La Tech tougher at home, didn't play very well on last trip to west Texas not that that has much to do with this time around.
Lean the same way on the two ACC schools, but have not done due diligence on either of those games. Miami probably a pass for me, talent alone should win and cover if focused.
TD, Yeh, I got @Mizz. u56.5 and waited it out and got NDSU +19.5. We'll see?
I'm starting to like Mich. St. At +8 now. I always like the +8. Covers the magic 7 and a winner in OT.
Keep it clean, Doc
Pecador, great work on finding value on both those. After work tonight I saw NDSU peaked at +19.5. I didn't see it moving that high.
Will just ride out my +15.
Lean MSU as well, took the Under 52.5 instead. Bumped that to 1.5u yesterday morning. Didn't get a chance to post. .... Only other thing I've done is a small UDML parlay yesterday with NDSU +525 & NIU +330. 0.1u to win 2.6u.
As for the keep it clean, I know. My opinion hasn't changed, but a case where I should have kept my opinion to myself. Initially thought I should stand up for myself. I came across that post again in my thread the other night and re-read it and realized the tone wasn't a polite constructive criticism / hey I disagree with you and here's why. It was a I'm smarter than you, vain type comment with a you're an idiot if you see it otherwise tone. I just don't care for that and don't want to put up with it.
TD, Yeh, I got @Mizz. u56.5 and waited it out and got NDSU +19.5. We'll see?
I'm starting to like Mich. St. At +8 now. I always like the +8. Covers the magic 7 and a winner in OT.
Keep it clean, Doc
Pecador, great work on finding value on both those. After work tonight I saw NDSU peaked at +19.5. I didn't see it moving that high.
Will just ride out my +15.
Lean MSU as well, took the Under 52.5 instead. Bumped that to 1.5u yesterday morning. Didn't get a chance to post. .... Only other thing I've done is a small UDML parlay yesterday with NDSU +525 & NIU +330. 0.1u to win 2.6u.
As for the keep it clean, I know. My opinion hasn't changed, but a case where I should have kept my opinion to myself. Initially thought I should stand up for myself. I came across that post again in my thread the other night and re-read it and realized the tone wasn't a polite constructive criticism / hey I disagree with you and here's why. It was a I'm smarter than you, vain type comment with a you're an idiot if you see it otherwise tone. I just don't care for that and don't want to put up with it.
I lean UNDER on NU-Duke as well, but really worried now with 3 of the 4 DB's out for NU. Also missing a back-up CB. They had to move a safety to corner, and now have 2 redshirt freshman backing up at CB. Its a mess. They haven't blitzed much first 2 games, and are getting no pass rush.
I lean UNDER on NU-Duke as well, but really worried now with 3 of the 4 DB's out for NU. Also missing a back-up CB. They had to move a safety to corner, and now have 2 redshirt freshman backing up at CB. Its a mess. They haven't blitzed much first 2 games, and are getting no pass rush.
I lean UNDER on NU-Duke as well, but really worried now with 3 of the 4 DB's out for NU. Also missing a back-up CB. They had to move a safety to corner, and now have 2 redshirt freshman backing up at CB. Its a mess. They haven't blitzed much first 2 games, and are getting no pass rush.
Arbymelt, I honestly thought this total would be lower, but I'm sure the NU cornerback situation is a factor that raised the # some. It appears Hankwitz is leaning more bend-don't break style than usual in an effort to limit big plays with the inexperienced DBs. I was aware of starters Harris and Watkins being out. When you say 3 of 4 DBs are out, you're really talking corners, correct? The two starting safeties are available as far as I know and Queiro will roll over to CB some and then McGee comes in at safety. I wasn't aware that A. Mayo is out. Seems the other R-FR Trae Williams is a more highly regarded recruit & has better size. I'm good with them giving up alot of passing yards like they did vs. Illinois State, but red zone stops will be key vs. Duke. I think they'll be ok. Also saw that a new bigger DE is starting to clean up the run D. The NU Offense will still struggle some more I think. They'll play to win a close, low scoring game. Best chance they've got to get that first W.
Arby, how long have you been a Northwestern fan? Alum? My Dad coached there in the early 2000s, so still would like to see Coach Fitz & Co. do well.
I lean UNDER on NU-Duke as well, but really worried now with 3 of the 4 DB's out for NU. Also missing a back-up CB. They had to move a safety to corner, and now have 2 redshirt freshman backing up at CB. Its a mess. They haven't blitzed much first 2 games, and are getting no pass rush.
Arbymelt, I honestly thought this total would be lower, but I'm sure the NU cornerback situation is a factor that raised the # some. It appears Hankwitz is leaning more bend-don't break style than usual in an effort to limit big plays with the inexperienced DBs. I was aware of starters Harris and Watkins being out. When you say 3 of 4 DBs are out, you're really talking corners, correct? The two starting safeties are available as far as I know and Queiro will roll over to CB some and then McGee comes in at safety. I wasn't aware that A. Mayo is out. Seems the other R-FR Trae Williams is a more highly regarded recruit & has better size. I'm good with them giving up alot of passing yards like they did vs. Illinois State, but red zone stops will be key vs. Duke. I think they'll be ok. Also saw that a new bigger DE is starting to clean up the run D. The NU Offense will still struggle some more I think. They'll play to win a close, low scoring game. Best chance they've got to get that first W.
Arby, how long have you been a Northwestern fan? Alum? My Dad coached there in the early 2000s, so still would like to see Coach Fitz & Co. do well.
TD, We agree on so much but I didn't get those good lines. Congrats for having a good plan.
Gotta ask about one game. FAU now+25.5 @K. State? Has that spread gone to high?
And of course I love to give advice. Middling SMU/Liberty you would cover the #10, #14, and #17.
Stay Hard, Doc
Pecador, too much going on this morning. Not enough time to really look into FAU. You know what you're doing, check injuries and matchups, and whether or not Snyder typically runs it up in this type of game, and then go for it.
Good luck on whatever you decide.
Should be back mid afternoon. Looking for a slightly better number to take NIU real small (0.25u). NIU backs against the wall and have won before with backup QB in there. SDSU off a non-conf home game that they wanted to win (embarrassed by Cal in 2015). But this non-conf road game and the schedule the next couple weeks looks like a classic Rocky Long 'I don't care about this non-conf' game that much. High % of bets on SDSU but basically no line movement. Tells us something.
TD, We agree on so much but I didn't get those good lines. Congrats for having a good plan.
Gotta ask about one game. FAU now+25.5 @K. State? Has that spread gone to high?
And of course I love to give advice. Middling SMU/Liberty you would cover the #10, #14, and #17.
Stay Hard, Doc
Pecador, too much going on this morning. Not enough time to really look into FAU. You know what you're doing, check injuries and matchups, and whether or not Snyder typically runs it up in this type of game, and then go for it.
Good luck on whatever you decide.
Should be back mid afternoon. Looking for a slightly better number to take NIU real small (0.25u). NIU backs against the wall and have won before with backup QB in there. SDSU off a non-conf home game that they wanted to win (embarrassed by Cal in 2015). But this non-conf road game and the schedule the next couple weeks looks like a classic Rocky Long 'I don't care about this non-conf' game that much. High % of bets on SDSU but basically no line movement. Tells us something.
I lean UNDER on NU-Duke as well, but really worried now with 3 of the 4 DB's out for NU. Also missing a back-up CB. They had to move a safety to corner, and now have 2 redshirt freshman backing up at CB. Its a mess. They haven't blitzed much first 2 games, and are getting no pass rush.
I lean UNDER on NU-Duke as well, but really worried now with 3 of the 4 DB's out for NU. Also missing a back-up CB. They had to move a safety to corner, and now have 2 redshirt freshman backing up at CB. Its a mess. They haven't blitzed much first 2 games, and are getting no pass rush.
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