I'm thinking about making a huge play and "degenerate" gamble on Xmas day by parlaying the 5 favorites on the money line.
It will be...
Miami ML vs the Pelicans
Thunder ML vs the Bulls
Warriors ML vs the Cavs
Spurs ML @ the Rockets
Clips ML @ the Lakers
Based on some of the spreads I'm seeing I'm guessing this ML parlay will be in the 3-3.5/1 range. Only 2 teams give me a little bit of a scare and that's the Pelicans and the Cavs. The Pelicans are playing a little bit better but I think it will be a stretch for them to go into Miami and leave with a win. Then of course you have the now healthy Cavs. I think the Warriors will want to make a statement in this game to silence some of the critics that think a healthy Cavs team would've beat them last year. Besides those 2 I don't see missing.
Anybody agree or disagree that this is a pretty solid ML parlay for Xmas day.
I don't normally fire 5 team parlays but on the ML and with this particular slate of games I feel compelled.
Feel free to chime in with any thoughts, input etc
I'm thinking about making a huge play and "degenerate" gamble on Xmas day by parlaying the 5 favorites on the money line.
It will be...
Miami ML vs the Pelicans
Thunder ML vs the Bulls
Warriors ML vs the Cavs
Spurs ML @ the Rockets
Clips ML @ the Lakers
Based on some of the spreads I'm seeing I'm guessing this ML parlay will be in the 3-3.5/1 range. Only 2 teams give me a little bit of a scare and that's the Pelicans and the Cavs. The Pelicans are playing a little bit better but I think it will be a stretch for them to go into Miami and leave with a win. Then of course you have the now healthy Cavs. I think the Warriors will want to make a statement in this game to silence some of the critics that think a healthy Cavs team would've beat them last year. Besides those 2 I don't see missing.
Anybody agree or disagree that this is a pretty solid ML parlay for Xmas day.
I don't normally fire 5 team parlays but on the ML and with this particular slate of games I feel compelled.
Feel free to chime in with any thoughts, input etc
I only see 1 "lock" on the board, and that's Clippers.
Miami vs Pelicans - you said it, Pelicans showing some signs and on paper it's a pretty even match up.
Thunder vs Bulls - well of course I would pick Thunder, especially at home, but this Bulls team is unpredictable. Can put up a good fight sometimes.
Warriors vs Cavs - Finals revenge, Lebron James, Kyrie Irving, Kevn Love, enough said.
Spurs vs Rockets - again, Spurs been the much better team. But Rockets at home, with Harden who can put up 45 points and kill your bet.
The way OKC is playing right now, no chance they lose at home to a struggling Bulls team that just lost their inspirational leader in Noah even if he was coming off the bench.
Also the Spurs are lights out. They have covered the spread 6 times in a row and all of them were double digits. They may not cover whatever the spread is but I don't see them losing this game. Houston is overrated trash this year.
I only see 1 "lock" on the board, and that's Clippers.
Miami vs Pelicans - you said it, Pelicans showing some signs and on paper it's a pretty even match up.
Thunder vs Bulls - well of course I would pick Thunder, especially at home, but this Bulls team is unpredictable. Can put up a good fight sometimes.
Warriors vs Cavs - Finals revenge, Lebron James, Kyrie Irving, Kevn Love, enough said.
Spurs vs Rockets - again, Spurs been the much better team. But Rockets at home, with Harden who can put up 45 points and kill your bet.
The way OKC is playing right now, no chance they lose at home to a struggling Bulls team that just lost their inspirational leader in Noah even if he was coming off the bench.
Also the Spurs are lights out. They have covered the spread 6 times in a row and all of them were double digits. They may not cover whatever the spread is but I don't see them losing this game. Houston is overrated trash this year.
seems like you want someone to tell you how bad an idea it is which says alot..ie.that you know its unwise without anyone needing to say anything.
like most people i see all those ML being very,very safe except for warriors which i think is 65/35 in g.s.w favour so not exactly a lock.....but seeing an individual ML as safe is entirely different from piling one on top of another on top of another..risk increases exponentially obviously and this is the NBA,a rogue result almost ALWAYS pokes its ugly head up.
so anyhow,to play devils advocate...pelicans have shown little sparks of life recently and need wins more than heat do to turn their season around and have one of the best players in the league who can win a game single-handedly,plus decent talent overall tho you wudnt know it from their results...miami can go into big lulls offensively and have dropped sum very winnable games at home and are far from an elite juggernaut.
bulls have a rich history of playing up or down to the competition,seems like big matchups where they are underestimated is wat really motivates them and they need wins in the worst way rite now to get their season on the track it shud be on..i can see a huge effort from them.they definitely have the talent to match thunder if they bring their A game.
whilst its hard to make an argument for the lakers the clippers have been very flaky all season and cannot close a game out...perhaps complacency could do them in here??
again,i cant see rockets with too much chance of an outright result altho they do have a strong head-2-head history and obviously have been trending upwards of late and do have the roster(if they turn up big and spurs are a little off or lazy) to be competitive for sure.......but san antonio is super tough at home and one of the more trustworthy betting propositions in the league when they decide to let all their guys actually play.
so there ya have it,an argument can easily be made for either side in these matchups....personally i wud say to limit it to 3(or 4 MAXIMUM) for a crappier payout....but its your $$$,as long as you are betting wat ya can afford do as you please.
seems like you want someone to tell you how bad an idea it is which says alot..ie.that you know its unwise without anyone needing to say anything.
like most people i see all those ML being very,very safe except for warriors which i think is 65/35 in g.s.w favour so not exactly a lock.....but seeing an individual ML as safe is entirely different from piling one on top of another on top of another..risk increases exponentially obviously and this is the NBA,a rogue result almost ALWAYS pokes its ugly head up.
so anyhow,to play devils advocate...pelicans have shown little sparks of life recently and need wins more than heat do to turn their season around and have one of the best players in the league who can win a game single-handedly,plus decent talent overall tho you wudnt know it from their results...miami can go into big lulls offensively and have dropped sum very winnable games at home and are far from an elite juggernaut.
bulls have a rich history of playing up or down to the competition,seems like big matchups where they are underestimated is wat really motivates them and they need wins in the worst way rite now to get their season on the track it shud be on..i can see a huge effort from them.they definitely have the talent to match thunder if they bring their A game.
whilst its hard to make an argument for the lakers the clippers have been very flaky all season and cannot close a game out...perhaps complacency could do them in here??
again,i cant see rockets with too much chance of an outright result altho they do have a strong head-2-head history and obviously have been trending upwards of late and do have the roster(if they turn up big and spurs are a little off or lazy) to be competitive for sure.......but san antonio is super tough at home and one of the more trustworthy betting propositions in the league when they decide to let all their guys actually play.
so there ya have it,an argument can easily be made for either side in these matchups....personally i wud say to limit it to 3(or 4 MAXIMUM) for a crappier payout....but its your $$$,as long as you are betting wat ya can afford do as you please.
seems like you want someone to tell you how bad an idea it is which says alot..ie.that you know its unwise without anyone needing to say anything.
like most people i see all those ML being very,very safe except for warriors which i think is 65/35 in g.s.w favour so not exactly a lock.....but seeing an individual ML as safe is entirely different from piling one on top of another on top of another..risk increases exponentially obviously and this is the NBA,a rogue result almost ALWAYS pokes its ugly head up.
so anyhow,to play devils advocate...pelicans have shown little sparks of life recently and need wins more than heat do to turn their season around and have one of the best players in the league who can win a game single-handedly,plus decent talent overall tho you wudnt know it from their results...miami can go into big lulls offensively and have dropped sum very winnable games at home and are far from an elite juggernaut.
bulls have a rich history of playing up or down to the competition,seems like big matchups where they are underestimated is wat really motivates them and they need wins in the worst way rite now to get their season on the track it shud be on..i can see a huge effort from them.they definitely have the talent to match thunder if they bring their A game.
whilst its hard to make an argument for the lakers the clippers have been very flaky all season and cannot close a game out...perhaps complacency could do them in here??
again,i cant see rockets with too much chance of an outright result altho they do have a strong head-2-head history and obviously have been trending upwards of late and do have the roster(if they turn up big and spurs are a little off or lazy) to be competitive for sure.......but san antonio is super tough at home and one of the more trustworthy betting propositions in the league when they decide to let all their guys actually play.
so there ya have it,an argument can easily be made for either side in these matchups....personally i wud say to limit it to 3(or 4 MAXIMUM) for a crappier payout....but its your $$$,as long as you are betting wat ya can afford do as you please.
Thanks for chiming in. I agree with a lot of what you said. This would be for house money since December has been good for me. Just feel like taking the Xmas day shot and going for it.
I may leave off Miami, as I agree with your Pelican points.
seems like you want someone to tell you how bad an idea it is which says alot..ie.that you know its unwise without anyone needing to say anything.
like most people i see all those ML being very,very safe except for warriors which i think is 65/35 in g.s.w favour so not exactly a lock.....but seeing an individual ML as safe is entirely different from piling one on top of another on top of another..risk increases exponentially obviously and this is the NBA,a rogue result almost ALWAYS pokes its ugly head up.
so anyhow,to play devils advocate...pelicans have shown little sparks of life recently and need wins more than heat do to turn their season around and have one of the best players in the league who can win a game single-handedly,plus decent talent overall tho you wudnt know it from their results...miami can go into big lulls offensively and have dropped sum very winnable games at home and are far from an elite juggernaut.
bulls have a rich history of playing up or down to the competition,seems like big matchups where they are underestimated is wat really motivates them and they need wins in the worst way rite now to get their season on the track it shud be on..i can see a huge effort from them.they definitely have the talent to match thunder if they bring their A game.
whilst its hard to make an argument for the lakers the clippers have been very flaky all season and cannot close a game out...perhaps complacency could do them in here??
again,i cant see rockets with too much chance of an outright result altho they do have a strong head-2-head history and obviously have been trending upwards of late and do have the roster(if they turn up big and spurs are a little off or lazy) to be competitive for sure.......but san antonio is super tough at home and one of the more trustworthy betting propositions in the league when they decide to let all their guys actually play.
so there ya have it,an argument can easily be made for either side in these matchups....personally i wud say to limit it to 3(or 4 MAXIMUM) for a crappier payout....but its your $$$,as long as you are betting wat ya can afford do as you please.
Thanks for chiming in. I agree with a lot of what you said. This would be for house money since December has been good for me. Just feel like taking the Xmas day shot and going for it.
I may leave off Miami, as I agree with your Pelican points.
Thanks for chiming in. I agree with a lot of what you said. This would be for house money since December has been good for me. Just feel like taking the Xmas day shot and going for it.
I may leave off Miami, as I agree with your Pelican points.
sweet as,dude...its fine to have a gamble every now and then and long as its not a large bet no big deal watsoever....if ever theres a spot to try and parlay sum ML in this league its xmas day as you wud "hope" that both sides are desperate to show out on the big stage under lights and superior talent will come to the fore.......do remember tho that it can often be easier for road teams at xmas cos there aint all that distraction and focus on their family/friends/home life immediately around them....but in saying that its normally an xtra angle to help dogs cover rather than win outright from my recollection of xmas games gone past.
Thanks for chiming in. I agree with a lot of what you said. This would be for house money since December has been good for me. Just feel like taking the Xmas day shot and going for it.
I may leave off Miami, as I agree with your Pelican points.
sweet as,dude...its fine to have a gamble every now and then and long as its not a large bet no big deal watsoever....if ever theres a spot to try and parlay sum ML in this league its xmas day as you wud "hope" that both sides are desperate to show out on the big stage under lights and superior talent will come to the fore.......do remember tho that it can often be easier for road teams at xmas cos there aint all that distraction and focus on their family/friends/home life immediately around them....but in saying that its normally an xtra angle to help dogs cover rather than win outright from my recollection of xmas games gone past.
sweet as,dude...its fine to have a gamble every now and then and long as its not a large bet no big deal watsoever....if ever theres a spot to try and parlay sum ML in this league its xmas day as you wud "hope" that both sides are desperate to show out on the big stage under lights and superior talent will come to the fore.......do remember tho that it can often be easier for road teams at xmas cos there aint all that distraction and focus on their family/friends/home life immediately around them....but in saying that its normally an xtra angle to help dogs cover rather than win outright from my recollection of xmas games gone past.
I definitely agree with you about the road teams being a little more focused because naturally they should be a little less distracted. Obviously need to wait n see what the ML's come out to be to see if it's worth it or not. It could be a fun xmas day sweat.
sweet as,dude...its fine to have a gamble every now and then and long as its not a large bet no big deal watsoever....if ever theres a spot to try and parlay sum ML in this league its xmas day as you wud "hope" that both sides are desperate to show out on the big stage under lights and superior talent will come to the fore.......do remember tho that it can often be easier for road teams at xmas cos there aint all that distraction and focus on their family/friends/home life immediately around them....but in saying that its normally an xtra angle to help dogs cover rather than win outright from my recollection of xmas games gone past.
I definitely agree with you about the road teams being a little more focused because naturally they should be a little less distracted. Obviously need to wait n see what the ML's come out to be to see if it's worth it or not. It could be a fun xmas day sweat.
Miami ML vs the Pelicans ---> Look ahead game for Miami for next day game vs OrlandoSpurs ML @ the Rockets ---> Spurs are tired Houston ends their streak
Miami ML vs the Pelicans ---> Look ahead game for Miami for next day game vs OrlandoSpurs ML @ the Rockets ---> Spurs are tired Houston ends their streak
I think the Warriors will want to make a statement in this game to silence some of the critics that think a healthy Cavs team would've beat them last year. Besides those 2 I don't see missing.
Anybody agree or disagree that this is a pretty solid ML parlay for Xmas day.
I don't normally fire 5 team parlays but on the ML and with this particular slate of games I feel compelled.
Feel free to chime in with any thoughts, input etc
Thanks
I see zero logic in that statement. You think the Cavs have no motivation after losing to them last year in the finals ?
I think the Warriors will want to make a statement in this game to silence some of the critics that think a healthy Cavs team would've beat them last year. Besides those 2 I don't see missing.
Anybody agree or disagree that this is a pretty solid ML parlay for Xmas day.
I don't normally fire 5 team parlays but on the ML and with this particular slate of games I feel compelled.
Feel free to chime in with any thoughts, input etc
Thanks
I see zero logic in that statement. You think the Cavs have no motivation after losing to them last year in the finals ?
I see zero logic in that statement. You think the Cavs have no motivation after losing to them last year in the finals ?
i wouldnt say zero logic....he is correct but i think the so called "motivation" cancels itself out on both sides...cavs will be extremely hungry to show they are better than wat they put out in the finals when they were short-handed and plainly want a little revenge if you will.plus no bigger incentive than beating easily the best team in the league,almost undefeated overall and invincible at home........BUT then on the other side you got the warriors who have definitely let it be known they feel disrespected and sleighted and the way they come out the gates with a big chip on their shoulder so far attests to that.and they wanna show that it makes no difference if cavs are at full strength and they can beat them regardless.
so to me its a stalemate in terms of who wants it or wants to prove sumthing more...its just 2 outstanding teams loaded with star power that will be going all out...and to me ya gotta take the team that is clicking and hot and playing at home.wudnt be a shock if cavs got the upset but its hard to look past the side with momentum and chemistry.
I see zero logic in that statement. You think the Cavs have no motivation after losing to them last year in the finals ?
i wouldnt say zero logic....he is correct but i think the so called "motivation" cancels itself out on both sides...cavs will be extremely hungry to show they are better than wat they put out in the finals when they were short-handed and plainly want a little revenge if you will.plus no bigger incentive than beating easily the best team in the league,almost undefeated overall and invincible at home........BUT then on the other side you got the warriors who have definitely let it be known they feel disrespected and sleighted and the way they come out the gates with a big chip on their shoulder so far attests to that.and they wanna show that it makes no difference if cavs are at full strength and they can beat them regardless.
so to me its a stalemate in terms of who wants it or wants to prove sumthing more...its just 2 outstanding teams loaded with star power that will be going all out...and to me ya gotta take the team that is clicking and hot and playing at home.wudnt be a shock if cavs got the upset but its hard to look past the side with momentum and chemistry.
i wouldnt say zero logic....he is correct but i think the so called "motivation" cancels itself out on both sides...cavs will be extremely hungry to show they are better than wat they put out in the finals when they were short-handed and plainly want a little revenge if you will.plus no bigger incentive than beating easily the best team in the league,almost undefeated overall and invincible at home........BUT then on the other side you got the warriors who have definitely let it be known they feel disrespected and sleighted and the way they come out the gates with a big chip on their shoulder so far attests to that.and they wanna show that it makes no difference if cavs are at full strength and they can beat them regardless.
so to me its a stalemate in terms of who wants it or wants to prove sumthing more...its just 2 outstanding teams loaded with star power that will be going all out...and to me ya gotta take the team that is clicking and hot and playing at home.wudnt be a shock if cavs got the upset but its hard to look past the side with momentum and chemistry.
If it cancels itself out, then the point is null. Thats what im getting at. Cavs are not truly at full strength.. Irving just returned. Lets give them a moment to get it all together.
i wouldnt say zero logic....he is correct but i think the so called "motivation" cancels itself out on both sides...cavs will be extremely hungry to show they are better than wat they put out in the finals when they were short-handed and plainly want a little revenge if you will.plus no bigger incentive than beating easily the best team in the league,almost undefeated overall and invincible at home........BUT then on the other side you got the warriors who have definitely let it be known they feel disrespected and sleighted and the way they come out the gates with a big chip on their shoulder so far attests to that.and they wanna show that it makes no difference if cavs are at full strength and they can beat them regardless.
so to me its a stalemate in terms of who wants it or wants to prove sumthing more...its just 2 outstanding teams loaded with star power that will be going all out...and to me ya gotta take the team that is clicking and hot and playing at home.wudnt be a shock if cavs got the upset but its hard to look past the side with momentum and chemistry.
If it cancels itself out, then the point is null. Thats what im getting at. Cavs are not truly at full strength.. Irving just returned. Lets give them a moment to get it all together.
They have to be pretty exhausted now. Houston will easily cover and possibly win too. I see a Spurs rest day on Christmas and a bounce back win at home against Denver next day. Or I could be completely wrong and they continue winning.
They have to be pretty exhausted now. Houston will easily cover and possibly win too. I see a Spurs rest day on Christmas and a bounce back win at home against Denver next day. Or I could be completely wrong and they continue winning.
Unless you think the lines are going to move not in your favor, there is no reason to parlay. Just bet each game by itself ML, and roll over your bets.
If the first 3 or 4 win, you will be on here asking if you hedge, and then then you will have to pay juice twice.
Unless you think the lines are going to move not in your favor, there is no reason to parlay. Just bet each game by itself ML, and roll over your bets.
If the first 3 or 4 win, you will be on here asking if you hedge, and then then you will have to pay juice twice.
Unless you think the lines are going to move not in your favor, there is no reason to parlay. Just bet each game by itself ML, and roll over your bets.
If the first 3 or 4 win, you will be on here asking if you hedge, and then then you will have to pay juice twice.
Excellent advice
And.... No such thing as house money. Especially if you qualify it with a timeframe
Unless you think the lines are going to move not in your favor, there is no reason to parlay. Just bet each game by itself ML, and roll over your bets.
If the first 3 or 4 win, you will be on here asking if you hedge, and then then you will have to pay juice twice.
Excellent advice
And.... No such thing as house money. Especially if you qualify it with a timeframe
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