What the hell is there to handicap? Nothing about the first two games can really indicate which team will win game 3. Different venue, different game, different circumstances. Tell me your wise handicapping ideas for game 3 and convince me I'm wrong about my assertions.
SA wins SU getting 5 or so points and Miami blows them out as 5-6 point favs.
If you think Vegas is trying to "tell" you anything by the line, I think you are barking up the wrong tree.
First two games were complete opposites. They don't know anymore about the outcome of this game than you do.
I think the line is fine. SA HAS to be favored at home where they have been VERY good. They have demonstrated they can beat Miami. They certainly aren't going to be large favs against arguably the best team in the NBA either.
There isn't any voodoo going on here.....line makes perfect sense if you ask me.
What the hell is there to handicap? Nothing about the first two games can really indicate which team will win game 3. Different venue, different game, different circumstances. Tell me your wise handicapping ideas for game 3 and convince me I'm wrong about my assertions.
SA wins SU getting 5 or so points and Miami blows them out as 5-6 point favs.
If you think Vegas is trying to "tell" you anything by the line, I think you are barking up the wrong tree.
First two games were complete opposites. They don't know anymore about the outcome of this game than you do.
I think the line is fine. SA HAS to be favored at home where they have been VERY good. They have demonstrated they can beat Miami. They certainly aren't going to be large favs against arguably the best team in the NBA either.
There isn't any voodoo going on here.....line makes perfect sense if you ask me.
SA wins SU getting 5 or so points and Miami blows them out as 5-6 point favs.
If you think Vegas is trying to "tell" you anything by the line, I think you are barking up the wrong tree.
First two games were complete opposites. They don't know anymore about the outcome of this game than you do.
I think the line is fine. SA HAS to be favored at home where they have been VERY good. They have demonstrated they can beat Miami. They certainly aren't going to be large favs against arguably the best team in the NBA either.
There isn't any voodoo going on here.....line makes perfect sense if you ask me.
GL
Agree to disagree. I think the line should be pickem.
SA wins SU getting 5 or so points and Miami blows them out as 5-6 point favs.
If you think Vegas is trying to "tell" you anything by the line, I think you are barking up the wrong tree.
First two games were complete opposites. They don't know anymore about the outcome of this game than you do.
I think the line is fine. SA HAS to be favored at home where they have been VERY good. They have demonstrated they can beat Miami. They certainly aren't going to be large favs against arguably the best team in the NBA either.
There isn't any voodoo going on here.....line makes perfect sense if you ask me.
GL
Agree to disagree. I think the line should be pickem.
SA wins SU getting 5 or so points and Miami blows them out as 5-6 point favs.
If you think Vegas is trying to "tell" you anything by the line, I think you are barking up the wrong tree.
First two games were complete opposites. They don't know anymore about the outcome of this game than you do.
I think the line is fine. SA HAS to be favored at home where they have been VERY good. They have demonstrated they can beat Miami. They certainly aren't going to be large favs against arguably the best team in the NBA either.
There isn't any voodoo going on here.....line makes perfect sense if you ask me.
GL
The lines are always set to draw an even amount of action. Sports books are like the insurance industry. They operate every day knowing they will always pay out less than they take in over the long run.
Some days they will take huge losses, but they are prepared for this and collect premiums every time the "public" (i.e, small wager gamblers...lakers, knicks, celtics, HEAT, bulls fans) goes ML on heavy favorites.
Now, as far as corruption, thats obviously going on during totals plays in all sports. An official cannot (cannot always) decide who shows up to play harder, but they can always affect the pace.
SA wins SU getting 5 or so points and Miami blows them out as 5-6 point favs.
If you think Vegas is trying to "tell" you anything by the line, I think you are barking up the wrong tree.
First two games were complete opposites. They don't know anymore about the outcome of this game than you do.
I think the line is fine. SA HAS to be favored at home where they have been VERY good. They have demonstrated they can beat Miami. They certainly aren't going to be large favs against arguably the best team in the NBA either.
There isn't any voodoo going on here.....line makes perfect sense if you ask me.
GL
The lines are always set to draw an even amount of action. Sports books are like the insurance industry. They operate every day knowing they will always pay out less than they take in over the long run.
Some days they will take huge losses, but they are prepared for this and collect premiums every time the "public" (i.e, small wager gamblers...lakers, knicks, celtics, HEAT, bulls fans) goes ML on heavy favorites.
Now, as far as corruption, thats obviously going on during totals plays in all sports. An official cannot (cannot always) decide who shows up to play harder, but they can always affect the pace.
No disrespect ASAP, but your whole betting angle for this series is based on what you think is going to happen in games 4, 5, 6, and 7, but these two teams have yet to play game 3.
With that said, I'll likely sit this one out. I'll be rooting for a good game, and possibly a remix of your commercial, hopefully without darren collision.
No disrespect ASAP, but your whole betting angle for this series is based on what you think is going to happen in games 4, 5, 6, and 7, but these two teams have yet to play game 3.
With that said, I'll likely sit this one out. I'll be rooting for a good game, and possibly a remix of your commercial, hopefully without darren collision.
no matter who wins tonight the game 4 line will not be much different
Agree 100%. Just look at the lines for the 2 games in Miami. I do think Miami is gonna get some love because it's hard to believe SA can repeat this crazy shooting performance.....but SA is gonna open as a favorite for sure.
no matter who wins tonight the game 4 line will not be much different
Agree 100%. Just look at the lines for the 2 games in Miami. I do think Miami is gonna get some love because it's hard to believe SA can repeat this crazy shooting performance.....but SA is gonna open as a favorite for sure.
Well, we agree and one things and that is my Heat take tonights game. They are just much better than SAS. Neal and Green will regress with their lights out shooting. It all comes to Lebron getting out of Dallas mode. If/when he does that, the Heat will def take two in SAS. Hope for an early deficit so I can get Heat around +5 or +6. BOL Papa.
Well, we agree and one things and that is my Heat take tonights game. They are just much better than SAS. Neal and Green will regress with their lights out shooting. It all comes to Lebron getting out of Dallas mode. If/when he does that, the Heat will def take two in SAS. Hope for an early deficit so I can get Heat around +5 or +6. BOL Papa.
1. I stated numerous times in this thread that I made a small wager tonight. 2. Whoever knows me on this site knows I hate the Miami Heat with a passion. 3. I have a very sizable bet on the Spurs to win the series. 4. I hit a 13/1 bet on the Heat vs Spurs final before the season started. 5. Suck my balls.
1. I stated numerous times in this thread that I made a small wager tonight. 2. Whoever knows me on this site knows I hate the Miami Heat with a passion. 3. I have a very sizable bet on the Spurs to win the series. 4. I hit a 13/1 bet on the Heat vs Spurs final before the season started. 5. Suck my balls.
After game 2, I said to a friend I was watching the game with that I would most likely be pounding the Spurs after their blowout loss in Miami. However, the more I think about it, the more this game looks like a trap for Spurs backers. Not quite sure why there is so much love in this specific game for the Spurs. I have the Spurs winning in 7 games, but tonight I don't like their chances. Miami is 6-1 ATS as a dog this season. The lone loss came at home against NY when Lebron and Wade did not play. As a Heat backer tonight, I love the fact that the Spurs are favored by 2. The books will have a ton of ML juice coming their way as Spurs backers will get nervous about laying 2 points, thus laying -135 will be a huge mistake. It's just too easy to think the Spurs bounce back from game 2 and win tonight, IMO. I think the Heat will win tonight and may possibly win pretty easily. Then game 4, the "Public" will be all over Miami's cockks once again. Game 4 spread will probably by pickem or maybe even Heat -1 and you'll see majority of the "public" on Miami. Spurs will win that game tying the series at 2. Game 5 will have the all of the people that think Miami cannot lose two in a row gear up and pound Miami. Spurs will win game 5 and take a 3-2 lead back to Miami. Miami wins desperation game 6, then loses game 7, a game in which the "Public" will pound Miami yet again.
I may be looking too deep into this, but those are my thoughts. Tonight I'm on Miami +2. Games 4 and 5, I will most likely be on San Antonio. GL to everyone tonight.
Heat +2 -110
great call on game 3...I hope to GOD you are on the heart for game 4
After game 2, I said to a friend I was watching the game with that I would most likely be pounding the Spurs after their blowout loss in Miami. However, the more I think about it, the more this game looks like a trap for Spurs backers. Not quite sure why there is so much love in this specific game for the Spurs. I have the Spurs winning in 7 games, but tonight I don't like their chances. Miami is 6-1 ATS as a dog this season. The lone loss came at home against NY when Lebron and Wade did not play. As a Heat backer tonight, I love the fact that the Spurs are favored by 2. The books will have a ton of ML juice coming their way as Spurs backers will get nervous about laying 2 points, thus laying -135 will be a huge mistake. It's just too easy to think the Spurs bounce back from game 2 and win tonight, IMO. I think the Heat will win tonight and may possibly win pretty easily. Then game 4, the "Public" will be all over Miami's cockks once again. Game 4 spread will probably by pickem or maybe even Heat -1 and you'll see majority of the "public" on Miami. Spurs will win that game tying the series at 2. Game 5 will have the all of the people that think Miami cannot lose two in a row gear up and pound Miami. Spurs will win game 5 and take a 3-2 lead back to Miami. Miami wins desperation game 6, then loses game 7, a game in which the "Public" will pound Miami yet again.
I may be looking too deep into this, but those are my thoughts. Tonight I'm on Miami +2. Games 4 and 5, I will most likely be on San Antonio. GL to everyone tonight.
Heat +2 -110
great call on game 3...I hope to GOD you are on the heart for game 4
All u idiots need to research Papas continued solid capping in all sports including tennis, mma, soccer and all US sports. Last year I made over 16 units tailing Papa during the US open.He has always had winning seasons that I recall and I have been checking this forum out for years.
Thank you Papa for your daily picks and reasoning.
All u idiots need to research Papas continued solid capping in all sports including tennis, mma, soccer and all US sports. Last year I made over 16 units tailing Papa during the US open.He has always had winning seasons that I recall and I have been checking this forum out for years.
Thank you Papa for your daily picks and reasoning.
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