On the Bulls game last night, based on the fundamentals, I thought there was value in the 5 points. Plus, my hunch was that the Bulls would be fired up and have a bounce back game, much like others on the forum, plus a bet that Noah would have a more significant impact on this game. The Bulls own the regular season series with the Nets, including one win on the road and another cover/push on the road. Cover for this game was dependent upon a colder shooting night for the Nets relative to Game 1 and the Bulls keeping their D tight.Overall, Bulls covered 56% on the road this season, whereas the Nets were covering 41% at home this season. While the Nets were the hotter team heading into game 2, I expected the Bulls to keep this one close based on both the intangibles and team fundamentals. Didn't think the Bulls would pull away quite as strongly as they did, but nice to see them get the W. I think the Nets are still the stronger team and will win the series, and my early lean for Game 3 is Nets, but still have work to do on that one.
Memphis game was tougher. It didn't play out exactly as I expected (partially evidenced by the fact that my under didn't come through). Clippers defined the game pace more than I expected, but Memphis got them stuck in the half court just enough that their little run in the 4th got them the cover. Didn't expect to need that mini-comeback. For most of that game, the Clippers clearly looked the better team and deserved to win. Nowhere to go but down for Conley in game 3. If CP3 and Griffin have similar games in Game 3 or 4, they could definitely steal one in Memphis. Undecided for me so far on that one.
I appreciate your analysis. I was looking for a counter argument to take the bulls but I did'nt feel the bulls response would be enough to cover let alone win SU. I underestimated Bulls on the road. Through all the hoopla I clearly missed the fact that 4th and 5th seeds clips/mem and brooklyn/chi 4th and 5th are evenly matched to a certain extent. However I was blinded by the OKC and Miami blowouts to assume Brooklyn should cover 5 easy. Once again good call on bulls. Response game bounceback at its finest. Next game I'm on on BK for their bounceback.
On the Bulls game last night, based on the fundamentals, I thought there was value in the 5 points. Plus, my hunch was that the Bulls would be fired up and have a bounce back game, much like others on the forum, plus a bet that Noah would have a more significant impact on this game. The Bulls own the regular season series with the Nets, including one win on the road and another cover/push on the road. Cover for this game was dependent upon a colder shooting night for the Nets relative to Game 1 and the Bulls keeping their D tight.Overall, Bulls covered 56% on the road this season, whereas the Nets were covering 41% at home this season. While the Nets were the hotter team heading into game 2, I expected the Bulls to keep this one close based on both the intangibles and team fundamentals. Didn't think the Bulls would pull away quite as strongly as they did, but nice to see them get the W. I think the Nets are still the stronger team and will win the series, and my early lean for Game 3 is Nets, but still have work to do on that one.
Memphis game was tougher. It didn't play out exactly as I expected (partially evidenced by the fact that my under didn't come through). Clippers defined the game pace more than I expected, but Memphis got them stuck in the half court just enough that their little run in the 4th got them the cover. Didn't expect to need that mini-comeback. For most of that game, the Clippers clearly looked the better team and deserved to win. Nowhere to go but down for Conley in game 3. If CP3 and Griffin have similar games in Game 3 or 4, they could definitely steal one in Memphis. Undecided for me so far on that one.
I appreciate your analysis. I was looking for a counter argument to take the bulls but I did'nt feel the bulls response would be enough to cover let alone win SU. I underestimated Bulls on the road. Through all the hoopla I clearly missed the fact that 4th and 5th seeds clips/mem and brooklyn/chi 4th and 5th are evenly matched to a certain extent. However I was blinded by the OKC and Miami blowouts to assume Brooklyn should cover 5 easy. Once again good call on bulls. Response game bounceback at its finest. Next game I'm on on BK for their bounceback.
From what I've been seeing it looks like the forum consensus is different than me on the Heat and Boston totals, as well as laying the points with the Knicks. Feel pretty good about my picks so we'll see who's right.
From what I've been seeing it looks like the forum consensus is different than me on the Heat and Boston totals, as well as laying the points with the Knicks. Feel pretty good about my picks so we'll see who's right.
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