Utah and Over a winner, game 3 chase, Detroit, a big loser .
Watched the end of the Clipper game, up by 4 with 5 seconds left, Utah hits a 3 pointer to cover. Then Utah intercepts the inbound ball w/ .007 seconds to almost win. Won't see that in the box score...
Shawty and Financial, appreciate the feedback and are open to any tweeks...
McShady, not sure why someone would take your action. NICE call on Skins ML!
Utah and Over a winner, game 3 chase, Detroit, a big loser .
Watched the end of the Clipper game, up by 4 with 5 seconds left, Utah hits a 3 pointer to cover. Then Utah intercepts the inbound ball w/ .007 seconds to almost win. Won't see that in the box score...
Shawty and Financial, appreciate the feedback and are open to any tweeks...
McShady, not sure why someone would take your action. NICE call on Skins ML!
Been number crunching hoping to find some Gems in the NBA Quarter's game and think I have a few new to add to the old favorites so here goes...remember I stopped dealing with 2Q and 3Q as they were too up and down- I may review them over Christmas break to see if anything new has taken place. Anyway here are my findings- all based on ML not ATS.
Top 1Q Plays Knicks 12-3 overall but 7-0 at MSG, Thunder 15-2 (last loss 11-9) 6-0 on the road, Hornets 6-1 on the road and usally getting big points, Cavaliers 8-3 on the road, Hawks 5-1 on the road, Nets 6-2 on the road.
Top 1Q Fades Suns 1-6 at home, Kings 1-9 at home, Magic 3-13 overall and 1-8 at home, Wizards 2-12 overall but get a ton of points, Trailblazers 1-5 at home, Pacers 1-4 at home.
Top 4Q Plays Spurs 15-3 overall and 6-1 at home 9-2 on the road, Heat 11-4 and 7-1 at home (haven't lost since opening night), Knicks 10-3 and 4-1 at home, Clippers 8-2 at home. Interesting few here because they all end up on the fade list away Nuggets 4-1 at home, Twolves 5-2 at home, Warriors 6-2 home. Check out the Hawks 3-1 on the road- but fade at home.
Top 4Q Fades Cavaliers 3-14 overall 0-6 at home, Hawks 1-6 at home, Twolves 1-5 away, Mavericks 1-5 away, Grizzlies 1-3 away, Kings 3-7 overall and 1-3 away, Nuggets 4-8 away, Pistons 2-5 at home, Wizards 1-5 at home, Warriors 3-5 road
I hope this small contribution is helping someone out there make some money. I realize there is a heck of a lot more talent in this lounge than what I bring to the table but I want to contribute to the discussion if at all possible.
Been number crunching hoping to find some Gems in the NBA Quarter's game and think I have a few new to add to the old favorites so here goes...remember I stopped dealing with 2Q and 3Q as they were too up and down- I may review them over Christmas break to see if anything new has taken place. Anyway here are my findings- all based on ML not ATS.
Top 1Q Plays Knicks 12-3 overall but 7-0 at MSG, Thunder 15-2 (last loss 11-9) 6-0 on the road, Hornets 6-1 on the road and usally getting big points, Cavaliers 8-3 on the road, Hawks 5-1 on the road, Nets 6-2 on the road.
Top 1Q Fades Suns 1-6 at home, Kings 1-9 at home, Magic 3-13 overall and 1-8 at home, Wizards 2-12 overall but get a ton of points, Trailblazers 1-5 at home, Pacers 1-4 at home.
Top 4Q Plays Spurs 15-3 overall and 6-1 at home 9-2 on the road, Heat 11-4 and 7-1 at home (haven't lost since opening night), Knicks 10-3 and 4-1 at home, Clippers 8-2 at home. Interesting few here because they all end up on the fade list away Nuggets 4-1 at home, Twolves 5-2 at home, Warriors 6-2 home. Check out the Hawks 3-1 on the road- but fade at home.
Top 4Q Fades Cavaliers 3-14 overall 0-6 at home, Hawks 1-6 at home, Twolves 1-5 away, Mavericks 1-5 away, Grizzlies 1-3 away, Kings 3-7 overall and 1-3 away, Nuggets 4-8 away, Pistons 2-5 at home, Wizards 1-5 at home, Warriors 3-5 road
I hope this small contribution is helping someone out there make some money. I realize there is a heck of a lot more talent in this lounge than what I bring to the table but I want to contribute to the discussion if at all possible.
Here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 13, with records being for the last 7 seasons plus the first 12 weeks of this season.
Angle #1 - Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (61-42, 59.2% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle won its only play when it last showed up in Week 10 with the Texans at Chicago. Qualifier: Tampa Bay +8 (vs. Denver)PUSHAngle #2 - Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (71-49-5, 59.2% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. It has not made much difference whether or not the team is now home (31-21-4 ATS) or away (40-27-1 ATS). This angle lost its only play in Week 12. Qualifiers: Oakland +3 to +3.5, Oak +3.5 won but I pushed.
Philadelphia +10½ to +11 (Angle4u999 warning, QB Vick out).You gotta fade the Cryboys when giving points!!! Or, just chase fade them 3 games, no losses this year if not mistaken!
Angle #3 - Play on any Bad Team on the road that was an underdog in each of its last four games (100-64-2, 61.0% ATS): Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent win percentage over a nice sampling. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with Carolina. Qualifiers: Cleveland -2 to -2.5 (opposite of Oakland), Jacksonville +7.
Angle #4 - Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (93-58-4, 61.6% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with the Indianapolis. Qualifiers: Green Bay -6.5, New York Jets -6.
Angle #5 - Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (168-108-5, 60.9% ATS): The
logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two
exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second
straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is
restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens
the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe
and what to expect on defense. This angle split 1-1 in Week 12.
Qualifiers: Minnesota +7½ (opposite of Green Bay) and Seattle +3½ to +4
Here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 13, with records being for the last 7 seasons plus the first 12 weeks of this season.
Angle #1 - Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (61-42, 59.2% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle won its only play when it last showed up in Week 10 with the Texans at Chicago. Qualifier: Tampa Bay +8 (vs. Denver)PUSHAngle #2 - Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (71-49-5, 59.2% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. It has not made much difference whether or not the team is now home (31-21-4 ATS) or away (40-27-1 ATS). This angle lost its only play in Week 12. Qualifiers: Oakland +3 to +3.5, Oak +3.5 won but I pushed.
Philadelphia +10½ to +11 (Angle4u999 warning, QB Vick out).You gotta fade the Cryboys when giving points!!! Or, just chase fade them 3 games, no losses this year if not mistaken!
Angle #3 - Play on any Bad Team on the road that was an underdog in each of its last four games (100-64-2, 61.0% ATS): Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent win percentage over a nice sampling. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with Carolina. Qualifiers: Cleveland -2 to -2.5 (opposite of Oakland), Jacksonville +7.
Angle #4 - Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (93-58-4, 61.6% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with the Indianapolis. Qualifiers: Green Bay -6.5, New York Jets -6.
Angle #5 - Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (168-108-5, 60.9% ATS): The
logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two
exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second
straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is
restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens
the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe
and what to expect on defense. This angle split 1-1 in Week 12.
Qualifiers: Minnesota +7½ (opposite of Green Bay) and Seattle +3½ to +4
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