I usually prefer live bets in tennis, thats where the value lies. but on thursday and friday I get tired and players get better bc they have won usually 2-3 matches already. so live bets become also much tougher. I try to get by a couple .of qf mismatches these days, I have been doing pretty good. FYI Im an ex tennis player, I have been around the sport for too long and know that momentum is everything, thats where I find the value in tennis. just like almagro's break last nite against Querrey,3rd set 4-0 almagro stand. (4.5 odds), querrey was tanking it away.
Anyways sometimes the odds are not great but you gotta take the juice. or try try to get in some really confident match around 1.15 to boost it up(or not). I have found over the years that 1.57 odds are the lowest you should go (ofc there are extremes when lower), ,ot of times odds representing 1.4 1.3 are screaming for value on the other side (oddsmakers playing games with us).
I usually follow 50 or more matches every day so I have a better idea how these players have played, not only the results. ( easy games, good first serve %, good break point conversions) these are all for good confidence!
and of course I bet at bet365, where the tennis market is huuuuuuuge :)
alright so fire away for friday, lets do this shit!
I usually prefer live bets in tennis, thats where the value lies. but on thursday and friday I get tired and players get better bc they have won usually 2-3 matches already. so live bets become also much tougher. I try to get by a couple .of qf mismatches these days, I have been doing pretty good. FYI Im an ex tennis player, I have been around the sport for too long and know that momentum is everything, thats where I find the value in tennis. just like almagro's break last nite against Querrey,3rd set 4-0 almagro stand. (4.5 odds), querrey was tanking it away.
Anyways sometimes the odds are not great but you gotta take the juice. or try try to get in some really confident match around 1.15 to boost it up(or not). I have found over the years that 1.57 odds are the lowest you should go (ofc there are extremes when lower), ,ot of times odds representing 1.4 1.3 are screaming for value on the other side (oddsmakers playing games with us).
I usually follow 50 or more matches every day so I have a better idea how these players have played, not only the results. ( easy games, good first serve %, good break point conversions) these are all for good confidence!
and of course I bet at bet365, where the tennis market is huuuuuuuge :)
alright so fire away for friday, lets do this shit!
kis is too good right now, picked him to beat isner at 3.5
atp basel
dimitrov 1.53
feeling it, I think he wants to play vs his idol so bad, and he is also playing very confident after a nice tour in asia
challenger buenos aires
rufin 1.66 *
he is on a different level than dutra silva, playing too good for everyone right now, 63 61, 63 60 last two rounds against OK opponents, last tourney he won I think he doubles up here
itf greece
angelinos 2.5
home match for the fieghsty greek. yankovits is a good player but I have faith in angelinos, huge serve for yhis level and this is carpet
itf morocco
moneke 2.25
wrong guy favoured! against 30+ year old ouhab? he is playing good now, but moneke is class above imo
itf brasil
quinzi 1.66
young phenom making his stride! leite played 3:30 yesterday, i could be wrong on this one, easily fall for young stars...
kis is too good right now, picked him to beat isner at 3.5
atp basel
dimitrov 1.53
feeling it, I think he wants to play vs his idol so bad, and he is also playing very confident after a nice tour in asia
challenger buenos aires
rufin 1.66 *
he is on a different level than dutra silva, playing too good for everyone right now, 63 61, 63 60 last two rounds against OK opponents, last tourney he won I think he doubles up here
itf greece
angelinos 2.5
home match for the fieghsty greek. yankovits is a good player but I have faith in angelinos, huge serve for yhis level and this is carpet
itf morocco
moneke 2.25
wrong guy favoured! against 30+ year old ouhab? he is playing good now, but moneke is class above imo
itf brasil
quinzi 1.66
young phenom making his stride! leite played 3:30 yesterday, i could be wrong on this one, easily fall for young stars...
good start for the year and good ending? all in fance where she practices at mouratouglu. she is an attacking player and I dont believe in niculescus shit 2 handed baloni tennis in indoor hard courts. We'll see.
itf dubrovnik
morgosova 1.61*
had this one circled for a while. confidence on her side, better player, knoll was shitting to bed yesterday against injured akiki and just survived with 64 in the 3rd set. knoll had cca 13 double faults yesterday in 9 service games (06 60 64).
please if you can bet live on games look for morgosova to break here many times, odds will be close to even!!!!
itf saquenay
bouchard 1.57
she is playing unbelievable at home, oh well these proud canadiens.... fichman? very good streak, big derby for these two, but I think the bouchard slaughter continues in these one... (could be wrong)
good luck! and remember!!! keep betting it live in the long run, thats where the values lie.... this is just some side money to be made!
good start for the year and good ending? all in fance where she practices at mouratouglu. she is an attacking player and I dont believe in niculescus shit 2 handed baloni tennis in indoor hard courts. We'll see.
itf dubrovnik
morgosova 1.61*
had this one circled for a while. confidence on her side, better player, knoll was shitting to bed yesterday against injured akiki and just survived with 64 in the 3rd set. knoll had cca 13 double faults yesterday in 9 service games (06 60 64).
please if you can bet live on games look for morgosova to break here many times, odds will be close to even!!!!
itf saquenay
bouchard 1.57
she is playing unbelievable at home, oh well these proud canadiens.... fichman? very good streak, big derby for these two, but I think the bouchard slaughter continues in these one... (could be wrong)
good luck! and remember!!! keep betting it live in the long run, thats where the values lie.... this is just some side money to be made!
Long! Gotta make the living from it!! Its not easy but its very profitable esch month. Live betting. Made a shitlload on uefa matches last nite. When its becoming business for you, you really look at it from different standpoints. Quick recap so far from today's picks:
Morgosova winner (opp retired in 2nd set 6-3 3-0 score, f bitch.... So in many books thats a push, my bad. Had 3 huge breaks in the match though so cash city for me)
Long! Gotta make the living from it!! Its not easy but its very profitable esch month. Live betting. Made a shitlload on uefa matches last nite. When its becoming business for you, you really look at it from different standpoints. Quick recap so far from today's picks:
Morgosova winner (opp retired in 2nd set 6-3 3-0 score, f bitch.... So in many books thats a push, my bad. Had 3 huge breaks in the match though so cash city for me)
Angelinos W Goffin L (was up 4:1) Morgosova W/Push15u Dimitrov L (choke job) Bouchard W 15u Moneke L Putintseva L Quinzi L Rufin W15u
-10units (or +5u if retired come as a winner)
things learned: gotta stop loving those young phenoms, not so much experience.... like quinzi and putinteseva.... rufin and bouchard were playin phenomenal! and gotta limit these picks! only the best ones! have you seen dolgopolov play? OMFG....
Best of luck for the weekend! I will be having my quali break fiesta! :)
Angelinos W Goffin L (was up 4:1) Morgosova W/Push15u Dimitrov L (choke job) Bouchard W 15u Moneke L Putintseva L Quinzi L Rufin W15u
-10units (or +5u if retired come as a winner)
things learned: gotta stop loving those young phenoms, not so much experience.... like quinzi and putinteseva.... rufin and bouchard were playin phenomenal! and gotta limit these picks! only the best ones! have you seen dolgopolov play? OMFG....
Best of luck for the weekend! I will be having my quali break fiesta! :)
packer dude! first of all FU for calling me a tout or whatever... i have no intentions of any of this. secondly, you shithead, i do have a big experience in tennis and I make huge ROI every month. probably much better than you. why do you start to hate right away? it was not so successful of a first day of picks, but this forum lacks of some good tennis picks imo and if you are bookie is not bet365 and you want to pick winners for atp full time, then younwill go nowhere.
seriously man, I have been here on the forum for like 6 years, no time for contributing and I take the time now, and you start shittalking...
im a also a big packers fan btw and I will post my picks with all units beforehand. give me your email address if you want to see some betting history, than you can stfu and be nice.
packer dude! first of all FU for calling me a tout or whatever... i have no intentions of any of this. secondly, you shithead, i do have a big experience in tennis and I make huge ROI every month. probably much better than you. why do you start to hate right away? it was not so successful of a first day of picks, but this forum lacks of some good tennis picks imo and if you are bookie is not bet365 and you want to pick winners for atp full time, then younwill go nowhere.
seriously man, I have been here on the forum for like 6 years, no time for contributing and I take the time now, and you start shittalking...
im a also a big packers fan btw and I will post my picks with all units beforehand. give me your email address if you want to see some betting history, than you can stfu and be nice.
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