I get it. Heavy favorite at -280 or so. That says, without a doubt, it probably wins. Also, betting this chitt through the years, the favorites win at a very high rate, I would say way higher than in baseball or football.
Ok, now for the post. I just did not like the movie. Maybe, I am too stupid to get it but it was just kind of drab and boring. Also, the Academy wants to give an Oscar to Netflix? That just seems absurd to me. How could you undercut the movie industry like that?
I am going to play one unit on the plus 240 it does not win.
I am also going to play one unit on Black Panther. Yes, probably burning money. That said, the academy has been roundly criticized recently for the lack of attention of black actors, female actresses and popular movies, these are all the things that BP excelled at and made it such a big hit. Yes, the movie was trashy formula hollywood, the kind the Academy normally hates but maybe, just maybe one time at a juicy 20-1.
50 to win a dime....sounds good to me..