MLB win totals by Ceasers

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NL East;

Braves; 84

Marlins; 65.5

Mets; 83.5

Nationals; 88.5

Phillies; 83

NL Central;

Brewers; 83.5

Cardinals; 88.5

Cubs; 89

Pirates; 78.5

Reds; 77

NL West;

Diamondbacks; 77

Dodgers; 95

Giants; 73

Padres; 77.5

Rockies; 82

AL East;

AL Central;

Indians; 91.5

Royals; 69

Tigers; 67

Twins; 84

White Sox; 74.5

AL West;

Angels; 83.5

Astros; 97.5

A's; 83

Mariners; 74.5

Rangers; 70.5

 
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AL East;

Blue Jays; 76.5

Orioles; 59

Red Sox; 95.5

Rays; 85.5

Yankees; 96.5

 

 

 
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What is everyone liking early on? I feel like a lot of these are slightly off. 4, 80 win teams in the NL East? No sir. 

I leaned off early looks, Blue Jays u76.5, Rockies o82, Pirates u78.5, Phillies o83, and Mets u83.5. 

Would love to have an on going discussion to lead up to the year. Excited for the season.

 
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Is Ceasars the only book with these bets available?

I'll fly to Vegas tomorrow to bet the under on the Nats under 88.5


That's gotta be the Giants lowest win total in 15 years...

Orioles at 59 is too low imo. They are awful, but no one in the majors is that awful. They can scratch 63 to 67 just by showing up to the ballpark.

Thanks for the thread
 
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Is Ceasars the only book with these bets available?I'll fly to Vegas tomorrow to bet the under on the Nats under 88.5That's gotta be the Giants lowest win total in 15 years...Orioles at 59 is too low imo. They are awful, but no one in the majors is that awful. They can scratch 63 to 67 just by showing up to the ballpark.Thanks for the thread

Right now I believe! Agree on Nats. Who is going to hit for them. Can only win so many 2-1 games. Rendon is great but he will be down without Murphy and Harper around him. Braves and Phillies much improved as well. 

 
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The only one that jumps out to me at quick glance is Brewers over 83.5.

 
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orioles under 59 looks like free money.  They won 47 last year.  very difficult to see a 12-13 game improvement in this division
 
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Nats Under
Braves Over
Dodgers Under
Reds Under

Still a few big chips in FA remaining but I would have no problem playing any of those 4 right now
 
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Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

Nats UnderBraves OverDodgers UnderReds UnderStill a few big chips in FA remaining but I would have no problem playing any of those 4 right now

What if Reds get Kuechel? There lineup is legit.

 
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as usual braves over, and oakland under, never get them correct

 
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Yankees under 96.5

All hat, no cattle, as our Texas friends would say.

an_roll_laugh

 
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Quote Originally Posted by Bspalding:

What if Reds get Kuechel? There lineup is legit.


The infield is great.    No idea how Puig will react, could flourish or could totally check out.  Division is tough though, someone gonna eat those losses
 
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Astros lost Morton, Keuchel and McCullers.  Is 97.5 too optimistic?

 
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Angels under 83.5, they are going 84-78?

new manager who doesnt dserve the gig, starting staff

with a POS like Matt Harvey and a terrible bullpen .

 

 
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Mets Over 83.5

Nationals Under 88.5

Brewers Over 83.5 BEST BET

Dodgers Under 95

Giants Over 73

Astros Under 97.5

 

 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by jacksup:

Astros lost Morton, Keuchel and McCullers.  Is 97.5 too optimistic?


I think so
 
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The reds at 77 seems low to me. 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by Atp11:

The reds at 77 seems low to me. 


The problem is they play in the NL Central. 

The Cardinals will be significantly better with Goldy and Andrew Miller(depending on health) Does Marcel Ozuna pick it up? Great catcher who calls a great game. I'm a fan of their starting 5.

It's the Brewers division to lose.

The Cubs won't get worse. Biggest question for them is how will their "older" starting 5 hold up? Hamels, Lester, Q, Hendricks are vets and know how to win. Yu Darvish is a huge wildcard. Bryant played with a bad shoulder last year, he should bounce back.

I never sleep on Pittsburgh, great coaching. At least vs Cinci their games should be competitive.

Just glancing at their schedule, it looks pretty tough. Easiest 12 games I see are vs Miami and Arizona. They also play the Mets 6 times. 2 tough west coast trips on the schedule as well.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Yankees under 96.5 All hat, no cattle, as our Texas friends would say.
Already it starts. Maybe take it a little easy on the Yanks this season, fading them last two seasons(guilty) wasn't exactly the cash cow everyone though they'd be - using a cattle reference.

 

I like the under on the bigs and the overs on the littles. Lots of others here feel the same way - but too early to really know anything. BAL could end up with only 55 wins and HOU could blast their over even with medium pitching, they hit that juiced ball so well.

 

 

 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Yankees under 96.5 All hat, no cattle, as our Texas friends would say.
Already it starts. Maybe take it a little easy on the Yanks this season, fading them last two seasons(guilty) wasn't exactly the cash cow everyone though they'd be - using a cattle reference.   I like the under on the bigs and the overs on the littles. Lots of others here feel the same way - but too early to really know anything. BAL could end up with only 55 wins and HOU could blast their over even with medium pitching, they hit that juiced ball so well.
 bigsmile Cash cow, cow patty, what's the difference? Barely getting there two years in a row indicates overvaluing by the public. Eventually the odds play out. Let's just have our fun on a daily basis, October may never get here. Life is short, eat dessert first.

peace_5

 
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The Yanks are flat out loaded..all the way through..you don't think the kids take steps up in year 2, then Paxton steadies the rotation? The Sox will be less motivated and their Pen is even worse..then there's 55 wins vs the other 3..

St. Louis over is the wise move...Goldy can win the MVP in a environment like there....

Brewers starters will catch up with them..

 
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Does anyone know if Baseball Prospectus PECOTA projections does game-by-game predictions during the season? Or any other sort of MLB stats/analytics based website that does daily predictions similar to that of  and ?

 
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My fucking goodness, how come I didnt bet futures earlier!!

1. Nationals Under

2. Brewers Over. 

3. Angels Under

4. Marlins Under 

ood for thought on the AL East.

Rays. I love the Rays. With Charlie Morton they add another significant starter to go with Snell, which is key to give rest to their "openers". Lets go back to September 2018, the hot team were the Rays! It just sucks that they are in this division with Boston and NY but I may pull the trigger on them landing a Wild Card Spot. Once there, with Blake Snell pitching they are very likely in the playoffs. 

Yankees. There are two reasons to bet the under: Aaron Boone is a retarded and stubborn manager, and they play an awfully tough division where they will lose a bunch of games to the Boston and Tampa. To ilustrate my point: How the fuck can a manager who is paid millions, have a guy that averages .236 as the first bat?! Also, how the fuck do you play Giancarlo at 2nd bat half the season, when he is a strikeout or homerun machine. 

They will start without Didi, but this is a simple game. Start Hicks, Didi 2nd, Judge 3rd, Stanton 4th. And with that bullpen, you should explore the possibility of mimicking Tampa and use an opener instead of a starting pitcher with a 5.0 ERA. 

Red Sox. They lack the depth at the bullpen and throughout the batting order that the Yankees have. But those starting 5 bats are insane. And they have some of the best starting pitcher corpse in the league. I´m worried about the bullpen though. 

 

 
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How has no one mentioned white sox under 76.5???  I know they have a lot of upcoming talent but this number is expecting a significant jump- dont care how bad the rest of the division is.

 

I also like dbacks over 74.5, jays under 75.5, and cubs under 89.5.  I try and avoid the teams above 93 and below 70.

 

 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by Silk24:

How has no one mentioned white sox under 76.5???  I know they have a lot of upcoming talent but this number is expecting a significant jump- dont care how bad the rest of the division is.

 

I also like dbacks over 74.5, jays under 75.5, and cubs under 89.5.  I try and avoid the teams above 93 and below 70.

 

 

Therein lies the problem. Not even the Indians had a winning record over teams that played above .500 ball. The division is so weak that if they dominate 3 teams in the division, and play well outside the division, 76.5 is no pipe dream. 
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