NHL Head2head betting system

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Hi guys!

This NHL betting system seems to be very simple, it is based on head-to-head results during the last 5 seasons. Before season 2013-14, there was a kind of restructure in the divisions and league schedule. We are focusing the games played since then, our theory is that there are many teams who beat corresponding opponents h2h at least one in each season (in the last five seasons).

Our basic concept has been summerized by Barry Trotz, former head coach of Caps: "Every team has a unicorn team, you do... For years, Nashville was the Blue Jackets' unicorn. They could never beat them. I think every team has that. The ones that come to mind for me with this club are San Jose and Dallas. We've been a unicorn for a few franchises, too. I just think everybody has one of those.

So we are looking for these "unicorn" series o bet on. ;)

Which games will be qualified?

- at least 1 (or 2) win out of 2 or 3 h2h matches (MANDATORY!!!)

- at least 2 (or 3) win out of 4 or 5 h2h matches (MANDATORY!!!)

- nice to have about 60 or higher winning percentage against the opponent team (based on the last 5 years results)

- also not mandatory, but also nice to have a minimum 5 home/away winning streak against the opponent team (based on the last 5 years results)

- important to note that the first 2 games between the teams should be within 1,5 (or max.2) months in the season (we would NOT like too many open series at the same time). Ths requirement will be overridden some cases.

The scenarios:

1 win out of 2 matches (interconference game),

1 win out of 3 matches (same conference, but other division),

2 win out of 3 matches (also same conference, but other division),

2 win out of 4 matches (division derby),

3 win out of 4 matches (also division derby),

2 win out of 5 matches (also division derby).

 

We will use a kind of A-B-C progression betting system, so when a series reaches the expected number if winnings, we will STOP. There will be approxametely 200 series to bet on in this season. We almost almays take the moneyline, rarely use regulation or puckline instead or additional bet next to the moneyline.

 

Let's see some examples:

The first example serie ID: "3-1-Columbus Blue Jackets-Detroit Red Wings". This means that we expect Columbus to win (at least) 1 game during their 3 matches against Detroit. (2018.10.05; 2018.10.31; 2018.11.27) So we will run an A-B-C progression bet on Columbus. When we get a win, we will stop this serie.

Second example. Serie Id: "5-2-St. Louis Blues-Chicago Blackhawks". This means that we expect St. Louis Blues to win (at least) 2 game during their 5 matches against Chicago. (2018.10.07; 2018.10.14; 2018.10.28; 2018.11.15; 2019.04.04) So we will run and A-B-C progression bet on St. Louis Blues. When we get a win during the first 3 games, we will restart this series to reach the second. When we get 2 wins, the serie will be stopped.

 

I will post the actual series to bet each day. See you soon!

 

I look forward to hearing your opinions and reviews about this system.

 

 

 

 

 
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Let's start this system with the first serie:
3-1-Washington Capitals-Boston Bruins

A bet: 1u on WSH ML (1,76u to win)

(Although the next h2h match between these teams will be only in mid January, but WSH is on 12 winning streak against BOS)

Go Caps!
 
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Nice hit. Keep'em coming

 

an_clap

 
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Thx, cisco!

Booom, it was an incredible start of the season (and also our system) from the Caps! They did it what we needed, so A bet wins, "3-1-Washington Capitals-Boston Bruins" serie ends now.

YTD:

Series: 1-0

Bankroll: +0,76u

 
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Today, the journey continues, here are 2 new series:

3-1-Columbus Blue Jackets-Detroit Red Wings

  A bet: 1u on CBJ ML (1,75u to win)

3-1-Dallas Stars-Arizona Coyotes

  A bet: 1u on DAL ML (1,54u to win)

 

We have an additional serie with 0,5u on Columbus Blue Jackets in REGULATION.

 A bet: 0,5u on CBJ REG (1,125u to win)

 

 

 

 
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You're on to something Balage87. I wasn't around to play. 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by Balage87:

Today, the journey continues, here are 2 new series: 3-1-Columbus Blue Jackets-Detroit Red Wings   A bet: 1u on CBJ ML (1,75u to win) 3-1-Dallas Stars-Arizona Coyotes   A bet: 1u on DAL ML (1,54u to win)   We have an additional serie with 0,5u on Columbus Blue Jackets in REGULATION.  A bet: 0,5u on CBJ REG (1,125u to win)

Nice work! 

 
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2-0 last night, only the additional 0,5u bet didn't come, it will be continued on 2018.10.31 with B bet. 

So both main series will be stopped.

Thanks for the Jackets to pull the game in OT.

[image from unapproved source]

YTD:

Series: 3-0

Bankroll: +2,05u

--------------------------------------

Additional Series: 0-1

Pending: 1

 

Additional series bankroll: -0,5u

 
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Here is a new serie to qualify in our system:

4-2-San Jose Sharks-Los Angeles Kings

 

San Jose is after a disappointing defeat against the Ducks. They weren't bad at all, just unlucky, I think. Come on Sharks!

  A bet: 1u on SJS ML (1,95u to win)

 
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Yeees! After the Blue Jackets' sereie another OT win last night by San Jose. Absolutely brilliant!

So A bet cached. We will reset this serie and come with an A bet again on 2018.12.22 to reach the second win of the Sharks against the Kings.

 

YTD:

Series: 4-0

Bankroll: +3,0u

-------------------------------------

Additional Series: 0-1

Pending: 1

Additional bankroll: -0,5u

 
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On this matchday we have 5 series to go with, but it will be only 4 after correction:

3-1-New York Rangers-Buffalo Sabres

  A bet: 1u on NYR ML (2,15u to win)

2-1-New York Islanders-Nashville Predators

  I am not confident in the Islanders so I will skip this one, dispite of the 2,35 odds.

3-2-Pittsburgh Penguins-Montreal Canadiens

  A bet: 1u on PIT ML (1,38u to win)

5-2-St. Louis Blues-Chicago Blackhawks

  A bet: 1u on STL ML (1,58u to win)

2-1-Philadelphia Flyers-Colorado Avalanche

  A bet: 1u on PHI ML (2,1u to win)

 

We have an additional serie with 0,5u on Pittsburgh Penguins in REGULATION.

 A bet: 0,5u on PIT REG (0,83u to win)

 
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GREAT work. Thanks. 

 
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an_clap

 
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Unfortunately, there was a 0-4 night, also with OT loss of the Blues. But no problem, A bets not always win.

We keep going with the B bets later.

 

YTD:

Series: 4-0

Pending series: 4

Bankroll: -1u

-----------------------------

Additional Series: 0-0

Pending: 2

Additional bankroll: -1u

 
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The system brings us one serie: 4-2-New York Rangers-Carolina Hurricanes

But, as I was uncertain about the Islanders yesterday, I am also not sure to bet on Rangers. I will skip this match today, and see what happens. I'll return this serie when Rangers will play the second game against the Hurricans.

So no play today.

 
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It was a clever decision to stay away from betting on Rangers. Although they led 5 times during the match, they lose against Canes who have a great season so far.

There is also no play on Monday, despite the 4 match today.

 
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After two days off, today we have 4+1 new series to go with:

2-1-San Jose Sharks-Philadelphia Flyers

  A bet: 1u on SJS ML (1,9u to win)

3-1-Calgary Flames-Nashville Predators

  A bet: 1u on CGY ML (2,43u to win)

3-1-Los Angeles Kings-Winnipeg Jets

  A bet: 1u on LAK ML (2,67u to win)

2-1-Toronto Maple Leafs-Dallas Stars

  A bet: 1u on TOR ML (2u to win)

+

3-1-Winnipeg Jets-Los Angeles Kings

  A bet: 1u on WPG ML (1,55u to win)

 

Yes, we expect that both Winnipeg and Kings will win 1-1 game against each other. One of these series will end after A bet sure.

Good luck!

 
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i think i get the underlying "unicorn" theory being applied here, and it makes sense for a chase system.  where i'm confused is on this most recent with the Kings and Jets.  how do the Kings qualify here?  maybe i'm just not fully understanding it. 

 

 
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Thank you for your question. "Unicorn" theory is just a name. The main reason of Kings qualifying is that they fulfill the mandatory conditions as they always win at least one game against the Jets during the past 5 season. (Note that they only win 6 of last 15 games) This first game in Winnipeg will be very hard for the Kings, probably they will lose, perhaps with more goals. But there are two other games in Los Angeles (2018.12.19, 2019.03.19) when they can beat the Jets. By the way Kings won 2 of 3 "first-Winnipeg-game" in the last 3 years. Odds are nice for Kings, so I would like to start this serie today not on the second game between these two teams in December. If Kings may win tonight and I don't start the serie today, then it's gone, I lose an opportunity. That's it.

 
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We returned to the way of victory as we went 4-1.

YTD:

Series: 8-0

Pending series: 5

Bankroll: 1,88u

-----------------------------

Additional Series: 0-0

Pending: 2

Additional bankroll: -1u

 
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Here is a new serie to bet on:

3-1-Philadelphia Flyers-Ottawa Senators

  A bet: 1u on PHI ML (1,75u to win)

3-1-Ottawa Senators-Philadelphia Flyers may be also a pick, but now I won't pull the trigger in this one. 

Although the first game against each other is in Ottawa, but the other two will be in Philadelphia, so I take only Philly-serie.

Go Flyers!

 
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peace_5

 
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new_grin

 
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Booom, Philly did it in a 11-goal-game! With this result "3-1-Philadelphia Flyers-Ottawa Senators" serie ends.

YTD:

Series: 9-0

Pending series: 5

Bankroll: 2,63u

-----------------------------

Additional Series: 0-0

Pending series: 2

Additional bankroll: -1u

 
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Great ?? Work . Thanks

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